Can Trump still win?
Yes!
In the world of possibilities Trump can absolutely turn this around and win, is it unlikely from today’s view point…. Yes, but can it be done, Absolutely.
If Trump were a normal candidate and this was an average year for presidential elections, it would be clear that he could still win, but it would be a more enthusiastic unlikely rather than a simple unlikely. This is not a normal election year and this is not an average presidential election. To some extent no presidential elections are average, but this year, because of Trump himself, this election is anything but average.
Trump has several things going for him that make the unlikelihood of a turnaround something we should question. Trump has the enthusiasm factor built in, he has huge crowds of excited people who come out to see him speak, If that turns into enthusiastic people who come out to vote for him, it just might make up for being a point or two down in the polls. Hillary does not have the same enthusiasm among her supporters or the same size of crowds at her speeches. The difference is however, according to almost all polls, she does have more people planning to vote for her. Excitement and enthusiasm can’t beat numbers in the end. Trump will have to increase his numbers.
Trump, despite saying he won’t, has begun to pivot. It’s been over a week since he has made a major mistake, just look at the change in tone on his Twitter Account if you don’t believe me. That he has already started the famous pivot, no matter how much he denies having done so is clear to the attentive observer. Trump's new team might be diehard and mercurial, but they know how to be mercurial in a more positive way. Thus far the voters have not been forced to make a decision on Hillary Clinton, it’s almost all been about Trump’s temperament. If that remains the central focus of the next 83 days, Trump will lose. Voters will start paying more attention in late September and October, winning news cycles in late October can mean more to a campaign than having won more news cycles in August. If the focus of the campaign shifts to Hillary Clinton and the scandal dust that the Trump campaign can kick up, Trump has a chance at persuading candidates who are currently reluctantly planning to vote for her.
Finally, the media loves a comeback story. Despite the constant claim of an unfair and bias media, its still more about making money. Declaring a Trump loss in August that is followed by Trumps continual loss does not excite viewers. There is a lot of media money to be made and several careers to be made in the next two months if this is an exciting campaign that brings in viewers. I have never been a huge believer that the media has an agenda that pushes one candidate over another, but I do believe they push drama over less drama. A Trump comeback would be dramatic.
Don’t get me wrong, today’s outlook is gloomy for Donald Trump and his team, but a turnaround and a win are not out of the question, especially this year.
<leave remainder, rewrite for next week>
Yes!
In the world of possibilities Trump can absolutely turn this around and win, is it unlikely from today’s view point…. Yes, but can it be done, Absolutely.
If Trump were a normal candidate and this was an average year for presidential elections, it would be clear that he could still win, but it would be a more enthusiastic unlikely rather than a simple unlikely. This is not a normal election year and this is not an average presidential election. To some extent no presidential elections are average, but this year, because of Trump himself, this election is anything but average.
Trump has several things going for him that make the unlikelihood of a turnaround something we should question. Trump has the enthusiasm factor built in, he has huge crowds of excited people who come out to see him speak, If that turns into enthusiastic people who come out to vote for him, it just might make up for being a point or two down in the polls. Hillary does not have the same enthusiasm among her supporters or the same size of crowds at her speeches. The difference is however, according to almost all polls, she does have more people planning to vote for her. Excitement and enthusiasm can’t beat numbers in the end. Trump will have to increase his numbers.
Trump, despite saying he won’t, has begun to pivot. It’s been over a week since he has made a major mistake, just look at the change in tone on his Twitter Account if you don’t believe me. That he has already started the famous pivot, no matter how much he denies having done so is clear to the attentive observer. Trump's new team might be diehard and mercurial, but they know how to be mercurial in a more positive way. Thus far the voters have not been forced to make a decision on Hillary Clinton, it’s almost all been about Trump’s temperament. If that remains the central focus of the next 83 days, Trump will lose. Voters will start paying more attention in late September and October, winning news cycles in late October can mean more to a campaign than having won more news cycles in August. If the focus of the campaign shifts to Hillary Clinton and the scandal dust that the Trump campaign can kick up, Trump has a chance at persuading candidates who are currently reluctantly planning to vote for her.
Finally, the media loves a comeback story. Despite the constant claim of an unfair and bias media, its still more about making money. Declaring a Trump loss in August that is followed by Trumps continual loss does not excite viewers. There is a lot of media money to be made and several careers to be made in the next two months if this is an exciting campaign that brings in viewers. I have never been a huge believer that the media has an agenda that pushes one candidate over another, but I do believe they push drama over less drama. A Trump comeback would be dramatic.
Don’t get me wrong, today’s outlook is gloomy for Donald Trump and his team, but a turnaround and a win are not out of the question, especially this year.
<leave remainder, rewrite for next week>
