Electoral discussion... who gets what States?

Jarod said:
I think 80/60 is the best day for Don...

But, I think a more realistic place to put it would be 56% / 70%... I don't think you can expect Dangerous Don to do better than Mitt Romney on support, and I think turnout will be lower.
Click to expand...

Trump can easily outdo mitt. Stakes are much higher and will become moreso.
 
Celticguy said:
Trump can easily outdo mitt. Stakes are much higher and will become moreso.
Click to expand...

I don't think so, their was the same horseshit in 2012 about saying that it was the Republicans last chance to save the Untied States and we would not get another chance... blah blah blah, Obama's reelection would mean the end of America and all that.

They hyped the fear to the limit then as they will now, but the limit is about the same.

You honestly believe more than 80% of white college educated people will vote?
 
I personally know three college educated white men who have vowed to stay home this coming election.

All three voted for Mitt.
 
Jarod said:
I don't think so, their was the same horseshit in 2012 about saying that it was the Republicans last chance to save the Untied States and we would not get another chance... blah blah blah, Obama's reelection would mean the end of America and all that.

They hyped the fear to the limit then as they will now, but the limit is about the same.

You honestly believe more than 80% of white college educated people will vote?
Click to expand...

We went past hype a couple years ago.
This election is like no other.
 
PostmodernProphet said:
did the fact that now there is one Republican contender instead of 17 change your results at all?.......
Click to expand...

You clearly don't understand the chart. Did you look at it, or are you just that dumb?

It does not use poll numbers. It compares 2012's demographics with what you guess 2016's will be, it has nothing to do with how many candidates were in the primary or when.
 
Jarod said:
You clearly don't understand the chart. Did you look at it, or are you just that dumb?

It does not use poll numbers. It compares 2012's demographics with what you guess 2016's will be, it has nothing to do with how many candidates were in the primary or when.
Click to expand...

let me be blunt, since you seem to be missing the point......did your guess at what 2016 will be, change any after Trump beat all the other candidates.....if not, why are you clueless?.......
 
Jarod said:
That's the point, you change the factors to how you think the voting will be...
Click to expand...

The Election will depend entirely on voter turnout. Unfortunately, that's something you can't predict, but I would suggest weather will be an important factor in voter turnout.
 
Mircea said:
The Election will depend entirely on voter turnout. Unfortunately, that's something you can't predict, but I would suggest weather will be an important factor in voter turnout.
Click to expand...

A more important factor will be hate and fear. Do the Republicans hate HRC more than the Democrats fear Dangerous Donald.
 
As I currently see the race....

TRUMP

Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Nebraska (5)
North Dakota (3)
South Dakota (7)
Oklahoma (3)
Tennessee (11)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)

Colorado (9)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)

Indiana (11)
Louisiana (8)
Utah (6)

Mississippi (6)
South Carolina (9)
Texas (38)
Georgia (16)
North Carolina (9)
Florida (29)
Arizona (11)


TRUMP 238




HRC

Iowa (6)
Minnesota (10)
Ohio (18)
Virginia (13)

Connecticut (7)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
New Mexico (5)
Pennsylvania (20)

Maine (4)
Michigan (16)
New Jersey (14)
Oregon (7)
Washington (12)
Wisconsin (10)

California (55)
Delaware (3)
D.C. (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New York (29)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)



CLINTON 294
 
Mircea said:
The Election will depend entirely on voter turnout. Unfortunately, that's something you can't predict, but I would suggest weather will be an important factor in voter turnout.
Click to expand...

It's a pocketbook election. But there are new facets that c we're seeing for the first time in a long while.
 
Jarod said:
As I currently see the race....

TRUMP

Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Nebraska (5)
North Dakota (3)
South Dakota (7)
Oklahoma (3)
Tennessee (11)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)

Colorado (9)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)

Indiana (11)
Louisiana (8)
Utah (6)

Mississippi (6)
South Carolina (9)
Texas (38)
Georgia (16)
North Carolina (9)
Florida (29)
Arizona (11)


TRUMP 238




HRC

Iowa (6)
Minnesota (10)
Ohio (18)
Virginia (13)

Connecticut (7)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
New Mexico (5)
Pennsylvania (20)

Maine (4)
Michigan (16)
New Jersey (14)
Oregon (7)
Washington (12)
Wisconsin (10)

California (55)
Delaware (3)
D.C. (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New York (29)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)



CLINTON 294
Click to expand...

if that's true, if she loses Ohio and Virgina, Trump wins...
if she loses Michigan and New Jersey, Trump wins...
if she loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Trump wins...
if she loses any three of the above, Trump wins...

also keep in mind Hillary barely beat Bernie in Iowa even though it was their first match up and was involved in a major fiasco in Nevada against Bernie.....there are serious doubts she could win either state.....if she lost those, losing any ONE of the six states above would send her home.....
 
Last edited:
Jarod said:
You did not answer the question....

More than 80% of white college educated people are going to vote?
Click to expand...

You're the one who spoke of that, not I.
I don't think in those terms and especially this go round. I've been telling you conventional thinking does not apply.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top