I do have to say that my call options on BNO and GUSH have been doing very well. It is a good time to be investing in higher oil prices.I'm going like gangbusters!
I do feel a little guilty about doing so while oil prices push the USA into a recession, but it is not like I caused trump to hand over the Strait of Hormuz to Iran. Don't blame me, I did not vote for him.
Right now, gasoline prices are going up by 2.1% a day. If that continues for a week, it wipes out any model claiming 2.8% growth.However, early models project Q2 2026 real GDP growth at 2.8%.
If trump really works this, he might be able to get another month out of the strategic reserves(trump is not known for working, so maybe not). Even if he opens the Strait of Hormuz today, that puts oil above $130 for the month of June. If it takes another month from today to open the Strait of Hormuz, that is two months of $130 oil, and almost certainly a recession. That would be negative GDP growth for either Q2 or Q3, more likely Q3, but with flat growth in Q2.
We are all making predictions, so will have to wait and see.
Maybe the young adults you know are lazy. The ones I know all do income stacking. They will be an engineer, and also walk dogs for money. They will be a bartender, and also rent out sound equipment. They will be in high school, and also have an incorporated patio/shed building business.There are many young adults that refuse to do any sort of physical work.
The Millennials, Generation Z's, and the leading edge of the Generation Alphas I know are all harder working, but not as focused as previous generations. Then again, I do not know anyone in Gardner's family.