Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

Wednesday

12-17

USA

Total Cases 17,394,314

New Cases +248,686

Total Deaths 314,629

New Deaths +3,538

Total Recovered 10,170,788

Active Cases 6,908,897

Serious, Critical 28,325

Tot Cases/1M pop 52,409

Deaths/1M pop 948

Total Tests 226,701,940

Tests/1M pop 683,049
 
Yesterday's highlights:

75 million Total Cases in the world.

17 million Total Cases in the USA.

7 million Active Cases right now.

3200 deaths in one day.

114,000 hospitalized.

28,000 in Serious or Critical Condition.
 
Thursday

12-18

USA

Total Cases 17,627,070

New Cases +231,269

Total Deaths 317,929

New Deaths +3,278

Total Recovered 10,291,126

Active Cases 7,018,015

Serious, Critical 28,206

Tot Cases/1M pop 53,109

Deaths/1M pop 958

Total Tests 228,609,073

Tests/1M pop 688,785
 
PoliTalker said:
Thursday

12-18

USA

Total Cases 17,627,070

New Cases +231,269

Total Deaths 317,929

New Deaths +3,278

Total Recovered 10,291,126

Active Cases 7,018,015

Serious, Critical 28,206

Tot Cases/1M pop 53,109

Deaths/1M pop 958

Total Tests 228,609,073

Tests/1M pop 688,785
Click to expand...

Trump's Christmas present to America.
 
Hello Dutch Uncle,

Dutch Uncle said:
Unfortunately true. The outlook doesn't make for a Merry Christmas.
Click to expand...

Makes it a challenge, but being well aware also makes it easy to just block it out. Nice to kick back and relax a few days, maybe watch some football, exchange a few things carefully ordered in advance, crank the heat up a little. Life's good knowing that the future outlook is brighter. Looks like next year is going to just get better and better as it goes on, with a nice economic recovery by the end. Fingers crossed, anyway.

:)
 
PoliTalker said:
Hello Dutch Uncle,



Makes it a challenge, but being well aware also makes it easy to just block it out. Nice to kick back and relax a few days, maybe watch some football, exchange a few things carefully ordered in advance, crank the heat up a little. Life's good knowing that the future outlook is brighter. Looks like next year is going to just get better and better as it goes on, with a nice economic recovery by the end. Fingers crossed, anyway.

:)
Click to expand...

Toes too.
Infections are increasing all over the world. New strains are emerging. New waves are striking countries which had reduced infections to zero. The indications are that we will all be adopting dramatically different lifestyles until there are highly-effective, proven vaccines which enable us to mingle again.
The debate should not be about when we can all get back to doing what we did- but rather what are we going to do instead. People's minds seem blank- because they cannot adjust. Governments are too busy lying to us to publicize any strategies that they might have drawn up. Some probably haven't even thought about it yet.
 
Hello moon,

moon said:
Toes too.
Infections are increasing all over the world. New strains are emerging. New waves are striking countries which had reduced infections to zero. The indications are that we will all be adopting dramatically different lifestyles until there are highly-effective, proven vaccines which enable us to mingle again.
The debate should not be about when we can all get back to doing what we did- but rather what are we going to do instead. People's minds seem blank- because they cannot adjust. Governments are too busy lying to us to publicize any strategies that they might have drawn up. Some probably haven't even thought about it yet.
Click to expand...

Yes, sadly, there are far too many who keep hoping one day they will wake up and it will all be magically gone away. Or worse, they simply refuse to take measures, pretend it's not a concern, just go about their lives as usual. Mask wearing only when forced, don't even bother trying to distance, gathering in bars, walk right up to people in a store...
 
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Friday

12-18

USA

Total Cases 17,888,353

New Cases +254,680

Total Deaths 320,845

New Deaths +2,794

Total Recovered 10,394,286

Active Cases 7,173,222

Serious, Critical 28,011

Tot Cases/1M pop 53,896

Deaths/1M pop 967

Total Tests 230,816,169

Tests/1M pop 695,423
 
Here is some possible hopeful news.

The number of Serious or Critical Cases appears to have leveled off.

There was a slight peak a few days ago at 28,325.

Today it is down to 28,011.

That is a rough indicator of the upcoming death rates.
 
OK, I am seeing a good trend here.

Serious and Critical cases continue to drop.

Yesterday the figure fell below 28,000.

That figure has been falling for days after peaking at 28,325.

Maybe the Thanksgiving surge is easing.

But we still have some troubling numbers.

We just passed 18 million total cases.

And the Active Cases passed 7 million.

Keep on taking all reasonable precautions!
 
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Saturday

12-19

USA

Total Cases 18,078,009

New Cases +189,650

Total Deaths 323,404

New Deaths +2,559

Total Recovered 10,545,445

Active Cases 7,209,160

Serious, Critical 27,963

Tot Cases/1M pop 54,466

Deaths/1M pop 974

Total Tests 232,596,953

Tests/1M pop 700,777
 
PoliTalker said:
Saturday

12-19

USA

Total Cases 18,078,009

New Cases +189,650

Total Deaths 323,404

New Deaths +2,559

Total Recovered 10,545,445

Active Cases 7,209,160

Serious, Critical 27,963

Tot Cases/1M pop 54,466

Deaths/1M pop 974

Total Tests 232,596,953

Tests/1M pop 700,777
Click to expand...

This CDC link from last October predicts a $16T cost for the pandemic. $4.4T for premature deaths alone.

https://www.cdc.gov/library/covid19/102320_covidupdate.html

  • Total economic cost of US pandemic through Fall, 2021 estimated at $16 trillion or 90% of the gross domestic product (GDP).
  • Cumulative deaths estimated at 625,000 yielding $4.4 trillion in losses for premature death.
    [*]Losses from long-term COVID-19 complications estimated at $2.6 trillion.
    [*]Losses for mental health symptoms estimated at $1.6 trillion.
    [*]Lost economic output estimated at $7.6 trillion over 20 years.​
  • Lost income from COVID-19-induced recession accounts for 50% of total losses.
  • The economic return on investment of a SARS-CoV-2 testing and contact tracing program was estimated at 30 times the cost.
 
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