Trump pulls ahead in Rasmussen

I friggin' love how Darth has 2 poll threads in 24 hours once Trump takes a lead in a couple.

Didn't see too many poll threads from him in the past month or so, and probably won't see too many more.
 
At no point in time was Romney 7 points behind in the polls, as Trump was yesterday. His lowest was about where Trump is now, now that this outlier poll from Rasmussen has been released biasing the figures.
 
Thing1 said:
I friggin' love how Darth has 2 poll threads in 24 hours once Trump takes a lead in a couple.

Didn't see too many poll threads from him in the past month or so, and probably won't see too many more.
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Yeah, I never see anti Trumpters posting positive Trump polls.
 
My 2016 predictions:

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cawacko said:
I can't vouch for ballotpedia but if they are accurate...


Battleground bloodbath: Clinton leads Trump in 7 swing states

Hillary Clinton is polling higher than Donald Trump in seven swing states, holding leads ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points, according to a poll released Wednesday.

Of the seven states polled by Ballotpedia, Clinton’s lead was smallest in Iowa, where registered voters who responded to the poll preferred her by 4 points. The former secretary of state’s largest lead came in Michigan, a traditionally Democratic-leaning state where Trump has said he could compete in November. Clinton leads the Manhattan billionaire there by 17 points, 50 percent to 33 percent.

Clinton also holds double-digit leads over Trump in Florida (14 points), Pennsylvania (14 points) and North Carolina (10 points). Respondents preferred her to Trump by 9 points in Ohio and 7 points in Virginia.

Clinton maintained her advantage when respondents were offered a third option, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, although her leads shifted slightly. In a three-way race, Clinton’s lead among those polled dropped to just 3 points in Iowa and 6 points in North Carolina. But Johnson’s introduction as an option increased the former secretary of state’s lead to 15 points and 8 points in Pennsylvania and Virginia, respectively.

Ballotpedia also polled Clinton in presidential matchups against two other prominent Republicans, House Speaker Paul Ryan and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, even though Trump has been the GOP’s presumptive nominee since early May and both men have disavowed interest in running. Kasich polled well against the former secretary of state, besting her in five states: Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Ryan polled better than Clinton in three states: Iowa, Ohio and Virginia.

The Ballotpedia poll was conducted among active registered voters via landlines and cellphones from June 10-22, much longer than the usual three to five days for a statewide poll. Interviewers reached 596 respondents in Florida, 601 in Iowa, 612 in Michigan, 603 in North Carolina and 601 in Pennsylvania, all with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points. The poll also reached 617 registered voters in Ohio and 612 in Virginia, each with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 points.

Ballotpedia, an online political encyclopedia whose staff covers politics and elections, is sponsored by the nonprofit organization the Lucy Burns Institute.


http://www.politico.com/blogs/swing...2016/06/clinton-trump-swing-state-poll-224923
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That pretty much parallel's the RCP average which has Clinton leading in most of the swing States.

My prediction is that Clinton wins 331 ev's (or better) to Trumps 207 EV's.

To turn the tide Trump has...just absolutely has to win Florida. I'd go so far to say that on Election night, If you live on the eastern half of the US and they call Florida for Clinton, you can go to bed assured Clinton is your next US President. If they call it for Trump then it's still a horse race.
 
Darth Hussein Omar said:
Never heard of that one. RCP has OH, PA, NC, VA and FL as toss ups though.
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They have them as toss ups but Clinton is leading in all those States except NC and her lead in most of the other swing states you listed is right at the upper end of the margin of error.

Meaning it's possible for him to flip those States but right now it appears he's losing.

In Ohio Cincinnati/Dayton area will be the key region. Only those briar hopping transplants from Appalachia would be dumb enough to vote for Trump. The western part of Ohio is solid trump country and south east Ohio is solid Clinton country. So it will be played out n the Cleveland triangles, Columbus metro and the Cincinnati/Dayton region. So far Columbus metro and Cleveland triangle heavily favor Clinton. West Ohio would vote for Hitler if he was Catholic and a Republican. Fortunately their numbers are modest. Southeast Ohio is heavily Clinton but sparsely populated. Cincinnati/Dayton is running about 50:50.

The Cincinnati Suburbs will be the key. If Trump hasn't pissed off enough white women...and he's pissed off a whole lot of them...he might have a chance in Ohio.

But if I was a betting man I'd take Clinton at 2:1 odds (but not 3:1).
 
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If HRC wins two of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio Id call it. She is ahead in all three.

If Trump wins two, its a race for Michigan and likely the presidency. HRC is way ahead in Michigan.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
They have them as toss ups but Clinton is leading in all those States except NC and her lead in most of the other states is right at the upper end of the margin of error.

Meaning it's possible for him to flip those States but right now it appears he's losing.
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As of today RCP has Clinton leading in North Carolina.
 
The more interesting bet is if HRC will break 300 Electoral Votes. At least as it stands today.
 
Jarod said:
Have you recently started taking medication or something? You've suddenly become much less hostile.

While we still disagree on almost everything, you are not so belligerent, and I am starting to enjoy discussing issues with you.
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Darth? Darth's ok...it's just that fresh West "By God" Virginia air and the isocyanates in the local water just makes him a little bit hyper at times. Recent flood has washed away the isocyanates and all the fires have polluted the air so he's probably feeling kinda normal at the moment. ;)
 
I really have to admit that I would enjoy it more seeing Trump lose than seeing HRC lose. Its just that he is so insanely arrogant, as are many of his fans.

I can see the humor in HRC losing to him however, if she loses to a Chump like him... it is kind of pitiful.
 
I never said polls don't count. The other responses could have easily predicted by any intelligent person, because they are the intelligent response.
 
Jarod said:
I never said polls don't count. The other responses could have easily predicted by any intelligent person, because they are the intelligent response.
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You are so fucking predictable. I also predicted your little nicknames for Trump wouldn't stick. Hell, you couldn't even keep it up.

LOSER
 
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