RCP Electoral Map: Romney 206 Obama 201

HOT OFF THE PRESS-

For the past three-consecutive Gallup national presidential tracking polls Romney has achieved a task that Obama had yet to achieve, capturing more than 50% of likely voters in a new poll. This is extremely significant because, according to Karl Rove, current Fox News political analyst; “that no candidate who has led in mid-October with 50% or more in the likely voter poll has ever gone on to lose,“ said Rove on Oct. 17, on Fox News.

Romney is currently leading Obama in the likely voters poll 52% to 45%. Romney has expanded his lead over Obama in the registered voters poll. In the most recent poll, registered voters are supporting Romney 49% to 46%.

The Gallup poll isn’t the only national tracking poll that Romney has overtaken Obama in since Romney’s stellar performance on Oct. 4 presidential debate. Romney’s debate performance brought him six points up in the Fox News poll. Romney was trailing Obama 49% to 43% in the poll pre-debate. Romney is now currently leading Obama 46% to 45%.

In the Monmouth University Poll, Romney once again eliminated a three-point pre-debate deficit to the current 47 to 46 percent lead. The Monmouth University Poll is another example of the polls breaking in Romney's direction, which is a terrible sign for Obama.

Obama is tied with Romney 48 to 48 percent in today’s Rasmussen daily Presidential Tracking Poll. The poll also found that one percent of the voters prefers some other candidate and that two percent of the voters are still undecided.
 
Obama is tied with Romney 48 to 48 percent in today’s Rasmussen daily Presidential Tracking Poll. The poll also found that one percent of the voters prefers some other candidate and that two percent of the voters are still undecided.

As I said before, this race will all come down to who turns out the vote. Now think objectively here, pinheads... you always claim to be "free thinkers" and "open minded" so apply that in this situation... WHO do you think "voter turnout" favors more in this race? I can objectively say, in 2008, voter turnout favored the Democrats, after 8 years of Bush and all the negative publicity, the lukewarm reception of McCain and a perception of disappointment in his pick of Sarah Palin; While Obama was coronated the Messiah of our times, and lauded with praise for his ability to speak elegantly and look sharp. Thinking back to 2008. there was just a feeling in the air that Democrats were more energized to go vote for their "Hope and Change" candidate than Republicans. That isn't the case for 2012, it's just the opposite. Romney is not as mesmerizing and charismatic as Obama was in '08, but there is a definite sense of urgency and resolve from the right, on defeating Obama. There is also the 'buyers remorse' with Obama, and millions of disillusioned supporters who aren't buying his rhetoric anymore. I think this, along with the fact that we're looking at a statistical tie, means a Romney win is very likely.

As of today, I am still predicting "too close to call" but I am inching ever closer to picking Romney for the win. I also think it's not out of the question Romney could win BIG, and my original prediction of a double-digit win is not impossible.
 
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