Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

Hello Poor Richard Saunders,

Poor Richard Saunders said:
I have to wonder about case resolution numbers -

On April 11 we had 539,942 active cases.
On May 20, we have only 458,121 cases that have had outcomes.

Are people that get tested, stay home and get better on their own being counted in the outcomes? Nothing seems to suggest that people are sick for over a month. I can buy 2 week time frames from original positive test to being virus free. We may see an adjustment of the active cases at some point because of this.
Click to expand...

Good question. I have often wondered the same thing. Are the screeners calling these people back to ask them if they recovered? Or would it require a second test (or several) which come up negative... I have not been able to find out.

Ultimately we will learn, if the Active Cases eventually goes to zero.

We've had a hint. There was a point where the number of Active Cases dropped for a few days. That shows that the figure should indicate a peak at some point.
 
Wednesday

5-20

USA

Total Cases 1,592,723

New Cases +22,140

Total Deaths 94,936

New Deaths +1,403

Total Recovered 370,076

Active Cases 1,127,711

Serious, Critical 17,815

Tot Cases/1M pop 4,815

Deaths/1M pop 287

Total Tests 14,117,870

Tests/1M pop 42,680
 
TOP said:
"Most U.S. states reported a drop in new cases of the respiratory illness for the week ended May 17, with only 13 states seeing a rise in infections compared to the previous week, a separate Reuters analysis found."

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-trends-graphic-idUSKBN22U28P
All 50 states are in the process of slowly and carefully reopening....;)
Click to expand...

There were/are a number of tests still out and it's hard to get an accurate assessment of totals.
That said, the GF said there are plenty of tests available at her hospital, and although there are positive cases, there are no "serious" cases there. They sent an 83 yr. old man home last week (and a 60's something woman) who was on a vent for 2 weeks, no other cases are on a vent there now.
 
I was wrong.

I performed a mathematical extrapolation of the curve on the graph of Total Deaths on May 1st which showed that if the number continued rising at the same rate, that we would reach 100,000 deaths by May 20th.

At the time of that extrapolation we had 65,753 deaths. People scoffed at the thought that we would reach 100,000 deaths, or that it would occur so soon.

I am glad I was wrong about that. That is an occasion where I would prefer to be wrong.

Sadly, though, I was not far from the mark. We have exceeded 94,000. There can be little doubt now that we will exceed 100,000 deaths and higher.

It should also be noted that there are most certainly deaths which are not being counted as COVID-19 deaths, so the true number is likely higher than the official one.

I just performed another extrapolation, using current data.

It reveals that we will reach the 100,000 mark by May 27th or 28th.

When the 'fake news' says we will be at 100,000 deaths by June 1st, they are actually a bit on the safe side.

It appears to me we will be working on our second 100,000 dead Americans by then.
 
TOP said:
"Most U.S. states reported a drop in new cases of the respiratory illness for the week ended May 17, with only 13 states seeing a rise in infections compared to the previous week, a separate Reuters analysis found."

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-trends-graphic-idUSKBN22U28P
All 50 states are in the process of slowly and carefully reopening....;)
Click to expand...

Indeed.

Of course PoliTalker was cheering the economic loss to millions of Americans and their families caused by the virus from China.
 
PoliTalker said:
I was wrong.

I performed a mathematical extrapolation of the curve on the graph of Total Deaths on May 1st which showed that if the number continued rising at the same rate, that we would reach 100,000 deaths by May 20th.

At the time of that extrapolation we had 65,753 deaths. People scoffed at the thought that we would reach 100,000 deaths, or that it would occur so soon.

I am glad I was wrong about that. That is an occasion where I would prefer to be wrong.

Sadly, though, I was not far from the mark. We have exceeded 94,000. There can be little doubt now that we will exceed 100,000 deaths and higher.

It should also be noted that there are most certainly deaths which are not being counted as COVID-19 deaths, so the true number is likely higher than the official one.

I just performed another extrapolation, using current data.

It reveals that we will reach the 100,000 mark by May 27th or 28th.

When the 'fake news' says we will be at 100,000 deaths by June 1st, they are actually a bit on the safe side.

It appears to me we will be working on our second 100,000 dead Americans by then.
Click to expand...

The more Americans that die, the better, according to you. At least, all your posts mimic that.
 
RB 60 said:
The more Americans that die, the better, according to you. At least, all your posts mimic that.
Click to expand...
It odes seem that way, doesn't it? He's not alone here in those sentiments....who celebrates death? Joyfully gives shoutouts for America to keep grieving?
 
I'm glad I was wrong about reaching 100,000 deaths by May 20th.

I just wish I had been MORE wrong. We got terribly close, and we'll be all the way there very soon.

And one of the scary numbers to watch is the Serious / Critical figure.

That keeps rising. almost 18,000 now.

We need that trend to be reversed before we'll be able to see a reduction of deaths.

Because we know that some of those 18,000 won't make it.
 
Thursday

5-21

USA

Total Cases 1,620,902

New Cases +28,179

Total Deaths 96,354

New Deaths +1,418

Total Recovered 382,169

Active Cases 1,142,379

Serious, Critical 17,902

Tot Cases/1M pop 4,900

Deaths/1M pop 291

Total Tests 13,439,114

Tests/1M pop 40,627
 
Friday

5-23

USA

Total Cases 1,645,094

New Cases +24,197

Total Deaths 97,647

New Deaths +1,293

Total Recovered 433,597

Active Cases 1,113,850

Serious, Critical 17,109

Tot Cases/1M pop 4,973

Deaths/1M pop 295

Total Tests 13,909,905

Tests/1M pop 42,050
 
PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"
 
Saturday,

5-23

USA

Total Cases 1,666,828

New Cases +21,929

Total Deaths 98,683

New Deaths +1,036

Total Recovered 446,914

Active Cases 1,121,231

Serious, Critical 17,133

Tot Cases/1M pop 5,039

Deaths/1M pop 298

Total Tests 14,357,969

Tests/1M pop 43,404
 
We have essentially reached the 100,000 deaths mark.

At this point there can be little hope that this is as high as it goes, especially with DT urging everybody to go out and spend money.

You would think he has enough, with his glass towers and all.

Very atrocious that he wants to risk a second wave, or just figures he will BS his way out of that just like everything else.

Because we know him well enough now to know that he doesn't care in the least about those people at risk.

That is meaningless to him.

He cares about himself, his ratings, his wealth and his power.

With a strong attention addiction.
 
Earl said:
PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"
Click to expand...

Addlepate.
 
Sunday

5-24

USA

Total Cases 1,686,436

New Cases +19,608

Total Deaths 99,300

New Deaths +617

Total Recovered 451,702

Active Cases 1,135,434

Serious, Critical 17,135

Tot Cases/1M pop 5,098

Deaths/1M pop 300

Total Tests 14,749,756

Tests/1M pop 44,587
 
Looks like today might be the day.

Memorial Day.

Today might be the day we reach 100,000 dead Americans from COVID-19.

Kind of ironic for it to happen on the day we remember our fallen war heroes.

We make a remembrance holiday, but death takes no holiday.

The deaths have actually slowed down, but still they come.

We are not outta the woods yet.

This is no time to drop our guard.

So I have no idea why we see so many unpatriotic people acting like it it's all over, not distancing, not wearing a mask in public.

What's wrong with them?

How selfish can they be?

Why would they listen to our terrible president or take their queues from him?

He sets a very bad example, out of his own selfishness.
 
Monday

5-25

USA

Total Cases 1,706,226

New Cases +19,790

Total Deaths 99,805

New Deaths +505

Total Recovered 464,670

Active Cases 1,141,751

Serious, Critical 17,114

Tot Cases/1M pop 5,158

Deaths/1M pop 302

Total Tests 15,187,647

Tests/1M pop 45,910
 
RB 60 said:
The more Americans that die, the better, according to you. At least, all your posts mimic that.
Click to expand...

Indeed.

He cheered when the stock market went down due to the virus from China that China failed to contain.

PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"
 
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