Dems close gap w/GOP ahead of midterms

C

Cypress

Well-known member
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Shock Poll: Democrats closing gap with Republicans ahead of midterm elections

A new poll has found that Democrats and Republicans are neck and neck in the upcoming midterm elections, with Democrats citing gun violence as their number one concern even as the economy continues to tumble.

The Siena College Research Institute poll, conducted on behalf of the New York Times between July 5 and 7 among 849 registered voters, found the race to control Congress is tight, with voters preferring Democrats to Republicans by just one percentage point, 41%-40%. Nineteen percent of respondents remain undecided.

However, among likely voters, the Times noted that 44% favored Republicans while 43% expressed support for Democrats in congressional races.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fo...g-gap-republicans-ahead-midterm-elections.amp
 
Cypress said:
Polling is about how people feel today, not how they felt last week or last month.

Your two most recent polls on RCP show Dems at +3 and+4.
The Fox -Sienna poll in my OP show Dems at +1
Click to expand...
You do understand RCP uses a rolling average. Clik and see the entire year's generic R vs. D polls
I scanned down and there are times the Dems had a +7 and the Repubs a big plus as well.
But like you said they are polls, and only generic at that.
The individual polls will take on meaning after Labor day
 
Still looks bad for the Dems, but not as bad as last month or two months ago.
 
Jarod said:
Still looks bad for the Dems, but not as bad as last month or two months ago.
Click to expand...

Perplexing. Democrats can't do better than a party that wants to violently overthrow the government?! If Biden does not get his AG to prosecute Trump we are headed for major violence.
 
BidenPresident said:
Perplexing. Democrats can't do better than a party that wants to violently overthrow the government?! If Biden does not get his AG to prosecute Trump we are headed for major violence.
Click to expand...

A failed prosecution might be worse than none at all, I think we haven't seen a strong enough link between Trump and the Proud Boys, I see where Stone and Giuliani could be prosecuted, but we need the connection to Trump.
 
anatta said:
You do understand RCP uses a rolling average. Clik and see the entire year's generic R vs. D polls
I scanned down and there are times the Dems had a +7 and the Repubs a big plus as well.
But like you said they are polls, and only generic at that.
The individual polls will take on meaning after Labor day
Click to expand...

The way the MAGA cult here have been hollering about a bloodbath of epic proportions in November, I would have thought the polls would consistently show the GOP up by 12 to 15 percent on the generic ballot.
 
Jarod said:
A failed prosecution might be worse than none at all, I think we haven't seen a strong enough link between Trump and the Proud Boys, I see where Stone and Giuliani could be prosecuted, but we need the connection to Trump.
Click to expand...

It's despicable that he was enjoying the violence on J6, it's shocking that he desired the VP dead, and it is reprehensible he was talking about a coup with his flunkies.

I am not sure that enjoying violence and talking about a coup is enough for a conviction, and the evidence directly tying responsibility to him for causing a riot seems circumstantial.
 
Cypress said:
.
Shock Poll: Democrats closing gap with Republicans ahead of midterm elections

A new poll has found that Democrats and Republicans are neck and neck in the upcoming midterm elections, with Democrats citing gun violence as their number one concern even as the economy continues to tumble.

The Siena College Research Institute poll, conducted on behalf of the New York Times between July 5 and 7 among 849 registered voters, found the race to control Congress is tight, with voters preferring Democrats to Republicans by just one percentage point, 41%-40%. Nineteen percent of respondents remain undecided.

However, among likely voters, the Times noted that 44% favored Republicans while 43% expressed support for Democrats in congressional races.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fo...g-gap-republicans-ahead-midterm-elections.amp
Click to expand...

:rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2::rofl2:
 
Jarod said:
Still looks bad for the Dems, but not as bad as last month or two months ago.
Click to expand...

I could be wrong (it has happened once or twice before lol) but I have a feeling that November is going to be a great disappointment for the (R)s. The Roe v Wade decision may very well take them down. Evidence: In Michigan we can put an issue on the ballot if enough signatures are collected. One issue that is going to be voted on this November is amending the state's constitution to allow abortion rights. It needed 425K signatures. It got almost 800,000. Other measures regarding term limits and protecting the right to vote also got more than enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-g...es-tracker-what-know-about-election-proposals
 
ThatOwlWoman said:
I could be wrong (it has happened once or twice before lol) but I have a feeling that November is going to be a great disappointment for the (R)s. The Roe v Wade decision may very well take them down. Evidence: In Michigan we can put an issue on the ballot if enough signatures are collected. One issue that is going to be voted on this November is amending the state's constitution to allow abortion rights. It needed 425K signatures. It got almost 800,000. Other measures regarding term limits and protecting the right to vote also got more than enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-g...es-tracker-what-know-about-election-proposals
Click to expand...

I think Dems will lose seats, which isn't any great prediction since the party in power virtually always loses seats in the midterm.

But MAGA fat assess have been doing a victory dance on this board, and hollering that the Dems are headed for a historic and epic bloodbath. I was wondering what the basis of that victory dance and gleeful predictions were? It doesn't seem to be from polling.
 
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Cypress said:
I think Dems will lose seats, which isn't any great prediction since the party in power virtually always loses seats in the midterm.

But MAGA fat assess have been doing a victory dance on this board, and hollering that the Dems are headed for a historic and epic bloodbath. I was wondering what the basis of that victory dance and gleeful predictions were? It doesn't seem to be from polling.
Click to expand...

It comes from the same place that "Trump really won in 2020" comes from.
 
ThatOwlWoman said:
I could be wrong (it has happened once or twice before lol) but I have a feeling that November is going to be a great disappointment for the (R)s. The Roe v Wade decision may very well take them down. Evidence: In Michigan we can put an issue on the ballot if enough signatures are collected. One issue that is going to be voted on this November is amending the state's constitution to allow abortion rights. It needed 425K signatures. It got almost 800,000. Other measures regarding term limits and protecting the right to vote also got more than enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-g...es-tracker-what-know-about-election-proposals
Click to expand...

I hope you are correct, they have been ecstatically proclaiming how bad November will be for the Democrats. I think we lose the House, but we might retain the Senate if we get very lucky.
 
Cypress said:
The way the MAGA cult here have been hollering about a bloodbath of epic proportions in November, I would have thought the polls would consistently show the GOP up by 12 to 15 percent on the generic ballot.
Click to expand...
then you dont get polling. Dems are ALWAYS UP on generic.
The fact they aint..
 
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