Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset YAHOO NEWS

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volsrock

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Polls Are Biased: Trump Will Again Deliver A Stunning Upset

The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it.

Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary. There are several reasons why this happened. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. The most important factor was that voters didn't reveal their true intentions when asked by pollsters. As a result, polls failed to predict the outcome of the 2016 elections. Take a look at this screenshot of Fivethirtyeight's website from November 7, 2016 (the day before the 2016 election): ...


https://www.yahoo.com/news/polls-biased-trump-again-deliver-195322946.html

:magagrin:
 
Agreed. Followed by the biggest whining, crying, bitchfest and gnashing of teeth the left has ever put on. Should be quire a show.
 
Stone said:
Agreed. Followed by the biggest whining, crying, bitchfest and gnashing of teeth the left has ever put on. Should be quire a show.
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Yes the polls are wrong, the people who make the polls are working to demoralize those who would vote for Trump so that they will not bother, especially if they will have to wait in these long lines we see. But it wont matter because this election is rigged, those who count the votes know that it has been decided that Trump is not allowed another term.
 
It's not so much that the polls are wrong as they usually don't take into consideration likely voters or the electoral college. And even if Biden wins the EC, the Republicans have a pretty clear plan to cheat.
 
StoneByStone said:
And even if Biden wins the EC, the Republicans have a pretty clear plan to cheat.
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Yes we do,...and it will work. Now,...if we can just get the 2nd part of the plan to work we will be in great shape. Were hoping that by stealing the election it will finally be enuff to provoke the left into going to war with us. A war they cant win. That way we can finally rid our land of the leftist scourge once and for all...:laugh:

Hey,.... you wanna talk crazy.......so can I. LOL
 
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2016 demonstrated how useless polls are.
But the left knows this too which is why they have put so much capital into fixing the only poll that matters.
This one is back to voting pocketbook, you have to be a parasite or a fool to vote donkey.
Trouble is the govt has done a great job of creating parasites.
The good news is blacks and latinos are not as fond of being parasites.
Going to be interesting.
 
Stone said:
Yes we do,...and it will work. Now,...if we can just get the 2nd part of the plan to work we will be in great shape. Were hoping that by stealing the election it will finally be enuff to provoke the left into going to war with us. A war they cant win. That way we can finally rid our land of the leftist scourge once and for all...:laugh:
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Well that part obviously won't work. The federal government would crush the civil war that the Fashies want pretty quickly. But we are heading towards Fascism, so that's something you can be happy about.... until you actually get it.
 
StoneByStone said:
#TDS It's not so much that the polls are wrong as they usually don't take into consideration likely voters or the electoral college. And even if Biden wins the EC, the Republicans have a pretty clear plan to cheat.
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That "pretty clear plan" would be what?


[hint: you can't go two posts without lying outright]
 
StoneByStone said:
Well that part obviously won't work. The federal government would crush the civil war that the Fashies want pretty quickly. But we are heading towards Fascism, so that's something you can be happy about.... until you actually get it.
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C.mon.....you know I was just screwing around.
 
StoneByStone said:
They're going to say the mail-in ballots were illegitimate,
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Yes, if the Democrats commit massive voter fraud using fraudulent mail-in-ballots, the Republicans will rightly point it out and expect everything to be fixed. This is called ensuring a free and fair election. How do you not understand this?
 
Stone said:
C.mon.....you know I was just screwing around.
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I think if you still support Trump at this point, you're definitely a Fascist. This is a guy who tried to cheat in two elections, encouraged his supporters to commit voter fraud, encouraged a Fascist group to commit voter intimidation, said he wants to "get rid of the ballots," and has basically undermined Democracy every chance he got.

It's one thing to agree with his policies. If you honestly believe trickle down economics works, I think you're wrong, but I don't think it makes you a Fascist. However, if you support Trump as a person or politician, I have no doubt that you want Fascism.
 
StoneByStone said:
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It's not so much that the polls are wrong as they usually don't take into consideration likely voters or the electoral college.
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IBDaMann said:
Yes, if the Democrats commit massive voter fraud using fraudulent mail-in-ballots, the Republicans will rightly point it out and expect everything to be fixed. This is called ensuring a free and fair election. How do you not understand this?
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The Republicans are going to say it no matter what if Biden wins. If there is no evidence of fraud, they'll still say it. You'll be fine with this, because you're opposed to Democracy.
 
StoneByStone said:
The Republicans are going to say it no matter what if Biden wins. If there is no evidence of fraud, they'll still say it. You'll be fine with this, because you're opposed to Democracy.
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There will be no evidence because there is no transparency because the people who run elections suck like the rest of Americas "leaders" do and are unwilling to be either honest or transparent. America is now a very corrupt place.
 
StoneByStone said:
The Republicans are going to say it no matter what if Biden wins. If there is no evidence of fraud, they'll still say it. You'll be fine with this, because you're opposed to Democracy.
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Your post only makes sense if you expect me to believe that you foresee the future and that you are a mindreader of untold masses.

The problem here is that I do not believe you can either read minds or portend the future.

The bottom line is that the Democrats have a pretty clear plan to cheat via massive voter fraud. The United States has been just fine throughout its entire history without mail-in voting. It's entire history. Suddenly, with only three months until this election the Democrats absolutely need mail-in ballotiing despite the potential for massive voter fraud. Oh wait! That's what Democrats try to perpetrate EVERY election.

Republicans have never cheated. Republicans = Honest. Democrats = Dishonest.

Your argument is as disingenuous as it is absurd.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
There will be no evidence because there is no transparency because the people who run elections suck like the rest of Americas "leaders" do and are unwilling to be either honest or transparent. America is now a very corrupt place.
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Well they have looked into voter fraud by mail and found that it's extremely rare. And the few times it does happen, it's caught right away.
 
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