Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

[PoliTalker]

Here is a graph of the daily deaths.

It fluctuates, so it's hard to tell if a peak is past us.

It isn't.

The thing to look at is the Active Cases.

Daily deaths:

 

[PoliTalker]

Friday 5-1

USA

Total Cases 1,131,030

New Cases +36,007

Total Deaths 65,753

New Deaths +1,897

Total Recovered 161,563

Active Cases 903,714

Serious, Critical 16,481

Tot Cases/1M pop 3,417

Deaths/1M pop 199

Total Tests 6,699,878

Tests/1M pop 20,241

 

[PoliTalker]

Wow. Lotta new cases yesterday.

A spike in new cases.

New cases have risen sharply for the last 5 days:



No way we can say the peak is behind us.

The worst is still to come.

We better be real careful about opening businesses back up. Especially ones which would result in large crowds and groups in confined places for long periods of time.

If we are not smart about this we could end up with a second wave.

 

[PoliTalker]

Saturday

5-2

USA

Total Cases 1,160,774

New Cases +29,744

Total Deaths 67,444

New Deaths +1,691

Total Recovered 173,318

Active Cases 920,012

Serious, Critical 16,475

Tot Cases/1M pop 3,507

Deaths/1M pop 204

Total Tests 6,931,132

Tests/1M pop 20,940

 

[PoliTalker]

920K Active Cases. Wow.

I made a prediction on May 1 that we would have a million Active Cases by May 10th.

Let's see how that works out.

Obviously, no peak yet.

 

[PoliTalker]

It is hard to look at these rising numbers and not be moved.

Sunday

5-3

USA

Total Cases 1,188,122

New Cases +27,348

Total Deaths 68,598

New Deaths +1,154

Total Recovered 178,263

Active Cases 941,261

Serious, Critical 16,139

Tot Cases/1M pop 3,589

Deaths/1M pop 207

Total Tests 7,196,740

Tests/1M pop 21,742

 

[Earl]

PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"

 

[PoliTalker]

Hello Darth,

It is coming up on a month since you said this:

Well, I see where COVID’s high number producer [NYC] has hit the top of the curve which means it should start to drop.

What if it drops ‘too fast’? Too early to be talking about a colossal fiasco?

This one's for you:

New York, 5-3-20:

Total Cases 323,883

New Cases +4,670

Total Deaths 24,648

New Deaths +280

Active Cases 246,444

Tot Cases/1M pop 16,509

Deaths/1M pop 1,256

Total Tests 985,911

Tests/1M pop 50,254

You said you like predictions, Darth.

Follow along with me.

I made a prediction of sorts on 5-1-20 that:

"At the current rate of rise, since we have not reached the peak yet, extrapolating out, we will reach a million active cases of Covid-19 by May 10th.

I just performed an extrapolation of the current death rate which reveals that we will reach 100,000 deaths by May 20th."

These are rising numbers.

The peak is not behind us.

We have not reached the peak yet.

Do you think these predictions will be wrong?

When I said that the Active Cases were 878,843, and the Total Deaths were 63,856.

Now, we are already up to Active Cases of 941,261, and Total Deaths are 68,598. That is how much those numbers rose in 3 days.

I hope I'm wrong.

 

[Earl]

PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"

 

[PoliTalker]

Look. We had a low deaths day yesterday.

Only 1154.

We have seen low death days before, and then the numbers rose again. Are we finally tapering off?

That would probably be wishful thinking.

There are over 16K people in serious or critical condition.

 

[Earl]

PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"

 

[Darth Omar]

Hello Darth,

It is coming up on a month since you said this:



This one's for you:

New York, 5-3-20:

Total Cases 323,883

New Cases +4,670

Total Deaths 24,648

New Deaths +280

Active Cases 246,444

Tot Cases/1M pop 16,509

Deaths/1M pop 1,256

Total Tests 985,911

Tests/1M pop 50,254

You said you like predictions, Darth.

Follow along with me.

I made a prediction of sorts on 5-1-20 that:

"At the current rate of rise, since we have not reached the peak yet, extrapolating out, we will reach a million active cases of Covid-19 by May 10th.

I just performed an extrapolation of the current death rate which reveals that we will reach 100,000 deaths by May 20th."

These are rising numbers.

The peak is not behind us.

We have not reached the peak yet.

Do you think these predictions will be wrong?

When I said that the Active Cases were 878,843, and the Total Deaths were 63,856.

Now, we are already up to Active Cases of 941,261, and Total Deaths are 68,598. That is how much those numbers rose in 3 days.

I hope I'm wrong.

Saved.

 

[PoliTalker]

Hello Darth,

Saved.

OK, we're on. Let's see how I do.

No comment on your incorrect belief that NYC hit the top of the curve on 4-11-20, which has since been proven wrong?

 

[Earl]

Here’ how you “do.”

PoliTalker:

"Dive, market, DIVE!

Take DT down with you.


02-28-2020, 06:47 AM #5 | Top
PoliTalker


"Sometimes things have to get worse before they can get better.

We're going down.

BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT! BZZZZZT!

Dive! Dive! Dive!"

 

[ThatOwlWoman]

Look. We had a low deaths day yesterday.
Only 1154.
We have seen low death days before, and then the numbers rose again. Are we finally tapering off?

Weekends tend to have lower reported numbers because so many state/county health departments are closed then. Tuesday - Friday seem to be the most up-to-date.

I have a really, really bad premonition that this is going to end up like the Spanish Flu pandemic. Governments bowing to pressure from small but loud groups re-open too soon, followed by another huge spike in cases and lost lives.

Humans: We are not logical.

Denver, 1918:

The only difference is they waited till the numbers had dropped off to re-open. We're not even doing that.

 

[Darth Omar]

Hello Darth,



OK, we're on. Let's see how I do.

No comment on your incorrect belief that NYC hit the top of the curve on 4-11-20, which has since been proven wrong?

The graph I pulled up showed they peaked on 4/25 then it dropped steeply but has risen slightly over the past couple of days. Are you calling the slight rise ‘the top of the curve’? Curves only have one top lol.

Since NY/NYC owns nearly a third of our national numbers [and skewing the data in the process] why can’t Cuomo and DeBlasio get their acts together on this thing?

Trump gave them a bunch of ventilators they didn’t need; sent a big Navy hospital to them they didn’t really need; built hospitals they didn’t need.

What gives?

 

[Darth Omar]

And yes, I was wrong in my prediction.

But it seems I have plenty of company lol.

 

[PoliTalker]

Hello Darth,

The graph I pulled up showed they peaked on 4/25 then it dropped steeply but has risen slightly over the past couple of days. Are you calling the slight rise ‘the top of the curve’? Curves only have one top lol.

Since NY/NYC owns nearly a third of our national numbers [and skewing the data in the process] why can’t Cuomo and DeBlasio get their acts together on this thing?

Trump gave them a bunch of ventilators they didn’t need; sent a big Navy hospital to them they didn’t really need; built hospitals they didn’t need.

What gives?

Maybe those things will be needed yet.

New predictions from multiple sources say daily deaths will rise to 3000 per day.

 

[PoliTalker]

Hello Darth,

And yes, I was wrong in my prediction.

But it seems I have plenty of company lol.

Thank you for saying so. Totally elevates your own credibility.

Problem is that the president and most of his supporters seem to have an extremely difficult time admitting it when they are wrong.

 

[PoliTalker]

Monday

5-4

USA

-Shoot. Edited wrong post on 5-6. Lost most of the numbers for 5-4.

Did manage to capture this:

Active Cases 954,887