Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

Hello Nordberg,

Nordberg said:
We are essentially fucked by a bad leadership and stupid followers. There is no way out when reds have the power. So Alabama Univ, opened up and they have 1200 cases in a couple of weeks. School are going to have to close again. But even a vaccine will not help us. Reports are that 40 percent of Americans will refuse to take it. Early on Trump said let it run its course. That is what we are doing.
Click to expand...

But still. When the total number of confirmed cases is compared to the number of people in the USA, it indicates only 1.8% of Americans have gotten this virus. Now, we know the actual number is higher, but we do not know how much.

If enough people get the vaccine to stop the spread, then the virus shrinks. Eventually it is out of circulation, only clings on in remote cases. Did you know the bubonic plague is still alive? We have simply limited the spread to the point that it is not a problem for most people.
 
Last edited:
A relatively good day yesterday, as has been the case for a Sunday.

Almost all the parameters showed encouraging figures.

All except the number of Active Cases, which unfortunately continues to rise.
 
Sunday

8-30

USA

Total Cases 6,173,236

New Cases +33,981

Total Deaths 187,224

New Deaths +369

Total Recovered 3,425,723

Active Cases 2,560,289

Serious, Critical 15,996

Tot Cases/1M pop 18,632

Deaths/1M pop 565

Total Tests 81,830,079

Tests/1M pop 246,978
 
Hello moon,

Thanks for this link:

moon said:
Coronavirus live news: US nears 6m cases, Russia approaches 1m

https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...s-near-6m-uk-records-highest-cases-since-june
Click to expand...

Oh wow.

This makes sense, (sadly.)

"Researchers think that non-Covid deaths have also increased in some places due partly to health service disruptions, although these may be harder to calculate.

The WHO survey said it was “reasonable to anticipate that even a modest disruption in essential health services could lead to an increase in morbidity and mortality from causes other than Covid-19 in the short to medium and long-term.” Further research was needed.

It also warned that the disruptions could be felt even after the pandemic ends. “The impact may be felt beyond the immediate pandemic as, in trying to catch up on services, countries may find that resources are overwhelmed.”"
 
Active Cases continue to rise, but it looks like the curve is trying to level off.

Screenshot_2020-09-01 United States Coronavirus 6,212,174 Cases and 187,742 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg

If we could just get more people to take this seriously maybe we can really get it under control.

Let's hope forcing schools to open in a deadly pandemic does not cause another surge in cases.
 
Monday

8-31

USA

Total Cases 6,211,796

New Cases +38,560

Total Deaths 187,736

New Deaths +512

Total Recovered 3,456,263

Active Cases 2,567,797

Serious, Critical 15,864

Tot Cases/1M pop 18,748

Deaths/1M pop 567

Total Tests 82,624,841

Tests/1M pop 249,373
 
Active cases STILL rising.

We still have not reached a peak.

Flashback: DT thought we would peak by Easter.

He thought we could 'open up the economy' then.

We *SO* have to get rid of that fool.

The best thing we could do for America (and the world) at this point is to DUMP TRUMP!
 
Tuesday

9-1

USA

Total Cases 6,257,571

New Cases +41,979

Total Deaths 188,900

New Deaths +1,164

Total Recovered 3,496,913

Active Cases 2,571,758

Serious, Critical 15,079

Tot Cases/1M pop 18,886

Deaths/1M pop 570

Total Tests 83,350,119

Tests/1M pop 251,558
 
Look!

Another fluctuation in Active Cases.

Are we trying to level the curve?

The last time that happened we almost got control of it and then had another big surge after July 4th.

And here comes Labor Day...
 
PoliTalker said:
Active cases STILL rising.

We still have not reached a peak.

Flashback: DT thought we would peak by Easter.

He thought we could 'open up the economy' then.

We *SO* have to get rid of that fool.

The best thing we could do for America (and the world) at this point is to DUMP TRUMP!
Click to expand...

Trump might well have been right.

By ‘active cases’ do you mean positive tests?
 
Hello Darth,

Darth Omar said:
Trump might well have been right.

By ‘active cases’ do you mean positive tests?
Click to expand...

No. 'Active Cases' is exactly that. Active Cases.

Add up all instances of a positive test. Subtract all instances where someone who tested positive recovered and later tested negative. Also subtract all instances where someone who tested positive ended up dying. PT - NT - D = AC.

This is the best indicator of the spread of the virus.

When we get the virus under control and the spread is limited, the number of Active Cases will fall. Eventually, we would like to see that number go to 0. Nations which have gotten the Coronavirus completely under control have done that. Antigua currently has 0 Active Cases. There are stringent travel restrictions for entering Antigua. You must have taken a test and have a negative result prior to being allowed in the country, and restrictions will be in place for monitoring for 14 days after arrival.

Visiting Antiqua Coronavirus Restrictions
 
Wednesday

9-2

USA

Total Cases 6,290,737

New Cases +41,211

Total Deaths 189,964

New Deaths +1,090

Total Recovered 3,547,032

Active Cases 2,553,741

Serious, Critical 15,101

Tot Cases/1M pop 18,986

Deaths/1M pop 573

Total Tests 84,098,411

Tests/1M pop 253,812
 
PoliTalker said:
Hello Darth,



No. 'Active Cases' is exactly that. Active Cases.

Add up all instances of a positive test. Subtract all instances where someone who tested positive recovered and later tested negative. Also subtract all instances where someone who tested positive ended up dying. PT - NT - D = AC.

This is the best indicator of the spread of the virus.

When we get the virus under control and the spread is limited, the number of Active Cases will fall. Eventually, we would like to see that number go to 0. Nations which have gotten the Coronavirus completely under control have done that. Antigua currently has 0 Active Cases. There are stringent travel restrictions for entering Antigua. You must have taken a test and have a negative result prior to being allowed in the country, and restrictions will be in place for monitoring for 14 days after arrival.

Visiting Antiqua Coronavirus Restrictions
Click to expand...

How is Sweden doing?
 
PoliTalker said:
Hello Darth,



Sweden has been highly criticized for their approach which has resulted in 577 deaths per million.

We will surpass that very quickly. We are now at 574 deaths per million.
Click to expand...

....and one step closer to herd immunity just like Sweden! Woot!

4cor38.gif
 
Darth Omar said:
Trump might well have been right.

By ‘active cases’ do you mean positive tests?
Click to expand...

...but, as usual, Trump is probably completely wrong. If Trump makes 20 predictions and only one hits as being correct, Trumpeteers cheer it as a complete victory. Everyone else points out, "good, but he was wrong 95% of the time and not to be trusted as a predictor."
 
Hello Dutch Uncle,

Dutch Uncle said:
....and one step closer to herd immunity just like Sweden! Woot!

4cor38.gif
Click to expand...

Sweden has 10,110,233 people, and 84,729 Total Cases.

84,729 / 10,110,233 = 0.0083

0.0083 x 100% = 0.83%

You do not achieve 'herd immunity' with fewer than 1% of the population contracting the disease.
 
PoliTalker said:
Hello Dutch Uncle,



Sweden has 10,110,233 people, and 84,729 Total Cases.

84,729 / 10,110,233 = 0.0083

0.0083 x 100% = 0.83%

You do not achieve 'herd immunity' with fewer than 1% of the population contracting the disease.
Click to expand...

Assuming the only factor in herd immunity are COVID antibodies.

Why are the vast majority of cases mild even in people with no COVID antibodies?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top