The War in Ukraine

[Scott]

Just finished reading the following article from Larry Johnson, thought it was quite good:

https://sonar21.com/debunking-the-ukrainian-claim-about-russian-casualties/

Here's the conclusion of the article:
**
Russia has suffered casualties, but a fraction of those inflicted on the Ukrainians. MediaZona offers the best estimate of Russia KIA because they collect and analyze death notices from all of the Russian republics. This is data, not opinion. According to MediaZona, an estimated 165,000 Russian soldiers have died in combat or from wounds incurred in combat. Ukraine, by contrast, has lost more than a million men — some estimates are as high as 1.5 million dead. These numbers are consistent with the ratios of artillery fire (and yes, I am assuming that a shell fired by each side has an equal chance of killing or maiming soldiers on the other side).

Five months in to 2025, the disparity remains… Ukraine is firing an average of 5,000 per day compared to Russia firing an average of 30,000 per day. Ukraine, even with unfettered support of NATO countries cannot match Russia. Here is what NATO Secretary General, Mark Rutte, told the NATO Ministers of Defense in February:

“We will discuss today the defence industrial base and how to produce more. We are not producing enough. And this is a collective problem we have, from the US up to and including Türkiye, and including the whole European Union, Norway, UK, we have fantastic defence industries, but we are not producing enough,” Rutte said.

The alliance’s Secretary General emphasized that NATO does not produce enough weapons compared to Moscow.

“No, I wanted to say Russia is producing in three months in ammunition, what the whole of the Alliance is producing in the year, and this is simply not sustainable. We have to ramp up the defense industry production,” NATO Secretary General stressed.

The disparity between Russian fires and Ukrainian fires explains why Ukraine’s losses are so high. It is a simple question of math.
**

 

[Hawkeye10]

Just finished reading the following article from Larry Johnson, thought it was quite good:

https://sonar21.com/debunking-the-ukrainian-claim-about-russian-casualties/

Here's the conclusion of the article:
**
Russia has suffered casualties, but a fraction of those inflicted on the Ukrainians. MediaZona offers the best estimate of Russia KIA because they collect and analyze death notices from all of the Russian republics. This is data, not opinion. According to MediaZona, an estimated 165,000 Russian soldiers have died in combat or from wounds incurred in combat. Ukraine, by contrast, has lost more than a million men — some estimates are as high as 1.5 million dead. These numbers are consistent with the ratios of artillery fire (and yes, I am assuming that a shell fired by each side has an equal chance of killing or maiming soldiers on the other side).

Five months in to 2025, the disparity remains… Ukraine is firing an average of 5,000 per day compared to Russia firing an average of 30,000 per day. Ukraine, even with unfettered support of NATO countries cannot match Russia. Here is what NATO Secretary General, Mark Rutte, told the NATO Ministers of Defense in February:


The disparity between Russian fires and Ukrainian fires explains why Ukraine’s losses are so high. It is a simple question of math.
**

"we dont need anything else, our drones are better!"

A lie on two counts.

 

[Hawkeye10]

"FantasyLands always die painfully"
Hawkeye the Wise

 

[moon]

Here we go;

Ukraine risks losing Sumy, Kharkov, Odessa, other cities — lawmaker

Earlier, American economist, professor, and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University Jeffrey Sachs said in an interview with TASS that Kiev risks losing the entire Black Sea coast, including Odessa, if it does not agree to peace now.

Ukraine risks losing Sumy, Kharkov, Odessa, other cities — lawmaker

According to Kartapolov, this will continue as long as "the hysterical regime of [Vladimir] Zelensky behaves like a spoiled girl"

tass.com

 

[Scott]

Here we go;

Ukraine risks losing Sumy, Kharkov, Odessa, other cities — lawmaker

Earlier, American economist, professor, and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University Jeffrey Sachs said in an interview with TASS that Kiev risks losing the entire Black Sea coast, including Odessa, if it does not agree to peace now.

Ukraine risks losing Sumy, Kharkov, Odessa, other cities — lawmaker

According to Kartapolov, this will continue as long as "the hysterical regime of [Vladimir] Zelensky behaves like a spoiled girl"

tass.com

Yes, exactly. If Ukraine acts -now-, it can hold on to Odessa. If not, well...

 

[Nordberg]

The only person who could end the war in 24 hours is Putin. He could stop attacking a neutral country and go home.

 

[moon]

The only person who could end the war in 24 hours is Putin. He could stop attacking a neutral country and go home.

It was the US-led coup of 2014 which started the civil war . We should bear in mind that the term ' Ukrainians' doesn't just describe the Zelenskies. It also describes all the Ukrainians that are pro-Russian.

 

[Hawkeye10]

The only person who could end the war in 24 hours is Putin. He could stop attacking a neutral country and go home.

LIAR

 

[Nordberg]

It was the US-led coup of 2014 which started the civil war . We should bear in mind that the term ' Ukrainians' doesn't just describe the Zelenskies. It also describes all the Ukrainians that are pro-Russian.

Zelinsky was elected.

 

[Scott]

The only person who could end the war in 24 hours is Putin. He could stop attacking a neutral country and go home.

LIAR

I wouldn't be too hard on him, I suspect he's just been conditioned to believe whatever the mainstream media tells him.

 

[Scott]

It was the US-led coup of 2014 which started the civil war . We should bear in mind that the term ' Ukrainians' doesn't just describe the Zelenskies. It also describes all the Ukrainians that are pro-Russian.

Zelinsky was elected.

Indeed he was. Do you know -why- he was elected? In case you haven't been informed on the matter, I suggest you read the following article:

Siding With Ukraine’s Far-Right, US Sabotaged Zelensky’s Peace Mandate

In 2019, Zelensky was elected on an overwhelming mandate to make peace with Russia. As Stephen F. Cohen warned that year, the US chose to side with Ukraine’s far-right and fuel war.

scheerpost.com

 

[Hawkeye10]

I wouldn't be too hard on him, I suspect he's just been conditioned to believe whatever the mainstream media tells him.

The brainwashed are at the end of the day willing victims.

 

[Hawkeye10]

Lord Bebo
@MyLordBebo

TAURUS DELIVERY HAPPENED!?I think Taurus is already on Ukraine.If you take the statements from the warmonger wing in the US administration and the Europeans, especially Merz it looks like Taurus was already delivered to Ukraine. (Or is on the way)Trump’s statement “I’m protecting Putin from very bad things” sounds like everyone wants to attack Russia with Taurus but Trump is the only one holding back.My assumption is that they’re already ready for usage, but lack approval from Donny.So, I’d guess that Kellogg and neocons try to convince Trump that Taurus strikes on Russia would scare Putin into a ceasefire. So they currently try to talk him into green lighting the strikes.I would not bet that Trump will hold this back until the end, we likely will see some Taurus strikes in the near future. That’s my bet.Kellogg to Trump probably: “We do couple of strike and Putin will see how hard he can get hit and will agree to a ceasefire. This will make you achieve the promise to stop the war and worst case, it’s the Germans fault”But they will not make any difference for the war, they will only lead to an escalation from Russia and the breakdown of the peace talks.Trump will be pissed and lash out against everyone.

---------------------------------------------------

Pretty much no one on my Grapevine thinks that the Imperial Empire will not use Taurus, most think they are in Ukraine.....as for how effective they will be the debate continues.

Russia has promised this time they will respond hard....in part because Taurus is nuclear capable.

 

[Scott]

I wouldn't be too hard on him, I suspect he's just been conditioned to believe whatever the mainstream media tells him.

The brainwashed are at the end of the day willing victims.

I think the term 'brainwashed' has been overused, unlike people being conditioned. I also think conditioning is a more accurate picture, as no one is actually washing any brains. Why we believe lies is a complicated issue, as this article gets into:

Psychology of Believing Lies: Why We Fall for Deception

Explore cognitive biases, emotional factors, and defense mechanisms that make us susceptible to lies, and learn strategies to enhance critical thinking.

neurolaunch.com

 

[Scott]

Lord Bebo
@MyLordBebo

TAURUS DELIVERY HAPPENED!?I think Taurus is already on Ukraine.If you take the statements from the warmonger wing in the US administration and the Europeans, especially Merz it looks like Taurus was already delivered to Ukraine. (Or is on the way)Trump’s statement “I’m protecting Putin from very bad things” sounds like everyone wants to attack Russia with Taurus but Trump is the only one holding back.My assumption is that they’re already ready for usage, but lack approval from Donny.So, I’d guess that Kellogg and neocons try to convince Trump that Taurus strikes on Russia would scare Putin into a ceasefire. So they currently try to talk him into green lighting the strikes.I would not bet that Trump will hold this back until the end, we likely will see some Taurus strikes in the near future. That’s my bet.Kellogg to Trump probably: “We do couple of strike and Putin will see how hard he can get hit and will agree to a ceasefire. This will make you achieve the promise to stop the war and worst case, it’s the Germans fault”But they will not make any difference for the war, they will only lead to an escalation from Russia and the breakdown of the peace talks.Trump will be pissed and lash out against everyone.

---------------------------------------------------

Pretty much no one on my Grapevine thinks that the Imperial Empire will not use Taurus, most think they are in Ukraine.....as for how effective they will be the debate continues.

Russia has promised this time they will respond hard....in part because Taurus is nuclear capable.

Looks like things are escalating again -.-

 

[Hawkeye10]

I think the term 'brainwashed' has been overused, unlike people being conditioned. I also think conditioning is a more accurate picture, as no one is actually washing any brains. Why we believe lies is a complicated issue, as this article gets into:

Psychology of Believing Lies: Why We Fall for Deception

Explore cognitive biases, emotional factors, and defense mechanisms that make us susceptible to lies, and learn strategies to enhance critical thinking.

neurolaunch.com

When you get to the point that people cant see what is right in front of them, which is where we are, brainwashing is the right term.

 

[Hawkeye10]

Looks like things are escalating again -.-

The War Pigs have conditioned themselves to believe that Russia never responds, and that they cant respond.....they are wrong on both counts...they live in their fantasies.

With the Taurus there is not any "What will Putin do"...this is a line in the sand for them, they have been very clear on this point, and Putin would get clobbered politically if he backs down....for any reason.

 

[Hawkeye10]

re the fresh 100K the Russians have in the North ready to drive towards Kiev I am hearing two points:

1) The Russians sometimes do this as misdirection, it does not mean that the main effort of the summer offensive will be in the North

2) But it likely is, in retaliation for Kursk and to put the fear of God into the elites in Kiev....the elites are mostly now in Kiev (partying a lot of the time) and thats where most of the arms factories are, and whatever remains of the air defense in the effort to protect both....understanding that NATO air defense is not very good in the best of times, for instance the vaunted THAAD system just failed spectacularly in Israel.

 

[Hawkeye10]

Re THAAD ANDREI MARTYANOV says that the radar is good, but the rest of it is junk.

 

[Hawkeye10]

"Justice demands that there must be a penalty for Kursk"
The Russians