Trump's absolutely tanking with independents. Please send him to more places

Bourbon

In Yo Face!
Over the weekend, Donald Trump held a sedition rally in Nevada in which he exalted the Jan. 6 insurrectionists as “the biggest crowd I’ve ever seen." In the wake of Trump’s appearance in the Silver State, Democratic incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto promptly notched her two best online fundraising days of the 2022 cycle, hauling in more than $1 million.

Sen. Cortez Masto is one of Senate Democrats’ most endangered incumbents up for reelection this November, and Trump’s presence in the state clearly benefitted her war chest.

But as Trump’s standing among independent voters continues to plummet, the more he inserts himself into the 2022 midterms, the more Democratic candidates stand to benefit at the voting booth.

When we checked in two weeks ago on Trump’s favorability rating in Civiqs tracking, he was 13 points underwater with independent men—a drop that was precipitated by the FBI search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida. Since then, Trump’s fall in standing among independent men has continued, putting him at a 20-point deficit as of Oct. 10, or 35% favorable vs. 55% unfavorable.


Trump’s downward trend among independent women since the FBI search is similarly tumultuous, leaving him 30 points underwater with the voting bloc, or 31% favorable - 61% unfavorable.

All of that puts Trump at his lowest favorability rating among all registered voters since just before the 2016 election: 37%.

It’s unclear whether Trump’s increasing toxicity among independents will stick to the greater Republican Party in a midterm when he technically isn’t on the ballot. But Trump’s paw prints are all over the midterm election, and the more he reminds voters of the fact that the GOP is still his party and no one else’s, the better.

So, indeed, the more Trump, the better

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/20...s-please-send-him-to-more-battleground-states
 
Over the weekend, Donald Trump held a sedition rally in Nevada in which he exalted the Jan. 6 insurrectionists as “the biggest crowd I’ve ever seen." In the wake of Trump’s appearance in the Silver State, Democratic incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto promptly notched her two best online fundraising days of the 2022 cycle, hauling in more than $1 million.

Sen. Cortez Masto is one of Senate Democrats’ most endangered incumbents up for reelection this November, and Trump’s presence in the state clearly benefitted her war chest.

But as Trump’s standing among independent voters continues to plummet, the more he inserts himself into the 2022 midterms, the more Democratic candidates stand to benefit at the voting booth.

When we checked in two weeks ago on Trump’s favorability rating in Civiqs tracking, he was 13 points underwater with independent men—a drop that was precipitated by the FBI search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida. Since then, Trump’s fall in standing among independent men has continued, putting him at a 20-point deficit as of Oct. 10, or 35% favorable vs. 55% unfavorable.


Trump’s downward trend among independent women since the FBI search is similarly tumultuous, leaving him 30 points underwater with the voting bloc, or 31% favorable - 61% unfavorable.

All of that puts Trump at his lowest favorability rating among all registered voters since just before the 2016 election: 37%.

It’s unclear whether Trump’s increasing toxicity among independents will stick to the greater Republican Party in a midterm when he technically isn’t on the ballot. But Trump’s paw prints are all over the midterm election, and the more he reminds voters of the fact that the GOP is still his party and no one else’s, the better.

So, indeed, the more Trump, the better

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/20...s-please-send-him-to-more-battleground-states

Currently, 43% of voters are Independents, with 30% Republicans and 24% Democrats. When neither party represents a voter, their best strategy is to always vote for the challenger.

That would explain a win for the Republicans in 2022 and a win for the Democrats in 2024.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
 
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