U.S. Recession Chances in Next Two Years Top 60%, JPMorgan Says

R

reagansghost

eternal
the Dow is down another 300 pts just today...........nice work Donnie and there's your Christmas gift cultists, enjoy!!


The U.S. economy has a greater than 50-50 chance of tipping into a recession in the next two years, according to a model tracked by JPMorgan Chase & Co.

The probability of a U.S. recession within one year is almost 28 percent, and rises to more than 60 percent over the next two years, researchers wrote in a note this week. Over the next three years, the odds are higher than 80 percent, according to the note.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...hances-in-next-two-years-top-60-jpmorgan-says
 
You know, reagan, posting something like this right before Christmas could dampen the 'Christmas Spirit' (like buying a bunch of shit for yourself and everybody else) and be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Why not let the Consumers spend themselves into more debt and let the Shareholders increase their bottom line.
Why do you hate Corporate America?
Try and remember what Bush said after 9/11 ... "Go Shopping".
 
reagansghost said:
the Dow is down another 300 pts just today...........nice work Donnie and there's your Christmas gift cultists, enjoy!!


The U.S. economy has a greater than 50-50 chance of tipping into a recession in the next two years, according to a model tracked by JPMorgan Chase & Co.

The probability of a U.S. recession within one year is almost 28 percent, and rises to more than 60 percent over the next two years, researchers wrote in a note this week. Over the next three years, the odds are higher than 80 percent, according to the note.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...hances-in-next-two-years-top-60-jpmorgan-says
Click to expand...

Assuming Wikipedia is correctly tabulating all post World War 2 recessions and assuming that the Great Trump Recession comes to pass, my calculations indicate that 10 out of 13 (10/13) post-WW2 recessions have all been during Republican administrations.

That cannot be due to mere chance alone.
 
Cypress said:
Assuming Wikipedia is correctly tabulating all post World War 2 recessions and assuming that the Great Trump Recession comes to pass, my calculations indicate that 10 out of 13 (10/13) post-WW2 recessions have all been during Republican administrations.

That cannot be due to mere chance alone.
Click to expand...

I think 'Math Whiz' Oneuli has proved this using data on two separate occasions here at JPP.
 
Jack said:
You know, reagan, posting something like this right before Christmas could dampen the 'Christmas Spirit' (like buying a bunch of shit for yourself and everybody else) and be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Why not let the Consumers spend themselves into more debt and let the Shareholders increase their bottom line.
Why do you hate Corporate America?
Try and remember what Bush said after 9/11 ... "Go Shopping".
Click to expand...

I hear ya, been running up all my cards buying Chinese trinkets for Goodwill
 
The economy is the only thing Trump has going for him. Going to be a sad blue WH this year. Good thing there's those red trees!!!
 
Many bankers see a recession much sooner and are elevating lending requirements, That, of course, will slow the economy down more. The pieces are in place for a real mess created by Daffy and his ignorance.
 
Hello Nordberg,

Nordberg said:
Many bankers see a recession much sooner and are elevating lending requirements, That, of course, will slow the economy down more. The pieces are in place for a real mess created by Daffy and his ignorance.
Click to expand...

Leave to President Trump to screw up a good thing.
 
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