For those on the left rooting for Iran, here is a question

Jarod said:
I am not an expert in the Hormuz Stright but I have heard several very reputable experts explain it in a way that makes sense to me. Much like how the US could not stop Iraqi militias from placing Bombs on roadsides that blew up our people and trucks.
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Who are these reputable experts you speak of? Name names.
 
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Teflon Don said:
As you twist yourselves in knots over every Trump utterance or this ship passing or that ship passing, ask yourself this question. Absent us just pulling out and leaving, what choice does Iran have but to surrender? What cards do they have to play?

According to you, they have no nuclear weapons to deploy? Their armies and navy have effectively been defeated. Their leadership decapitated.

While you complain about Trump "backing down", he is actually showing restraint. While he may say the words, he doesn't want to completely obliterate the country.

But, the reality is that the regime doesn't have many cards to play. How long do you think they can realistically hold out before reality dawns on them? Sure they don't want to do it. Just like the Japanese and Germans didn't want to surrender. But sooner or later reality comes knocking and as I said as long as we don't prematurely squander our advance, then it isn't a matter of if they will surrender it is a matter of when.

Now how many JPP marxists are up to the task of actually debating this without descending to "Trump said this or Trump said that" or "TACO this and TACO that"?

I don't think many, but I am open to being surprised
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I predict this will turn into a mini-China proxy war, we will fuck all their stuff they give the IRGC up, they will be cutting off their own oil supply like derp, and hopefully the remnants of ISIS that are in Iran right now get blasted to kingdom come.
 
Matt Dillon said:
I predict this will turn into a mini-China proxy war, we will fuck all their stuff they give the IRGC up, they will be cutting off their own oil supply like derp, and hopefully the remnants of ISIS that are in Iran right now get blasted to kingdom come.
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ISIS is funded and run by the West.
 
Teflon Don said:
As you twist yourselves in knots over every Trump utterance or this ship passing or that ship passing, ask yourself this question. Absent us just pulling out and leaving, what choice does Iran have but to surrender? What cards do they have to play?

According to you, they have no nuclear weapons to deploy? Their armies and navy have effectively been defeated. Their leadership decapitated.

While you complain about Trump "backing down", he is actually showing restraint. While he may say the words, he doesn't want to completely obliterate the country.

But, the reality is that the regime doesn't have many cards to play. How long do you think they can realistically hold out before reality dawns on them? Sure they don't want to do it. Just like the Japanese and Germans didn't want to surrender. But sooner or later reality comes knocking and as I said as long as we don't prematurely squander our advance, then it isn't a matter of if they will surrender it is a matter of when.

Now how many JPP marxists are up to the task of actually debating this without descending to "Trump said this or Trump said that" or "TACO this and TACO that"?

I don't think many, but I am open to being surprised
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1. Fact-checking key claims​

❌ “Their armies and navy have effectively been defeated”​

  • Not supported by public evidence.
  • Iran’s military has not been defeated in any conventional sense.
  • While Iran has faced sanctions, proxy conflicts, and targeted strikes on affiliated groups, its armed forces remain intact and operational.

❌ “Their leadership decapitated”​

  • False or at least unsubstantiated as stated.
  • There has been no verified “decapitation” of Iran’s national leadership (e.g., Supreme Leader, IRGC top command as a whole, or state governance structure).
  • Some individual commanders in regional conflicts have been killed over time, but that is not equivalent to “leadership decapitation.”

⚠️ “What choice does Iran have but to surrender?”​

  • This is not a factual claim but a rhetorical assertion.
  • Iran continues to have multiple strategic options (military deterrence, asymmetric warfare, proxy activity, diplomacy, escalation management, etc.).
  • Whether any actor “must surrender” is speculative and depends on political and military dynamics that are not fixed or inevitable.

✔️ “They have no nuclear weapons”​

  • Accurate in the narrow sense.
  • Iran is not confirmed to possess nuclear weapons.
  • However, it does have a significant nuclear program and enrichment capability, which is often part of deterrence discussions.

⚠️ “Like the Japanese and Germans didn’t want to surrender”​

  • Historically simplistic analogy.
  • Both WWII surrenders were driven by overwhelming military defeat, occupation, and collapse of capacity to continue war.
  • Iran today is not in a comparable total-war situation (no invasion, no unconditional surrender demand, no total collapse scenario).

⚠️ “Trump is showing restraint”​

  • Interpretive/subjective claim.
  • Whether a political figure is “showing restraint” depends on interpretation of actions, intent, and policy context.
  • This is not objectively verifiable.

2. Bias and rhetorical analysis​

Strong ideological framing​

  • The comment uses highly adversarial language:
    • “regime” (pejorative framing of Iran’s government)
    • “marxists” (dismissive label for critics)
    • “twist yourselves in knots” (mocking opponents)
  • This indicates low neutrality and persuasive intent rather than analysis.

Straw man argument​

  • It caricatures critics as only reacting to “Trump said this or that,” without engaging actual arguments about policy, escalation risk, or international law concerns.

False dilemma​

  • “What choice does Iran have but to surrender?” assumes only two options:
    • surrender
    • collapse/annihilation
      This ignores intermediate outcomes (negotiation, deterrence stability, proxy escalation, de-escalation).

War inevitability framing​

  • The logic suggests inevitability (“not if, but when”), which is deterministic and unsupported in international relations.
  • State behavior is contingent, not predetermined.

Emotional and comparative rhetoric​

  • WWII comparisons (Japan/Germany) are used to imply inevitability of surrender, which is a common rhetorical shortcut but often misleading due to very different geopolitical contexts.

3. Overall assessment​

  • Factual reliability: Mixed to low
    • Some accurate basics (Iran not confirmed nuclear-armed)
    • Several major unsupported or exaggerated claims (military defeat, leadership “decapitation,” inevitability of surrender)
  • Analytical quality: Low
    • Heavy on assertion, low on evidence or nuance
  • Bias level: High
    • Strong pro-confrontation framing
    • Dismissive of opposing viewpoints
    • Loaded terminology and rhetorical framing
    • Simplifies complex geopolitical dynamics into binary outcomes

Bottom line​

This is not a neutral analysis. It is a politically charged argument that blends a few factual points with significant exaggeration, false dilemmas, and rhetorical framing designed to support a predetermined conclusion (Iran inevitably must surrender).
 
Jarod said:
I don’t feel like it right now, you can find runs of them on yourube
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So that means you have nothing. I figured as much.

LOL I don’t feel like it you say.

What exactly do you want me to look up on YouTube? Hormuz expert?

I m thinking all you have is a Hormel chili expert
 
Jarod said:
I don’t feel like it right now, you can find runs of them on yourube
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Do you feel like it now? When are you goin to feel like it? I mean if you have any hope of changing hearts and minds surely you should share these so called experts that have you swayed.

You want to send me on some random YouTube goose chase. As much as you have been posting on this topic, these experts should just flow off the tip of your fingertips. You shouldn't even have to think about it or look it up.

What are you hiding?
 
Supporting the troops is not wanting them to fight needless wars for resources. I want them to serve safely and not fight wars of choice. Wanting them to fight in the Middle East is not backing them, but accepting their lives should be risked at Trump's whims,
 
Teflon Don said:
Do you feel like it now? When are you goin to feel like it? I mean if you have any hope of changing hearts and minds surely you should share these so called experts that have you swayed.

You want to send me on some random YouTube goose chase. As much as you have been posting on this topic, these experts should just flow off the tip of your fingertips. You shouldn't even have to think about it or look it up.

What are you hiding?
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I feel like it now... From AI

CSIS analysts offer perhaps the most sober institutional assessment. They describe the conflict as a "paradoxical equilibrium" — Iran's toolkit of drones, naval mines, and swarming small boats "imposes risk and uncertainty, even if it is no match for the U.S. Navy." Critically, they note that IRGC leaders "appear to believe, with some justification, that they can endure economic and military pressure longer than the United States," because for Iran the conflict is existential, while for most Americans it is something to be gotten over quickly. csis


Andrea Ghiselli, lecturer in international politics at the University of Exeter and head of research at the ChinaMed Project, makes a subtler but significant point: the deals Iran is striking with individual countries — China, India, Pakistan, Malaysia — to allow selective passage "undermine U.S. leverage," demonstrating Iran's ability to manage the strait without U.S. involvement. Time That's not just keeping it closed — it's remaking it as an instrument of geopolitical patronage.


Kenneth Katzman, former Iran analyst at the Congressional Research Service, frames the question in starkly political terms: Iran has between 160–170 million barrels of oil "afloat" on tankers globally, pre-positioned before the blockade, giving Tehran revenue flows potentially lasting until August. "Which is a long time," Katzman said. "Does President Trump have until August? Probably not." Al Jazeera


John-Paul Rodrigue, maritime shipping specialist at Texas A&M, captures why even partial uncertainty functions as effective closure: ships attempting transit are turning back "because the situation is unclear," with "contradictory information being issued by all parties." Al Jazeera Control of information is itself a form of control over the strait.


Iranian officials (via PressTV, so discount accordingly) claim Iran has "the capability to sustain this situation for years," pointing specifically to the fact that U.S. military bases in the region have historically been supplied by sea — making the closure a threat not just to oil markets but to American force projection itself. presstv
 
Teflon Don said:
Do you feel like it now? When are you goin to feel like it? I mean if you have any hope of changing hearts and minds surely you should share these so called experts that have you swayed.

You want to send me on some random YouTube goose chase. As much as you have been posting on this topic, these experts should just flow off the tip of your fingertips. You shouldn't even have to think about it or look it up.

What are you hiding?
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You are simply lost, if Biden had this exact thing you would be screaming.
 
Jarod said:
I am not an expert in the Hormuz Stright but I have heard several very reputable experts explain it in a way that makes sense to me. Much like how the US could not stop Iraqi militias from placing Bombs on roadsides that blew up our people and trucks.
Click to expand...
If it is so easy to defeat Iran and restore order to the Persian Gulf, why hasn’t Trump done this by now. It’s been weeks since he declared victory but it looks like a stalemate to me.
 
Jarod said:
I feel like it now... From AI

CSIS analysts offer perhaps the most sober institutional assessment. They describe the conflict as a "paradoxical equilibrium" — Iran's toolkit of drones, naval mines, and swarming small boats "imposes risk and uncertainty, even if it is no match for the U.S. Navy." Critically, they note that IRGC leaders "appear to believe, with some justification, that they can endure economic and military pressure longer than the United States," because for Iran the conflict is existential, while for most Americans it is something to be gotten over quickly. csis


Andrea Ghiselli, lecturer in international politics at the University of Exeter and head of research at the ChinaMed Project, makes a subtler but significant point: the deals Iran is striking with individual countries — China, India, Pakistan, Malaysia — to allow selective passage "undermine U.S. leverage," demonstrating Iran's ability to manage the strait without U.S. involvement. Time That's not just keeping it closed — it's remaking it as an instrument of geopolitical patronage.


Kenneth Katzman, former Iran analyst at the Congressional Research Service, frames the question in starkly political terms: Iran has between 160–170 million barrels of oil "afloat" on tankers globally, pre-positioned before the blockade, giving Tehran revenue flows potentially lasting until August. "Which is a long time," Katzman said. "Does President Trump have until August? Probably not." Al Jazeera


John-Paul Rodrigue, maritime shipping specialist at Texas A&M, captures why even partial uncertainty functions as effective closure: ships attempting transit are turning back "because the situation is unclear," with "contradictory information being issued by all parties." Al Jazeera Control of information is itself a form of control over the strait.


Iranian officials (via PressTV, so discount accordingly) claim Iran has "the capability to sustain this situation for years," pointing specifically to the fact that U.S. military bases in the region have historically been supplied by sea — making the closure a threat not just to oil markets but to American force projection itself. presstv
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so you merely went to ChatGPT? Figures.

You can't even try to not make it obvious how uniformed you are. You got caught and then you ran to ChatGPT to try to cover your ass. What a clown show
 
Teflon Don said:
As you twist yourselves in knots over every Trump utterance or this ship passing or that ship passing, ask yourself this question. Absent us just pulling out and leaving, what choice does Iran have but to surrender? What cards do they have to play?

According to you, they have no nuclear weapons to deploy? Their armies and navy have effectively been defeated. Their leadership decapitated.

While you complain about Trump "backing down", he is actually showing restraint. While he may say the words, he doesn't want to completely obliterate the country.

But, the reality is that the regime doesn't have many cards to play. How long do you think they can realistically hold out before reality dawns on them? Sure they don't want to do it. Just like the Japanese and Germans didn't want to surrender. But sooner or later reality comes knocking and as I said as long as we don't prematurely squander our advance, then it isn't a matter of if they will surrender it is a matter of when.

Now how many JPP marxists are up to the task of actually debating this without descending to "Trump said this or Trump said that" or "TACO this and TACO that"?

I don't think many, but I am open to being surprised
Click to expand...
Define Marxism in your own word piss brain
 
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