What are we looking for on election night?

Mott the Hoople said:
...and Santa will bring me that Porsche 911 I've always wanted. :)
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its already hitched to the reindeer.....
porsche-911-gt2-rs-crash-at-160-mph-50680_1.jpg
 
Teflon Don said:
The last time you lefties uttered those words was in September when Trump was leading. It is your way of reconciling the fact that Crooked Hillary is on her way to losing unless something big happens to change the trajectory of this race. I will give Crooked Hillary credit, she tried desperately to try to get Trump to go on a Twitter rage when she rolled out Miss Piggy and got Gloria Alred's daughter to head fake a press conference about the alleged 13 year old rape victim. But, Trump didn't take the bait. Now Crooked Hillary is left with nothing.

I can't even begin to tell you how happy it will make me to see her lose and offer up a concession speech to Trump. I don't think she has even conceived the possibility that she will lose. Think about this. If Trump loses, he goes back to being a billionaire and building his business. If Crooked Hillary loses, she literally has nothing. Here entire life has been about this moment. About her getting to the Presidency.

If she loses, then I will know proof positive that there is a God and that he loves the United States of America.
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harsh!
 
Mr. Meeseeks said:
tsuke is accidently correct here. Trump winning PA would imply he's having a very good shot of winning MI and florida would follow from that.
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Two things stick out for me: the first is the trend. Trump is trending up and Hillary is melting down. Her electoral ship is like the Titanic---its in the process of sinking lol! She needs the election to be TODAY because by next Tuesday her numbers could be worse.

Second: Trump consistently out performed his poll numbers in the primaries. No way of knowing if that will continue in the general but if it does, it's trouble for Hillary.
 
And this one.

Rationalist
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Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania

A new poll shows Republican Mitt Romney leading in Pennsylvania, a state that Republicans had all but written off just weeks ago but which is now listed as a toss up by the Real Clear Politics website.

Susquehanna Polling and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead over President Obama.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-s...3#.UICJgvV0TIM

If I may offer a suggestion to liberals, it would be this: check yourselves into a mental health facility early Nov. 6th, because things aren't going to end well for your messiah. :)
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How about...

morf13
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Dems already starting to panic, especially in Pennsylvania
The Dems are already starting to panic. These couple statements are very telling.

First, regarding the state of PA, Stephanie Cutter, Obama's campaign manager, had this to say-
"Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has “tightened” ahead of Election Day.
“Pennsylvania has tightened, absolutely. If I were working on the Romney campaign, I would probably be giving it a shot, too,” Cutter said on CNN

Next, they sent this out to their people-

"In a conference call this afternoon, President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign had one central message for their supporters when Election Day arrives tomorrow: They should “keep calm,” even if they hear snippets of information favoring Republican Mitt Romney.
“My warning, we need to stay calm for much of the day,” Stephanie Cutter, Mr. Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said, touting thousands of early ballots already submitted by voters. “We’ve already banked a pretty big portion of our vote.”
The fear, she explained, was early numbers leaking before voters have finished going to the polls, creating unnecessary panic and pessimism among Democrats."

Even President Barack Obama's $1 billion re-election team is hinting that Pennsylvania voters appear likely to support GOP nominee Mitt Romney. According to excerpts of Obama campaign conference calls, its team has been told to avoid showing panic on Election Day.
Politico reports that, "Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama's deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has ‘tightened’ ahead of Election Day."

Anybody who knows Cutter, or has watched her, knows she always always lies, and doesnt give anything away. This tells me that they are genuinely worried. They should be, because as I have been saying all along, ROMNEY WILL TAKE PA!!
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Mr. Meeseeks said:
tsuke is accidently correct here. Trump winning PA would imply he's having a very good shot of winning MI and florida would follow from that.
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If Trump wins PA he will be having more than a good night. Crooked Hillary will have zero chance. It means he will take EVERY battleground and then some. I admit I got a little wrapped up in the hype in 2012. Not making that mistake this year.

Can Hillary win? Of course. It is still hers to lose. But the trend is not her friend. Unless something dramatic happens I don't see the trend changing between now and Tuesday.

I suspect if there were Apprentice tapes as was rumored they would have been released by now.

Crooked Hillary blew her oppo wad.

What I can't get over is how all of those genius GOP establishment types didn't find that info on Trump particularly Miss Piggy. That could have finished Trump in the primaries especially in SC. That is why why are feckless and would have been run over by Clinton.

#DRAINTHESWAMP
 
Teflon Don said:
If Trump wins PA he will be having more than a good night. Crooked Hillary will have zero chance. It means he will take EVERY battleground and then some. I admit I got a little wrapped up in the hype in 2012. Not making that mistake this year.
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You claimed you were not voting for Romney. I would think you are more likely to be swayed by the hype for your ideal candidate, than for Romney.
 
christiefan915 said:
How about...

morf13
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Verified User

Join DateOct 2012LocationNJPosts156Thanks1Thanked 11 Times in 11 PostsGroans0Groaned 8 Times in 8 Posts

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Dems already starting to panic, especially in Pennsylvania
The Dems are already starting to panic. These couple statements are very telling.

First, regarding the state of PA, Stephanie Cutter, Obama's campaign manager, had this to say-
"Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has “tightened” ahead of Election Day.
“Pennsylvania has tightened, absolutely. If I were working on the Romney campaign, I would probably be giving it a shot, too,” Cutter said on CNN

Next, they sent this out to their people-

"In a conference call this afternoon, President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign had one central message for their supporters when Election Day arrives tomorrow: They should “keep calm,” even if they hear snippets of information favoring Republican Mitt Romney.
“My warning, we need to stay calm for much of the day,” Stephanie Cutter, Mr. Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said, touting thousands of early ballots already submitted by voters. “We’ve already banked a pretty big portion of our vote.”
The fear, she explained, was early numbers leaking before voters have finished going to the polls, creating unnecessary panic and pessimism among Democrats."

Even President Barack Obama's $1 billion re-election team is hinting that Pennsylvania voters appear likely to support GOP nominee Mitt Romney. According to excerpts of Obama campaign conference calls, its team has been told to avoid showing panic on Election Day.
Politico reports that, "Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama's deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has ‘tightened’ ahead of Election Day."

Anybody who knows Cutter, or has watched her, knows she always always lies, and doesnt give anything away. This tells me that they are genuinely worried. They should be, because as I have been saying all along, ROMNEY WILL TAKE PA!!
​
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you know i dont threadban but we actually have a decent discussion from both sides here which we rarely do. Just make another thread for posts like these. thanks.
 
christiefan915 said:
How about...

morf13
user-offline.png
Verified User

Join DateOct 2012LocationNJPosts156Thanks1Thanked 11 Times in 11 PostsGroans0Groaned 8 Times in 8 Posts

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Dems already starting to panic, especially in Pennsylvania
The Dems are already starting to panic. These couple statements are very telling.

First, regarding the state of PA, Stephanie Cutter, Obama's campaign manager, had this to say-
"Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has “tightened” ahead of Election Day.
“Pennsylvania has tightened, absolutely. If I were working on the Romney campaign, I would probably be giving it a shot, too,” Cutter said on CNN

Next, they sent this out to their people-

"In a conference call this afternoon, President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign had one central message for their supporters when Election Day arrives tomorrow: They should “keep calm,” even if they hear snippets of information favoring Republican Mitt Romney.
“My warning, we need to stay calm for much of the day,” Stephanie Cutter, Mr. Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said, touting thousands of early ballots already submitted by voters. “We’ve already banked a pretty big portion of our vote.”
The fear, she explained, was early numbers leaking before voters have finished going to the polls, creating unnecessary panic and pessimism among Democrats."

Even President Barack Obama's $1 billion re-election team is hinting that Pennsylvania voters appear likely to support GOP nominee Mitt Romney. According to excerpts of Obama campaign conference calls, its team has been told to avoid showing panic on Election Day.
Politico reports that, "Stephanie Cutter, President Barack Obama's deputy campaign manager, said Monday night that Pennsylvania has ‘tightened’ ahead of Election Day."

Anybody who knows Cutter, or has watched her, knows she always always lies, and doesnt give anything away. This tells me that they are genuinely worried. They should be, because as I have been saying all along, ROMNEY WILL TAKE PA!!
​
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im not those people, retard. take it up with them, not me. Secondly your argument is still wrong... elections come down to probability. Romney did have a chance, it just didn't break his way. On election day romney was around 10%.

We dont flip coins and then act as if it was impossible for it to land tails when it comes up heads. We don't roll a die and get smug when it's not a 5 or 6.

Trumps chances of winning right now are higher than the cubs chances of winning the world series when they were down 3-1. Guess what? The cubs won.

People vastly underestimate what 30-35% means in their daily lives, they automatically round it down to zero in their heads. 35% is a very frequently occurring number.

Not all elections are the same, dynamics can be different, just because romney didn't win PA doesn't mean Trump wont as well. Is it your logical conclusion no republican will ever win PA ever again? Is it your logical conclusion that because some people predicted a romney win that anyone ever predicting a republican win in the future is automatically wrong? That is retarded, small girly brain thinking. Those are christe-thoughts.

This election is not 2012. Trump has a very realistic shot of winning. He is not the favorite. Those aren't mutually exclusive concepts. If he does end up losing that doesn't change the rational analysis of this election, and you don't get to retroactively act as if tails or rolling a 5 or 6 was impossible.
 
Teflon Don said:
If Trump wins PA he will be having more than a good night. Crooked Hillary will have zero chance. It means he will take EVERY battleground and then some. I admit I got a little wrapped up in the hype in 2012. Not making that mistake this year.

Can Hillary win? Of course. It is still hers to lose. But the trend is not her friend. Unless something dramatic happens I don't see the trend changing between now and Tuesday.

I suspect if there were Apprentice tapes as was rumored they would have been released by now.

Crooked Hillary blew her oppo wad.

What I can't get over is how all of those genius GOP establishment types didn't find that info on Trump particularly Miss Piggy. That could have finished Trump in the primaries especially in SC. That is why why are feckless and would have been run over by Clinton.

#DRAINTHESWAMP
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at 35% we would expect to see an upset with this probability about once every 12 years, or once every 3 election cycles. The best argument trump has for his success is that if there was ever a time for an upset, it's now. He's facing another unpopular candidate, and there is a high volume on uncertainty and voters that still haven't made up their minds. If we expect to see a 35%'er win anytime soon, it'll likely be this election. the conditions are ripe for it.
 
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