Reality check on electric cars

Actually, EV sales have fallen in the US and by big amounts.



Did they fall by 800% like the price of eggs?

But once again, TA proves he didn't bother to read his own sources which contradict him.

It was inevitable that sales of new EVs would slide in the US after the Trump administration axed the long-standing $7,500 federal tax credit at the end of September. New data shows that sales fell off a cliff in the final quarter of last year, but they’ve since started to somewhat stabilize, indicating we may have hit a new normal.
 
Did they fall by 800% like the price of eggs?

But once again, TA proves he didn't bother to read his own sources which contradict him.

It was inevitable that sales of new EVs would slide in the US after the Trump administration axed the long-standing $7,500 federal tax credit at the end of September. New data shows that sales fell off a cliff in the final quarter of last year, but they’ve since started to somewhat stabilize, indicating we may have hit a new normal.
Trivial objections fallacy. Prices fell by up to 30%. That's a major drop for the sale of a vehicle. That's the sort of thing you see when some manufacturer comes out with a total porker of a loser model of vehicle and has to unload it at cost or at a loss just get some money back on it.

Of course ending subsidies on EV's would tank the market. That was all that was propping it up. EV's had no chance of making major inroads into the automotive market on their own. That's as true in China or Norway as it is in the US. They just are not that popular a choice. What you are seeing is EV's settling into the niche market they have always been. They'll sit at 5 to 10% of sales and that's pretty much where they'll stay unless government puts its thumb back on the scale.
 
Trivial objections fallacy. Prices fell by up to 30%. That's a major drop for the sale of a vehicle. That's the sort of thing you see when some manufacturer comes out with a total porker of a loser model of vehicle and has to unload it at cost or at a loss just get some money back on it.

Of course ending subsidies on EV's would tank the market. That was all that was propping it up. EV's had no chance of making major inroads into the automotive market on their own. That's as true in China or Norway as it is in the US. They just are not that popular a choice. What you are seeing is EV's settling into the niche market they have always been. They'll sit at 5 to 10% of sales and that's pretty much where they'll stay unless government puts its thumb back on the scale.
I quote your article and you call it a trivial objection? WTF????

By the way ALL car sales are down about 20% so the fact that EV sales are down 27% isn't that much of an outlier.
 
I quote your article and you call it a trivial objection? WTF????

You took one paragraph out of context and make that the central thesis of your rebuttal. I explained why what that paragraph said happened and the most obvious result. EV's cannot compete in the market without sustained subsidies and disadvantages slapped on ICE vehicles by government. They otherwise remain a small, niche market.
By the way ALL car sales are down about 20% so the fact that EV sales are down 27% isn't that much of an outlier.
That's not what the statistics say


 
You took one paragraph out of context and make that the central thesis of your rebuttal. I explained why what that paragraph said happened and the most obvious result. EV's cannot compete in the market without sustained subsidies and disadvantages slapped on ICE vehicles by government. They otherwise remain a small, niche market.

I took an entire article that contradicted your claim.



Actually, EV sales have fallen in the US and by big amounts.



It seems you are now admitting that EVs are a similar percentage of overall sales to what they were last year.

Car sales struggled in the first quarter of the year,
 
I took an entire article that contradicted your claim.

You used one paragraph.
Actually, EV sales have fallen in the US and by big amounts.

They have
It seems you are now admitting that EVs are a similar percentage of overall sales to what they were last year.

No, I am not. I am saying that your claim overall car sales are significantly down is wrong. They are flat, about the same. Only EV sales saw a big drop across that market segment.
Car sales struggled in the first quarter of the year,

"Struggled" =/= fell significantly. They were almost flat. 16 million vs. 16.3 million the previous year with much of the drop being in the EV market.
 
Ok then tell me what range ICE vehicles, on average get on a single tank of gas and I will do same on range for average EV in same class.
The range of an EV varies, depending on whether it's a hot day, cold day, type of road traveled, GCVW, and...of course, the condition of your battery.

For practical purposes, the range of an EV is similar to about 3/4 of the range of similar sized gasoline car. Then the battery is dead, and will require hours to recharge it.

The range of a gasoline vehicle is essentially infinite. Since it only requires a few minutes to refuel, it can keep going for as long as you wish.

GCVW, however, is an important factor. Since the EV is so heavy, most of them can't tow anything, not even an empty utility trailer.
Gasoline cars, on the other hand, can easily handle utility trailers with a load.

EV trucks, such as the Ford F150E has a range of about 60 miles when towing. The gasoline version has an effective range of infinite towing the same load, and can even travel four times the distance between refueling.

EVs are heavy. They are banned from some parking garages for this reason. The garage is not rated for all that additional weight.

Let's see which of us is falling for talking points.
RQAA
And the statement "you will never be able fill up a battery at the same speed as filling with gas ' is complete ignorance.
Nope. It's simply mathematics. All batteries have an internal resistance, that must be overcome when charging. This internal resistance limits how fast a battery can charge. It is simply not possible to charge an EV battery in the few minutes it takes to refuel a gasoline or diesel vehicle.

You are ignoring electrochemistry, Ohm's Law, and Ampere's Law. Further, batteries have a very narrow range of chemical efficiency. Like any chemical reaction, colder temperatures slow down the reaction, and increase charge times significantly. In cold winter areas, it may not be possible to charge an EV battery at all.

You are doing the stupid thing Terry does and pretending you know the future and can make statements of fact about it when neither you or i do.
These laws are part of physics, Kewpie. Ignoring them won't make them go away.
What we know for certain is that battery charge times keep making MASSIVE improvements as new technologies improve the process and we are early in that cycle with tons of VC betting it will keep getting better and faster.
The Lithium Ion battery was created in the 1980's. It is still the same. There is no Magick Improvement. It is the same battery technology, the same electrochemistry, the same internal resistance, and the same Ohm's Law and Ampere's law governing rate of charge and discharge.

Charging a Lithium-ion battery too quickly results in thermal runaway, starting a battery fire. There is no getting around this. ALL current moving through a battery (either charge or discharge) generates heat. This, again, is part of Ohm's law that you ignore.

You cannot declare they will not succeed as if you know the future
You are talking about the past, Luddite. The Lithium-ion battery is the lightest battery possible. It has a very low internal resistance, but it is not zero. The chemistry is subject to thermal runaway if the reaction becomes hot enough. The chemistry is temperature dependent.

Further, poor weather reduces range considerably. The cabin must be heated or cooled, wipers, lights for driving at night, and the extra heating or cooling requirements for the battery itself all decrease energy available to move the car. Most battery packs have no heating capability, and in very cold weather simply can't generate sufficient energy to move the car. The rolling resistance on the tires increase considerably as well.

These factors also affect gasoline cars, but heat from the engine is free. Gasoline engines are heat engines, after all. Gasoline can be pumped and burned as much lower temperatures than an EV battery will function. The effective range of gasoline and diesel engines over EVs is a major safety factor in such conditions.

You wish to stick with Lithium-ion batteries, a 1980's technology. That's 40 year old technology.
Gasoline cars and even diesel vehicles have advanced their technology a LOT in that same bit of time. Gasoline cars are all multipoint fuel injected FADEC designs now. They are achieving efficiencies up to 50%, almost twice the efficiency of an EV under ideal conditions, and ONLY under ideal conditions. Under poor conditions, this ratio only improves for the gasoline car.

I suggest you go learn about electrochemistry, battery internal resistance, Ohm's law, Ampere's Law, organic chemistry, the BTU available for each system, GCVW, and Newton's law of motion.
 
The difference between you and I is you make statements as if fact you refuse to back up while I back mine up.
His statements are backed up theories of science, good engineering practices, and electrochemistry.
All you have is useless sales literature and propaganda sites.
So while you can deny the massive improvements we have CONSISTENTLY seen in battery tech since Tesla launch i will continue to post videos like i did above demonstrating the technology improvements and how battery tech is ALEEADY get close to ICE fill up times.
There are NO improvements. Lithium-ion batteries were created in the 1980's and the chemistry is still the same, the internal resistance of the battery is still the same, the risks are still the same, and the liquid cooling systems required in EVs to use them is still the same.
VIDEO Clfiffs:
- 6 minutes for charges from 10% - 90%
Bullshit. Ohm's law prevails. Ampere's law prevails. You cannot ignore them.
- weight of batteries being dramatically reduced
Bullshit. Lithium metal still has the same weight as always.
- with reduced weight, range is greatly increasing and flying cars become a more real option
Bullshit. The battery is too heavy. No EV flying vehicle has been created that can carry a practical payload any significant distance.
Even drones carrying cameras have extremely limited range.
- batteries now are over coming issues with losing charge at deep cold temperatures (-50c)
Bullshit. The chemical reactions in lithium-ion chemistry stops at that temperature.
 
My son is travelling Michigan for work. He drives an EV and finds that there are very few problems. The fast chargers charge up to 80 percent in 15 minutes. Go into the station, take a leak and you are ready to go. Righties are welded to the past and their dishonesty..
Anecdote. Argument from randU fallacy. Random numbers are not data.
 
And that is only getting better and better.
Nope. The chemistry is still the same. The internal resistance of the battery is still the same. Ohm's Law and Ampere's law is still the same.
The magats here will scream a fast charge of 80% is not good enough. 3 hours of highway time is not good enough for these shorter trips and you must only consider the full charge time, as they ignore most families do not commute more than 3 hours in any one direction non stop even on weekend trips away. And for that plan to they can plan the full charge time by building in meal charge stop times.
Magats is not a word, Kewpie.

So you advocate an expensive commuter car. You just admitted they are essentially useless for cross country travel or for any destination more than 120 miles away. You also forget that you can't park an EV in several garages in the city. They can't handle the weight, or they don't want the fire hazard, or both.

Take the bus or the train.
 
Did they fall by 800% like the price of eggs?
Eggs still sell about like always. EV sales have dropped off considerably. Even Elon Musk is closing Tesla plants to convert them to Optimus plants.
But once again, TA proves he didn't bother to read his own sources which contradict him.

It was inevitable that sales of new EVs would slide in the US after the Trump administration axed the long-standing $7,500 federal tax credit at the end of September. New data shows that sales fell off a cliff in the final quarter of last year, but they’ve since started to somewhat stabilize, indicating we may have hit a new normal.
Trump axed the tax credit, and axed governments forcing you to buy an EV.

The 'new normal' is the old normal. Gasoline cars. The work, they're a lot cheaper, they have effectively infinite range, they're lightweight, they have much greater towing capacity, etc.

You damage one egg, you can use the rest of them.

You damage a single battery in an EV pack, and the ENTIRE PACK must be replaced, effectively totaling the car. That single damaged cell is also very likely to start a fire and burn the entire car before anyone can put it out.
 
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