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Trump Administration Plans Deep Cuts to Social Security Disability Insurance, Particularly for Older Workers
Despite repeatedly promising not to cut Social Security, the Trump Administration is reportedly[1] preparing a proposed rule[2] that could reduce the share of applicants who qualify for Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) by up to 20 percent, according to an Urban Institute report[3] that cites writing by a former Trump Administration official and interviews with former staff at the Social Security Administration (SSA). This would be the largest cut in SSDI history.
SSDI is an integral part of Social Security. It provides essential benefits to workers who cannot support themselves through earnings due to severe and long-lasting disabilities that significantly impede their ability to work, and it helps to prevent beneficiaries and their families from experiencing poverty.
The rule would make it much more difficult to qualify for both SSDI and Supplemental Security Income (SSI). Because it would dramatically change the eligibility criteria for older applicants, the losses among people over age 50 would be much deeper.
The rule is likely to be the largest-ever cut to Social Security Disability Insurance. A 20 percent cut in the share of applicants who qualify for SSDI would be larger than any previous change to the program. It would be even larger than the Reagan-era disability cuts[4], which the Reagan Administration was forced to reverse[5] amid fierce opposition from governors, courts, beneficiaries, and advocates. According to an Urban Institute analysis[6], even a cut half the size of what the Trump Administration is considering would mean 750,000 fewer people would receive SSDI benefits within ten years. In addition to reducing the share of applicants who receive benefits, some current beneficiaries could see their benefits taken away when their eligibility is reviewed.
The rule would particularly hurt older workers. Like the rest of Social Security, SSDI serves largely older[7] people; nearly 80 percent of disabled workers are aged 50 or older. SSDI benefits provide vital support to people whose careers are cut short by severe medical impairments. The rule is expected to target older applicants already determined to have significant medical impairments by discounting the barriers they face due to their age in continuing to do substantial work — despite the law’s requirement that the Social Security Administration (SSA) consider how age, education, and skills might make working harder, in addition to considering health conditions.
It’s already difficult at any age to qualify for disability benefits, given their stringent[8] rules. Research shows applicants whose impairments are not severe enough to qualify for SSDI fare poorly[9] in their attempts to return to work — especially if they’re older[10]. Rejecting more older applicants will cause more hardship for people who would be eligible for benefits under the existing rules.
The rule will likely cause disproportionate harm to people living in the South and Appalachia. Some states have a higher share[11] of people receiving disability benefits, particularly those with more older workers with fewer years of formal education, and who are more likely to have worked in physical jobs like manufacturing or mining. That is true of many Southern and Appalachian states, as well as Maine and the Rust Belt states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The proposed rule drafted during the first Trump Administration would reportedly change the way SSA considers education as well as age, and because residents of these states are on average older and less educated, these changes will hit them doubly hard.
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In addition to cutting Social Security and SSI, the rule would threaten retirement security, access to health care, and other supports. Workers who become disabled and qualify for SSDI are significantly worse off[12] in retirement: they are poorer, experience more hardship, and have lower savings. Disabled workers will fare even worse in retirement if their eligibility for disability benefits is stripped. They would be forced to spend any retirement savings faster and claim their Social Security retirement benefits at a younger age, permanently reducing their — and possibly their family’s — monthly Social Security retirement benefits by up to 30 percent[13]. For hundreds of thousands of older people, this rule would create long-term financial insecurity as they age.
In addition, applicants who do not qualify for disability benefits may face significant challenges accessing health care. SSDI recipients typically receive Medicare 24 months after they begin to receive benefits; if someone no longer qualifies for these benefits, they won’t be able to get Medicare until they turn 65. And, SSI recipients receive Medicaid, so those who lose SSI benefits may also lose Medicaid (particularly in states that have not adopted the Medicaid expansion). Most rejected applicants under the new standard will have very significant medical impairments, and many will struggle to access health care without those benefits — particularly after the steep Medicaid[14] cuts in the Republican megabill.
Finally, restricting eligibility for disability benefits will make it more difficult for rejected applicants to access other key supports, such as food assistance, which has increasingly strict time limits[15] for most non-elderly individuals without younger children who are not receiving disability benefits. New Medicaid work requirements could also pose significant impediments to people who lose disability benefits.
This rule is the latest in a series of harmful actions by the Trump Administration that threaten access to Social Security. This year, the Administration has forced SSA through a radical downsizing that has disrupted services for the largely older and severely disabled people who rely most on the agency, indiscriminately pushing out 7,000 workers in the largest staff cut[16] in SSA’s history. This realignment has resulted in fewer staff serving Social Security applicants and beneficiaries, and huge cuts to staff supporting the agency’s customer service mission. These cuts have been coupled with inexplicable new restrictions[17] — some of which have already been partially rolled back — for how the public can engage with SSA for assistance, creating additional access barriers.
At the same time, the Administration is working to advance changes[18] that would make it harder for hundreds of thousands of eligible people to receive or continue receiving SSI, creating additional red tape for beneficiaries and more work for depleted and overburdened SSA staff.
[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/10/05/disability-social-security-age-benefits/
[2] https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaViewRule?pubId=202504&RIN=0960-AI67
[3] https://www.urban.org/research/publication/updating-social-security-disability
[4] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/16/opinion/trump-disability.html
[5] https://www.nytimes.com/1984/04/14/us/reagan-suspends-benefits-cutoff.html
[6] https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/2025-09/Updating-Social-Security-Disability.pdf
[7] /charts/disability-rates-rise-with-age-7
[8] /research/social-security/social-security-disability-insurance-0
[9] https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.103.5.1797
[10] https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v85n3/v85n3p1.html
[11] /research/geographic-pattern-of-disability-receipt-largely-reflects-economic-and-demographic-factors
[12] https://www.realclearmarkets.com/ar...risis_really_a_disability_crisis_1138867.html
[13] https://www.ssa.gov/oact/quickcalc/earlyretire.html
[14] /research/health/by-the-numbers-harmful-republican-megabill-will-take-health-coverage-away-from
[15] /research/food-assistance/many-low-income-people-will-soon-begin-to-lose-food-assistance-under
[16] /research/social-security/congress-needs-to-address-the-trump-administration-turmoil-at-the-social
[17] /blog/trump-administration-plans-to-force-millions-more-seniors-and-people-with-disabilities-to
[18] /research/social-security/trump-administration-poised-to-cut-ssi-benefits-for-nearly-400000-low
