The 'hero with a gun' story is a statistical unicorn - open thread

Into the Night

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Yet another attempt to censor a thread. Bring it out into the open for anyone to discuss.
The OP:


When an armed bystander fatally shot an assailant at an Indiana mall, the country again debated the wisdom of easier access to guns.

Only 22 of 433 incidents ended this way.

After Indiana Mall Shooting, One Hero but No Lasting Solution

Richard Fausset, Eliza Fawcett and Serge F. Kovaleski

Wed, July 20, 2022 at 7:42 AM

It was an act of pluck and composure worthy of a scene in the movies. But this was real life: A heavily armed man emerged from the bathroom in a Greenwood, Indiana, shopping mall on Sunday evening and began shooting — until he was killed by an armed bystander.

Mike Wright, manager of the Luca Pizza di Roma in the mall’s food court, remembers taking shelter when the firing started and then emerging when it stopped to see the bystander behind a low-slung wall with his handgun trained on the assailant he had shot to death.

“He stood there maybe 25 or 30 feet from the body and held that pistol pointed at him until law enforcement arrived,” Wright remembered Tuesday. “The good Samaritan guy seemed poised and under control. He appeared to be very disciplined.” Jim Ison, the local police chief, went further, saying that his engagement with the gunman, who had killed three people, was “nothing short of heroic.”

But along with the horror, drama and acclaim came a roaring and rekindled controversy in a country united in revulsion over its ceaseless plague of gun violence, yet bitterly divided over a loosening of gun restrictions like the Indiana law, passed this year, that allowed the bystander, Elisjsha Dicken, 22, to carry his 9-mm handgun in the first place.

Proponents of expanded gun rights were quick to praise Dicken’s actions. “We will say it again: The only way to stop a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun,” the National Rifle Association wrote in a tweet Monday morning.

But Dicken’s act, though heroic, was also a statistical unicorn. An examination of 433 active shooter attacks in the United States between 2000 and 2021 showed that only 22 ended with a bystander shooting an attacker, according to data from the Advanced Law Enforcement Rapid Response Training Center at Texas State University. In 10 of those cases, the armed bystander was a security guard or off-duty law enforcement officer. In other encounters, civilians attempting to step in and stop an assailant were themselves shot to death by police.

“It is exceedingly rare, the exception rather than the rule,” Adam Skaggs, chief counsel and policy director at the Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, said of scenarios like the one in Indiana. “The reality is that more people carrying guns means more conflicts escalating into deadly violence and more people being shot and killed.”

The police identified the assailant at the Greenwood Park Mall as Jonathan Douglas Sapirman, 20, but have not indicated a motive. But Dicken’s intervention almost certainly saved lives: The police said that Sapirman, who had fired off 24 rounds, had come with more than 100 rounds of ammunition, two rifles and a pistol. Dicken killed the gunman 15 seconds after the shooting began, Ison said Tuesday, amending an earlier statement.

The attack was bracketed by other mass violence that underscored the Groundhog Day nightmare from which the United States seems unable to awaken. Hours after the shooting at the mall, four people were shot, one of them fatally, at an unrelated vigil in a park 9 miles north of Greenwood.

The same day, a special Texas House committee released a 77-page report criticizing the police response to a gunman’s May 24 massacre at an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas, in which nearly 400 law enforcement officers waited to confront him as 19 children and two teachers died.

The Texas State University data suggests that mass shootings in the United States are on the rise. At the same time, the Indiana legislation is part of a concerted push by conservative state lawmakers to make it easier to carry weapons. Indiana is one of 25 states that have passed so-called constitutional carry laws that allow people to carry a concealed firearm without a permit.

Last month, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down a New York law that had placed strict limits on carrying guns outside the home.

In Indiana, the constitutional carry law was opposed by the state police superintendent and a number of other law enforcement groups.

“The point I would make about the new permit-less law is that if I am a regular law-abiding citizen and 21 or older, I can go to a gun store and buy a handgun, walk out and carry the firearm wherever I go without any training or knowledge of how to use the gun safely and legally,” Skaggs said.

Ison said the police found no indication that Dicken had a permit for the handgun. But the chief said he was carrying it legally under the new law. In a brief interview, Dicken’s lawyer, Guy A. Relford, described his client as an “all-American Indiana boy,” and declined to provide any specific information about him or the mall encounter.

Paul Helmke, a professor at Indiana University’s O’Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs and a former president and CEO of the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, said Dicken’s actions meant that the mall shooting “ended up better than it could’ve been.”

But he said that active shooter situations tended to be too chaotic — and too prone to unexpected tragedy — to rely on the intervention of armed bystanders, who can sometimes get in the way of an effective law enforcement response, making it difficult for police officers to differentiate between an assailant and a well-intentioned armed civilian.

“You have to make a split-second decision, and one of the problems with armed citizens is that when the police respond, or when another bystander responds, they’re not always going to know who the right person is,” he said.

That was the case in Arvada, Colorado, when, in June 2021, a bystander named Johnny Hurley was shot and killed by a police officer after Hurley had used his handgun to shoot another man who had killed a police officer.

In November 2018, a Chicago security guard named Jemel Roberson detained a gunman outside the bar where he worked, pointing his gun at the man’s back. Roberson was shot and killed by a responding officer.

That same month, an armed man named Emantic F. Bradford was shot and killed by a police officer in an Alabama shopping mall. A lawsuit filed by Bradford’s mother asserts that he had pulled out the handgun he had been lawfully carrying as part of his “good Samaritan” response to a chaotic scene at the mall after a shooting erupted.

In a discussion about the Indiana shooting on Fox News, Brandon Tatum, a conservative commentator and former police officer, echoed the NRA’s position that armed bystanders could make an important contribution to peacekeeping. “I think good gun owners, or at least legal gun owners, are the recipe for success against people who do not want to follow the law,” Tatum said.

This week in The Federalist, a conservative website, senior editor David Harsanyi noted a number of recent incidents in which armed people were able to stop people with bad intentions from committing acts of violence. Among other things, Harsanyi argued that the data from the Texas State researchers was misleading.

“It is impossible, unless one is a mind-reader, to quantify how often the presence of good guys with guns dissuades murders,” he wrote.

Adam Winkler, an expert on gun policy at the University of California, Los Angeles, School of Law, noted that there are 400 million guns in the United States, and yet the nation has one of the worst gun death records. “If more guns led to less crime, America would be the safest country in the world,” he said.

Most states that require a permit to carry a gun do not require active shooter response training, he noted — and in the roughly two dozen states that have eliminated permitting requirements, no training is required at all.

“If we really thought that good guys with guns were the answer, then we would require the good guys to go through extensive training, so that if they engage a mass shooting, we can depend on them to do it right,” he said.

But as states and the Supreme Court dismantle gun control laws, he worries there is little hope for other alternatives.

Even if reliance on a good guy with a gun “is not a good strategy for reducing gun violence or protecting people from mass shooters,” he said, “it may be the only thing we have left.”

https://www.yahoo.com/news/indiana-m...114208727.html


All this has already been addressed. Nomad is just chanting now.
 
Also, he wasn't a hero.

He was a bad guy with a gun because he brought his gun into a place he wasn't allowed.

So it wasn't a good guy with a gun stopping a bad guy with a gun, it was just two bad guys with guns shooting.

It was allowed.
 
Got to love the antidotal narratives, “I personally know …….,” reminds one of those TV commercials on how not to be your parents, “nobody knows those people”

And just the last three mass murders, Buffalo, Uvalde, and Highland Park proves the claim is bogus

Typical Anchovies. He denounces anecdotes, then USES THEM!!!!
 
Eat a dick.




He did not go to the mall that day thinking he would save someone's life.

He went to the mall that day with a gun because he is an asshole.




So fucking what? He still brought the gun to a place he wasn't allowed to bring it.

That doesn't make him a hero, it makes him a bad guy.

So saving lives makes one a 'bad guy'. Gotit.
 
The mall was a designated gun free zone according to your dumb ass in an earlier post.

So he wasn't allowed to bring his gun there, but he brought it anyway and when he brought it, he didn't know he was going to use it.

So he just brought a gun into a gun free zone because he's a bad guy.




Never said it was.




Yet he did it anyway because he got a gun.

You just shot down your argument. The mall's Gun Free Zone didn't prevent the mass shooter from trying to kill people in the mall.

Gun Free Zones don't work.
 
So what if it was just mall policy, it was still the policy of the mall that asshole flouted, making him a bad guy.

Why do you think he's now lawyered up? Because he knows he was a bad guy.

You are seriously going to argue that someone that shows up to defend people at the mall from a mass shooter is THE BAD GUY???????????!?
 
The mall said no guns, but he defied that...so that makes him a bad guy.

In his mind, his entitlement carried more weight than the mall's policy.

Now if that's not indicative of a bad guy, I don't know what is anymore.

By bringing that gun into the mall that day, the message that guy sent to the world was that the rules don't apply to him and he can do whatever the fuck he wants.

BAD GUY.

Gun Free Zones don't work. You are being irrational.
 
Of course he knew of the policy, it was posted all over the mall, particularly at the entrances.

And I don't really want to put anyone on a scale of badness...if you're bad, you're bad.

I'm not interested in looking into degrees of badness so much as I am interested in determining the root cause of the badness.

You are seriously warped, dude...trying to argue someone saving lives is a 'bad guy'.
 
Then I think most of us will forgive him because he erased the bad with taking out a murderer.

I'm not sure what the penalty is for flouting a private business's right to say "No guns here." At most they could just bar you from ever going there again, probably.

They can't.

His penalty? He will have to live the rest of his life realizing he had to kill someone to save lives.
 
I don't think that's how society works, or at least how it's supposed to work.

One good action does not erase a bad one, and it's only a good action because he was lucky enough to not shoot anyone else when he played Howdy Doody.

Now if he brought that gun to that mall that day, chances are he's brought it to the mall before.

Would we still be talking about him in these terms if he had hit a bystander? Of course not.




It doesn't matter what the penalty is, the fact is that it was a posted, written rule.

A rule that guy flouted.

When he flouted it, he didn't know that a mass shooter was lurking...he flouted the rule because he didn't think the rule applied to him, which is the entitlement I've been talking about this whole time.

That entitlement is dangerous, because six inches another way, and you have this "hero" shooting an innocent person.

Everyone's gut reaction is to celebrate the guy without asking any questions that might diminish what he "accomplished" because it clouds the narrative that many are running with here.

It looks a lot less impressive when you realize that there were two bad guys with guns, and one shot the other.

You don't get to speak for everyone. You are not God.
 
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