Trump isn't going to be the nominee but Tim Scott would likely move the needle very little, if at all, with the black vote. It's about the college educated suburban white women vote if we're really breaking it down. That's where Trump lost and who DeSantis will have to win back.
Totally disagree, I do think Trump will be the nominee. When it comes down to it, it is the GOP base who votes in primaries, and nobody owns the GOP base as Trump does, they love his shtick, and these are the same people who deny Trump lost or that he had anything to do with1/6. In addition, he is ratings, and Murdoch may say one thing, but to him it is all about the dollar
DeSantis has never been on the national stage, nor been the direct attack of Trump’s personal attacks, whole different ballgame than photo ops and press conferences in Tallahassee.
Scott would help either candidate, wouldn’t dramatically change the black vote but may curb some of the sting both candidates have with Black Americans and thusly enthusiasm/turnout. But you are correct, a more moderate women would help with the suburban women
Interesting development could be if both Trump and DeSantis get into a dirt full slug out, which both are capable of, and a third candidate sneaks thru with the voters disgust
