Republicans drop the ball in the home stretch

Flash said:
Excessive optimism on your part. The president's party almost always loses seats in midterm elections and Republicans only need to pick up a few seats to win the House. Single-issue voting on issues like abortion seldom occur by the most of the voters. Most voters will vote the same as they did in 2020 modified by turnout.
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Possibly. I feel like it changes the dynamic less because of abortion as an issue - though that revs up the base - and more because of the perception that the court is now extreme right-wing, and the country as a whole is taking a big right turn.

The electorate always seems to correct things when it looks like they're going too far in one direction or another.

But, tons of time between now & then. It's hard to predict how this will affect the outcome.
 
BartenderElite said:
The GOP was headed for one of the most uncontested touchdowns in political history. They would have won easily this November. They just fumbled, and it might give the whole game away.

I'm not sure if they realize how many people they just woke up (sorry to use "woke" there). SO many on both the right & left said that Roe would never be overturned. There was a complacency about it.

This is a political earthquake. Not only does this galvanize the Dem base, it rattles independents and even Republicans who won't be on board with a hard right turn for America. The only historical example that seems close is when Clinton took office and came out immediately with more leftist policies, which got corrected in '94 by the electorate.

November just became much more interesting.
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Just a few points:

1) This very likely hasn’t changed one single vote on this issue, particularly on the GOP side. On the jackass side, all those pro-abortion moms out there who voted against CRT and all the gender bullshit are finally going to have to decide what’s important, because if they think they need a leftard state government to get this codified, they’re gonna drag all that bullshit back in with it. All they need to do is vote on that ONE PARTICULAR ISSUE!

2) I hate to say it really, but california is doing it KIND OF the right way. Gruesome newsome is putting together a state constitutional amendment making it legal, which pretty much settles the argument(and takes away a jackass platform plank).

3) Why should this be a big deal with you lefties? The SCOTUS has returned the issue to YOU, the VOTERS. This is that pure democracy (aka "mob rule")that you say you yearn for. Use it!

4) This now being a state issue, it will be sooooo much easier for you jackasses to cheat! Imagine blood red Texas allowing abortions all the way up to the 25th trimester!
 
Code1211 said:
The Republican Party is projected to add between 30 and 70 seats in the House. They were previously NOT expected to take back the Senate, but now they are.

If the Republicans pick up about 35 seats, they will be at historic highs all time.
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Who is predicting 35-70 seats? The current House races are so gerrymandered that no one is predicting the Dems losing much more than 20 seats which would lose them the House but it isn't 70.
Picking up 35 seats in an off year election is hardly at an all time high? GOP picked up 54 in 1992 and picked up 64 in 2010. The GOP has held as many as 300 seats in the House in the past. Even if they pick up 70 they won't reach that 300 seats number.
 
Callinectes said:
Just a few points:

1) This very likely hasn’t changed one single vote on this issue, particularly on the GOP side. On the jackass side, all those pro-abortion moms out there who voted against CRT and all the gender bullshit are finally going to have to decide what’s important, because if they think they need a leftard state government to get this codified, they’re gonna drag all that bullshit back in with it. All they need to do is vote on that ONE PARTICULAR ISSUE!
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CRT is made up bullshit. I guess it all depends on whether they want to deal with reality or with bullshit when it comes time to cast a vote.
 
ExpressLane said:
I gave up on any rational thought from him a few weeks back and put him on ignore. I have not regretted that decision.
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Yep......he needs a padded room right next to Lizzie Warrens at the nuthouse too. I think he not only has dementia but a host of other issues as well. He's basically a shut in that finally went nuts from it all. Lives in his own fantasy world. Its actually pretty sad to watch.
 
Dutch Uncle said:
As long as it doesn’t affect my paycheck, I’m good with it. :rofl2:

You, OTOH, Fat Boy, you have some serious problems ahead of you. You’re the type to end up with a DUI homicide, murder of a spouse, felony tax evasion or any other sort of sordid crimes that will cost you everything you have.
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:laugh:

:magagrin:
 
Poor Richard Saunders said:
Who is predicting 35-70 seats? The current House races are so gerrymandered that no one is predicting the Dems losing much more than 20 seats which would lose them the House but it isn't 70.
Picking up 35 seats in an off year election is hardly at an all time high? GOP picked up 54 in 1992 and picked up 64 in 2010. The GOP has held as many as 300 seats in the House in the past. Even if they pick up 70 they won't reach that 300 seats number.
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The odds favor the Republicans taking the House and, maybe, , but some are very close elections and there are a lot of variables to consider….some of which haven’t happened yet. It should be very interesting.

https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Congress_elections,_2022
A total of 469 seats in the U.S. Congress (34 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for election on November 8, 2022.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/consensus-2022-house-forecast
2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast
 
Walt said:
They are so used to abortion being out of politics to everyone but the fervently anti-abortion, they do not realize what a storm they have created. During Roe v. Wade, voters could vote however they want, knowing that it would not effect keeping abortion legal. Abortion was outside the political realm for most Americans.

Now if it is important to a voter to keep abortion legal, they have to vote against Republicans. They cannot vote for Republicans with the confidence that abortion will be kept legal by the Supreme Court.
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Not going to change anything in Red states.

Nor in Red districts of swing states. The only thing it might do...albeit too late...is to encourage those who refused to vote in '16 to vote now.
 
Do not post the graphic picture, again, unless you put it in a wrapper. There are people who do not want children or coworkers to see such pictures.
 
Poor Richard Saunders said:
Who is predicting 35-70 seats? The current House races are so gerrymandered that no one is predicting the Dems losing much more than 20 seats which would lose them the House but it isn't 70.
Picking up 35 seats in an off year election is hardly at an all time high? GOP picked up 54 in 1992 and picked up 64 in 2010. The GOP has held as many as 300 seats in the House in the past. Even if they pick up 70 they won't reach that 300 seats number.
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I don't think he meant gaining 35 seats in a midterm would be an all time high but the total number of Republicans in the House would be an all time high. But, you are correct in that Republicans would have about 246 seats if they gain 35 but they did have over 300 at one time.
 
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