Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

Hello Darth,

Darth Omar said:
Prove it lol?

That’s pure speculation. Moreover, it’s looking increasingly baseless. Our numbers have dropped precipitously even as mask wearing has been constant over time. This *strongly* suggests masks weren’t a factor and likely never were a factor.

The Chinese communist party owns the death count. What should be done about it?
Click to expand...

My, that's a rather absurd argument, attempting to insinuate that mask-wearing is the only factor which might affect the numbers. I'm glad my argument doesn't depend on such a flimsy illogical assumption.

Pandemic numbers are also directly and strongly affected by adherence to safe guidelines. The holiday season was expected to bring greater numbers, and it had nothing to do with mask-wearing.

The whole reason we wear masks is to protect against possible transmission while sharing air, particularly in confined spaces over extended periods of time. The primary factor is proximity and the duration of close proximity. Masks are not required at all when individuals are apart. The holidays brought individuals together, thus increasing the likelihood of increased transmission. This occurs irrespective of mask usage. That is precisely what happened.

Now that the holidays are weeks past, that is why we are seeing the numbers come down.

Thus, the numbers may go up or down due to other factors besides mask-wearing.

Where individuals are in close proximity, if they wear masks they reduce the chances of transmission. Chances of transmission are also reduced if people stay apart. As I said, there are numerous factors which affect transmission rates.

Any argument which depends on the assumption that mask-wearing is the only factor in virus numbers is faulty because that is an incorrect assumption.
 
Right on.

We are liking the continued drop in crucial numbers.

We did have 3500 Americans die yesterday, but the metrics are overall more encouraging.

Active cases dropping - we may have finally seen a peak. The number of Active Cases reached 9,901,142 on January 30th.

Serious and Critical Cases dropping - almost ready to go below 23,000 for the first time this year.

Active Cases Graph:

Screenshot_2021-02-05 United States Coronavirus 27,274,783 Cases and 467,003 Deaths - Worldomete.jpg

(Click to enlarge)
 
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Thursday

2-4

USA

Total Cases 27,274,014

New Cases +121,737

Total Deaths 466,997

New Deaths +3,532

Total Recovered 17,031,807

Active Cases 9,775,210

Serious, Critical 23,159

Tot Cases/1M pop 82,111

Deaths/1M pop 1,406

Total Tests 318,732,385

Tests/1M pop 959,570
 
PoliTalker said:
Right on.

We are liking the continued drop in crucial numbers.

We did have 3500 Americans die yesterday, but the metrics are overall more encouraging.

Active cases dropping - we may have finally seen a peak. The number of Active Cases reached 9,901,142 on January 30th.

Serious and Critical Cases dropping - almost ready to go below 23,000 for the first time this year.

Active Cases Graph:

View attachment 18969

(Click to enlarge)
Click to expand...

We are closing in one a test for every American....only ten million more to go!

Will there be cake?
 
Friday

2-5

USA

Total Cases 27,407,324

New Cases +126,125

Total Deaths 470,705

New Deaths +3,572

Total Recovered 17,146,169

Active Cases 9,790,450

Serious, Critical 22,559

Tot Cases/1M pop 82,511

Deaths/1M pop 1,417

Total Tests 320,639,539

Tests/1M pop 965,297
 
Hawkeye10 said:
We are closing in one a test for every American....only ten million more to go!

Will there be cake?
Click to expand...

Trump claimed anyone who wanted a test could get one many months ago. That was not true then and not true now. We never had contact tracing either. Trump ignored Corona and we are still paying for that.
Tests are used in great amounts by groups like sporting teams. They are taking them regularly. That is why so many sporting events have been cut or delayed. Rich people get them. But they have not been accessible to the masses, even aged people.
A test for every person, which has not reached, does not mean everyone will get one.
 
The number of Active Cases went up a little.

We're trying to keep it under 10 million. It's been flirting with hitting 10 million but it hasn't gotten there so far.

Hopefully, it will drop again tomorrow.
 
Hello Nordberg,

Nordberg said:
Trump claimed anyone who wanted a test could get one many months ago. That was not true then and not true now. We never had contact tracing either. Trump ignored Corona and we are still paying for that.
Tests are used in great amounts by groups like sporting teams. They are taking them regularly. That is why so many sporting events have been cut or delayed. Rich people get them. But they have not been accessible to the masses, even aged people.
A test for every person, which has not reached, does not mean everyone will get one.
Click to expand...

Darth Omar likes to say: "Virus is gonna virus," meaning there is nothing we could possibly do which would affect how much it spreads. (Yes, it's silly.)

I think the more appropriate thing to say might be: "Trump is gonna Trump."

But that's not really true, either. America let him do his thing for one term. We had enough. We booted him OUT.
 
Saturday,

2-6

USA

Total Cases 27,519,636

New Cases +105,983

Total Deaths 473,528

New Deaths +2,730

Total Recovered 17,268,517

Active Cases 9,777,591

Serious, Critical 22,406

Tot Cases/1M pop 82,848

Deaths/1M pop 1,426

Total Tests 322,395,403

Tests/1M pop 970,567
 
Look at this!

Nice low daily death figure yesterday, Active Cases down, and Serious Critical cases also had a big drop.

Have we finally peaked?

Hopefully the Super Spreader Bowl didn't make things worse. Looks like lots of precautions were taken for the actual event, but Florida allowed all the bars to be wide open at full capacity, and then those people will be traveling back to wherever their homes are...
 
PoliTalker said:
Look at this!

Nice low daily death figure yesterday, Active Cases down, and Serious Critical cases also had a big drop.

Have we finally peaked?

Hopefully the Super Spreader Bowl didn't make things worse. Looks like lots of precautions were taken for the actual event, but Florida allowed all the bars to be wide open at full capacity, and then those people will be traveling back to wherever their homes are...
Click to expand...

Aren’t we still waiting for the college football playoff infections lol?

I think it’s safe to conclude [provisionally] we are seeing the results of more accurate testing since the WHO revised its PCR testing guidelines last month. If true, that means our COVID numbers have been artificially inflated for almost a year now.

Think of the costs to the global economy. What a travesty.
 
Sunday

2-7

USA

Total Cases 27,611,403

New Cases +89,691

Total Deaths 474,933

New Deaths +1,340

Total Recovered 17,354,388

Active Cases 9,782,082

Serious, Critical 21,907

Tot Cases/1M pop 83,122

Deaths/1M pop 1,430

Total Tests 323,804,078

Tests/1M pop 974,793
 
Hello Darth,

Darth Omar said:
Aren’t we still waiting for the college football playoff infections lol?

I think it’s safe to conclude [provisionally] we are seeing the results of more accurate testing since the WHO revised its PCR testing guidelines last month. If true, that means our COVID numbers have been artificially inflated for almost a year now.

Think of the costs to the global economy. What a travesty.
Click to expand...

The basic fact which totally escapes conservatives: Life is more important than money.

I don't know how to put that in any kind of perspective which makes it sink in for conservatives. Maybe this:

Dead people do not contribute to the economy.

Once somebody dies, they never contribute to the economy after that. But as long as they remain alive, they continue to contribute until they die.

Or maybe this will help:

Even somebody who earns so little they can't save and are on the dole; they contribute to the economy, even if it is only because of the work they do that makes somebody else rich. But also because of their spending, even if it is money they got from the dole, their spending makes the rich richer. If extreme wealth inequality is the goal of conservatives, it takes live people to do that, even if those people are at the bottom of the wealth scale. Without poor people to take advantage of, the rich can't get richer.
 
2 days of fewer than 100,000 new cases!

That's a good thing these days, sadly...

Hey, we have to look for the good news wherever we can find it.

Active Cases, and Serious / Critical Cases also continue to fall.

Let's hope it keeps going this direction.
 
Monday

2-8

USA

Total Cases 27,700,669

New Cases +87,071

Total Deaths 476,408

New Deaths +1,492

Total Recovered 17,512,614

Active Cases 9,711,647

Serious, Critical 21,435

Tot Cases/1M pop 83,390

Deaths/1M pop 1,434

Total Tests 325,509,190

Tests/1M pop 979,910
 
Can we call it a peak?

The number of Active Cases reached a high point on Jan 30th.

9,904,639.

We are now down just below 9,700,000.

We would love to think that is going to be as high as it ever gets, that we will never reach 10 million Active Cases or more.

And while we are seeing the numbers begin to drop in the original strain, we have the UK variation now in the USA, which is more infectious than the original one, and doubling it's numbers every 10 days. We are in a race to get control of the virus before the mutant becomes dominant.

At this point, only about 2-3% of our population is fully vaccinated.

The best thing we can do right now is double our efforts in distancing and mask-wearing.

The original strain was just a warm-up for what we face now.
 
PoliTalker said:
Can we call it a peak?

The number of Active Cases reached a high point on Jan 30th.

9,904,639.

We are now down just below 9,700,000.

We would love to think that is going to be as high as it ever gets, that we will never reach 10 million Active Cases or more.

And while we are seeing the numbers begin to drop in the original strain, we have the UK variation now in the USA, which is more infectious than the original one, and doubling it's numbers every 10 days. We are in a race to get control of the virus before the mutant becomes dominant.

At this point, only about 2-3% of our population is fully vaccinated.

The best thing we can do right now is double our efforts in distancing and mask-wearing.

The original strain was just a warm-up for what we face now.
Click to expand...

The Super Bowl Super Spreader event results have yet to be tallied. :)
 
Dutch Uncle said:
The Super Bowl Super Spreader event results have yet to be tallied. :)
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Still waiting on the college football playoffs super spreaders lol.

Wasn’t AL supposed to be hit hard? All of those Deplorables in the stands. I noticed college basketball fans are starting to be let in. Hopefully, the dam is getting ready to break.
 
Tuesday

2-9

USA

Total Cases 27,799,946

New Cases +95,542

Total Deaths 479,772

New Deaths +3,265

Total Recovered 17,639,217

Active Cases 9,680,957

Serious, Critical 21,460

Tot Cases/1M pop 83,687

Deaths/1M pop 1,444

Total Tests 327,171,794

Tests/1M pop 984,900
 
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