RCP now has Clinton < 2 points advantage

Anyway today has mostly been a good day for Clinton (comparatively to the last three days). I feel like I'm going to jynx it saying that though, might wake up to find her at 60%.
 
Waco was justice said:
Anyway today has mostly been a good day for Clinton (comparatively to the last three days). I feel like I'm going to jynx it saying that though, might wake up to find her at 60%.
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big grain of salt for this but. Anonymous (you know the hacker group) posted in 4chan earlier that they were releasing lots of stuff in coordination with assange tommorow.
 
Mr. Meeseeks said:
1) yes independents are shrinking

2) some of the national/popular lead skews things because clinton over performs in states she doesn't need to, like california and new york. In dense population centers she can rack up tons of more popular support but that still doesn't necessarily translate into an electoral college advantage (at least, not on a 1:1 scale)
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independents are shrinking?? are you sure? I thought partisans were shrinking?
 
Clinton is also running up numbers in southern states, but not enough to make them solid blue or even any more than lean Republican. She's blowing out California, doing great in Georgia but not enough to actually win it, she's has every vote in every place she doesn't really need to.
 
Waco was justice said:
Clinton is also running up numbers in southern states, but not enough to make them solid blue or even any more than lean Republican. She's blowing out California, doing great in Georgia but not enough to actually win it, she's has every vote in every place she doesn't really need to.
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this would mean we are headed to another ev> pv scenario?
 
ZappasGuitar said:
Trump is going to have to turn at least one blue state red to win the elcetion, and frankly, that just ain't happening.
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please familiarize yourself with the concept of probability. Nothing is 0%. I'll forgive you if you are just using hyperbole though.
 
Waco was justice said:
If Michigan goes Trump MN and WI will follow right behind. They'll be close in such an environment anyway.
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Agreed

At this point I am watching two things

1) where campaigns are deploying resources
2) media

Right now Clinton is not acting like a confident campaign on its way to winning. Long gone is talk of taking Georgia and Texas. Her message is closing extremely negative which is obviously not how she wanted to finish the campaign.

The media is in full freak out mode. They keep parroting the same lines. A week ago, they didn't see how Trump gets above 200. Now they are saying he can't get above 265

Here is what to watch on Tuesday night. If they don't call Pennsylvania right away for Clinton after the polls close then even if she ultimately wins PA she is in big trouble throughout. If by some chance Trump wins PA forget get it. Game. Set. Match. Trump wins. That means he gets MI, WI and maybe MN

Another thing to watch is his margin of victory in OH. If it is greater than 5 points then I believe he is in for a good night

Bottom line is whose position would any candidate rather be in right now? Clinton's or Trumps? I think we all know the answer
 
tsuke said:
big grain of salt for this but. Anonymous (you know the hacker group) posted in 4chan earlier that they were releasing lots of stuff in coordination with assange tommorow.
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also FBIanon was predicting the clinton foundation stuff months ago. I for one am a believer in FBI anon.
 
the undefinable key......will a person who is willing to answer the phone and tell a pollster that they will vote for Hilliary also be willing to get in their car and stand in line to vote for Hilliary......by the way, its supposed to be raining in the Midwest on Tuesday......Democrat voting is usually light on rainy days......
 
You can tell Crooked Hillary is corrupt as all hell when internet nerds the world over are helping out a Republican (albeit a pretend one).
 
Football Jersey said:
You can tell Crooked Hillary is corrupt as all hell when internet nerds the world over are helping out a Republican (albeit a pretend one).
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snowden assange and anonymous too :)

also fake republican? ;/ You must be referring to the old party that used to be republicans that we took over for. I believe they are waiting for bill kristol and glenn beck to form a new party for them. We wanted to change the name and mascot but it required lots of paperwork so we just kept it as is @_@
 
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