The people I listen to say generally that America's Generals still think they are fighting WW2, that their brains have not updated, and that when we try to use aircraft carriers against a peer we will learn very quickly that this is outdated tech just as traumatically as we learned that battleships were over.
They are going to be nearly useless, and they wont survive long.
That's going to be a lot of dead people.
Well if that were true then why is China intent on building more?
Chinese Carrier Aircraft Fleet Is Poised For Rapid Growth
China’s third aircraft carrier, the Fujian, is just about complete. It has tested its machinery in harbor and is due to go to sea this year. Successful sea trials would then reportedly clear the way for construction of a fourth aircraft carrier, presumably a sibling to the Fujian. A fifth may not be far behind.
China’s carrier-capable aircraft fleet is set to expand more than proportionally, with shipborne fighter numbers quadrupling over the coming decade, according to an Aviation Week assessment led by Senior Military Defense Analyst Matt Jouppi (see chart).
Shipboard fighter force will quadruple by 2033
Third aircraft carrier is almost ready for sea trials
Multiple aircraft types will add complexity for the carrier organization
As with other Chinese military aviation services, however, the carrier force will likely suffer from complexity, with many aircraft types and versions. There will also be at least two ship classes.
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In 2020, the U.S. Navy forecast that the Chinese aircraft carrier fleet would reach five ships by 2030 and six by 2040. That forecast was evidently still current in 2022, because the U.S. Navy passed it on to the U.S. Congressional Research Service for a report published that year.
Three of the 2030 ships have been built: the Liaoning and Shandong, which are half-siblings each equipped to launch aircraft from a ski jump, and the Fujian, which uses electromagnetic catapults. All three are propelled by steam turbines fed by oil-fired boilers.
Aviation Week’s estimate of Chinese aircraft numbers presumes the fourth ship will be a sibling of the Fujian and the fifth will be the first of a nuclear-propelled class.
So far there is no sign of the fourth ship being under construction. Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post last year quoted a source close to the military as saying construction would not begin until the Fujian had run sea trials—a plausible precaution, especially since the navy will want to verify catapult performance.
State media have reported progress in testing the Fujian and the plan to begin sea trials this year.
The Fujian has taken at least six years to build, but the Shandong needed only 4.5 years—though it was not commissioned until another 1.6 years had passed. So getting the fleet of completed ships, not necessarily commissioned, to five by 2030 seems possible if fabrication of the fourth and fifth ships begins not much later than next year. Conceivably, Dalian Shipbuilding, the yard in northeastern China that built the Liaoning and Shandong, could construct one of the next two carriers while Fujian’s builder, the Shanghai Jiangnan yard, builds the other.
https://aviationweek.com/defense-sp...se-carrier-aircraft-fleet-poised-rapid-growth