U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%

Grokmaster

Grokmaster

Well-known member
Contributor
And these are NOT bullshit "government jobs", the Biden/Dem specialty.





Economy

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%​




Points
  • Nonfarm payrolls increased by 130,000 for January, above the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 55,000.
  • The unemployment rate edged lower to 4.3%. A more encompassing measure slipped to 8%, down 0.4 percentage point from December.
  • As has often been the case for the U.S. labor market, health care led job gains in January, adding 82,000 positions. Social assistance also rose, up 42,000, while construction added 33,000.





www.cnbc.com

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%

Job growth was stronger than expected to start 2026, providing some relief to concerns about the state of the U.S. labor market.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
 
This ^^^^^^^^^^ + 5.3% Q4 GDP growth =


illustration-rocket-ascending-over-upward-trending-stock-market-chart-concept-strong-bull-market-skyrocketing-313013102.jpg




:grokmaster:
 
One place were jobs are being created is healthcare, and a good deal of that is because of the death jabs which are making people sick and killing people every day.
 
Grokmaster said:
And these are NOT bullshit "government jobs", the Biden/Dem specialty.





Economy

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%​




Points
  • Nonfarm payrolls increased by 130,000 for January, above the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 55,000.
  • The unemployment rate edged lower to 4.3%. A more encompassing measure slipped to 8%, down 0.4 percentage point from December.
  • As has often been the case for the U.S. labor market, health care led job gains in January, adding 82,000 positions. Social assistance also rose, up 42,000, while construction added 33,000.





www.cnbc.com

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%

Job growth was stronger than expected to start 2026, providing some relief to concerns about the state of the U.S. labor market.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
Click to expand...
180,000 jobs for the entire year of 2025. They keep revising it down.

This will be revised down as well. They put out a big number for the headline every month and it slowly get reduced to the real number over a number of months. Tis will likely tue=rn out to be the same 15,000 that they averaged last year.
 
Crepitus said:
180,000 jobs for the entire year of 2025. They keep revising it down.

This will be revised down as well. They put out a big number for the headline every month and it slowly get reduced to the real number over a number of months. Tis will likely tue=rn out to be the same 15,000 that they averaged last year.
Click to expand...
Yet started 2026 with 130,000.

Choke on it.
 
Will US GDP growth in 2026 translate into a better life for the lower classes of Americans?

Not automatically. GDP is projected to grow in 2026, but the benefits are unlikely to flow evenly to lower‑income households unless wages, affordability, and job access improve alongside it.

Below is what the data actually shows.

📌 1. GDP ​

The Congressional Budget Office projects real GDP growth of about 2.2% in 2026, driven partly by stimulus from the 2025 reconciliation act.

Morgan Stanley forecasts 1.8% real GDP growth in 2026, with the economy strengthening after early‑year weakness.

But GDP growth measures total output, not how that output is distributed.

📌 2. Labor markets in 2026 will be softer — which limits gains for the lower class​

Morgan Stanley expects:
  • Slower employment growth (55–60k jobs/month)
  • Unemployment rising to ~4.7% mid‑year before easing
A softer labor market means:
  • less bargaining power for low‑wage workers
  • slower wage growth
  • more job insecurity
That makes it harder for lower‑income households to feel GDP gains.

📌 3. Affordability pressures remain high — especially for essentials​

Stanford’s SIEPR notes that affordability will remain a top concern in 2026, with particular pressure on:
  • health care
  • electricity
  • housing
Even if GDP grows, rising costs can erase those gains for lower‑income families.

4. Tariffs and inflation complicate things​

Tariff‑driven price increases are expected to push inflation up in early 2026 before moderating.

Higher prices hit lower‑income households hardest because they spend a larger share of income on:

  • food
  • energy
  • rent
  • transportation

📌 5. Slowing population growth reduces job creation​

A CBS News analysis shows slowing population growth could reduce GDP by $104 billion in 2026 and eliminate 741,500 potential jobs.

Fewer jobs = fewer opportunities for upward mobility.

📌 Bottom Line:​

GDP growth in 2026 is real — but lower‑income Americans may not feel much improvement unless:​

  • wage growth outpaces inflation
  • job creation strengthens
  • housing and energy costs stabilize
  • policy directly targets affordability
Right now, the data suggests growth will be uneven, with the lower class benefiting less than higher‑income groups.

www.crfb.org/papers/cbos-february-2026-budget-and-economic-outlook?utm_source=copilot.com

www.cbsnews.com/news/slowing-population-growth-us-economy-impact-gdp-jobs-implan/?utm_source=copilot.com
advisor.morganstanley.com/the-wolfslau-group/documents/field/w/wo/wolfslau-group/2026_US_Economics_Outlook.pdf?utm_source=copilot.com
siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch?utm_source=copilot.com
 
Grokmaster said:
And these are NOT bullshit "government jobs", the Biden/Dem specialty.





Economy

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%​




Points
  • Nonfarm payrolls increased by 130,000 for January, above the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 55,000.
  • The unemployment rate edged lower to 4.3%. A more encompassing measure slipped to 8%, down 0.4 percentage point from December.
  • As has often been the case for the U.S. labor market, health care led job gains in January, adding 82,000 positions. Social assistance also rose, up 42,000, while construction added 33,000.





www.cnbc.com

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%

Job growth was stronger than expected to start 2026, providing some relief to concerns about the state of the U.S. labor market.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
Click to expand...
That is TERRIBLE NEWS! For Democrats. :laugh:
 
Grokmaster said:
And these are NOT bullshit "government jobs", the Biden/Dem specialty.





Economy

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%​




Points
  • Nonfarm payrolls increased by 130,000 for January, above the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 55,000.
  • The unemployment rate edged lower to 4.3%. A more encompassing measure slipped to 8%, down 0.4 percentage point from December.
  • As has often been the case for the U.S. labor market, health care led job gains in January, adding 82,000 positions. Social assistance also rose, up 42,000, while construction added 33,000.





www.cnbc.com

U.S. payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, more than expected; unemployment down to 4.3%

Job growth was stronger than expected to start 2026, providing some relief to concerns about the state of the U.S. labor market.
www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
Click to expand...

“U.S. had almost no job growth in 2025”​

www.nbcnews.com

U.S. added 130,000 jobs in January, but labor market growth stalled in 2025

The Bureau of Labor Statistics found that U.S. employers added 181,000 jobs last year, far fewer than the 1.46 million jobs that were added in 2024.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

Says it all
 
Anything coming from this administration is suspect...every major corporation this year, with UPS and Amazon leading the way, are laying off people in the thousands. Homelessness is up and rising, the cost of everything is still high, but especially utility costs. Car lots are filled with no buyers, tourist venues like Fla and Nevada, all report losses, hospitals and clinics in rural America are closing its door....so this bs that Trump is touting is to be taken with a grain of salt and then some...We ain't buying it.
 
Jake Starkey said:
Will US GDP growth in 2026 translate into a better life for the lower classes of Americans?

Not automatically. GDP is projected to grow in 2026, but the benefits are unlikely to flow evenly to lower‑income households unless wages, affordability, and job access improve alongside it.

Below is what the data actually shows.

📌 1. GDP ​

The Congressional Budget Office projects real GDP growth of about 2.2% in 2026, driven partly by stimulus from the 2025 reconciliation act.

Morgan Stanley forecasts 1.8% real GDP growth in 2026, with the economy strengthening after early‑year weakness.

But GDP growth measures total output, not how that output is distributed.

📌 2. Labor markets in 2026 will be softer — which limits gains for the lower class​

Morgan Stanley expects:
  • Slower employment growth (55–60k jobs/month)
  • Unemployment rising to ~4.7% mid‑year before easing
A softer labor market means:
  • less bargaining power for low‑wage workers
  • slower wage growth
  • more job insecurity
That makes it harder for lower‑income households to feel GDP gains.

📌 3. Affordability pressures remain high — especially for essentials​

Stanford’s SIEPR notes that affordability will remain a top concern in 2026, with particular pressure on:
  • health care
  • electricity
  • housing
Even if GDP grows, rising costs can erase those gains for lower‑income families.

4. Tariffs and inflation complicate things​

Tariff‑driven price increases are expected to push inflation up in early 2026 before moderating.

Higher prices hit lower‑income households hardest because they spend a larger share of income on:

  • food
  • energy
  • rent
  • transportation

📌 5. Slowing population growth reduces job creation​

A CBS News analysis shows slowing population growth could reduce GDP by $104 billion in 2026 and eliminate 741,500 potential jobs.

Fewer jobs = fewer opportunities for upward mobility.

📌 Bottom Line:​

GDP growth in 2026 is real — but lower‑income Americans may not feel much improvement unless:​

  • wage growth outpaces inflation
  • job creation strengthens
  • housing and energy costs stabilize
  • policy directly targets affordability
Right now, the data suggests growth will be uneven, with the lower class benefiting less than higher‑income groups.

www.crfb.org/papers/cbos-february-2026-budget-and-economic-outlook?utm_source=copilot.com

www.cbsnews.com/news/slowing-population-growth-us-economy-impact-gdp-jobs-implan/?utm_source=copilot.com
advisor.morganstanley.com/the-wolfslau-group/documents/field/w/wo/wolfslau-group/2026_US_Economics_Outlook.pdf?utm_source=copilot.com
siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch?utm_source=copilot.com
Click to expand...
I don't know if I can find it again but in today's news I was reading that up until now most of Trumps tariffs have been eaten by the exporters/importers/ retail companies and only a few were passed on but it is getting to be their bottom lines are suffering and they are talking about adding 8 or 9% increases to almost everything we buy,
IF that does happen it will be a disaster for our economy a lot of people are going to be hurt by this.
Hold on the ride has only started.
 
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