PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
I'm listening to DeSantis give his victory speech.......how does that impact your theory?......
Not sure what will happen, but KS polls were off by 22%
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I'm listening to DeSantis give his victory speech.......how does that impact your theory?......
If I were like you, I would deny it ever happened. But, I am not like that.
I live in a world where Democrats have probably gained a seat in the Senate, and it is still possible (but less likely) that Democrats have kept the House.
You still live in a world of a Red Tsunami.
Politicians are not ignoring polls, because polls show them the best way to frame their arguments. For the weaker willed politicians, the polls show which side they should be on in the issues. The horse race aspect of the polls has never been seen as important to politicians themselves, but was considered important in deciding where party resources are used.
Politicians who allow themselves to be run by polls are disqualified by me.
Reagan was the first heavily poll centric politician... Did you really hate Reagan that much?
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
there is no world where the Democrats have "probably gained a seat in the Senate".........
When I posted that, Masto had a nearly 15% lead in Nevada. Later in the night, that suddenly shifted to a 2.7% lead for Laxalt. There is still a possibility that Mastro could win, but it is looking like Laxalt will win.
That means when I was posting, it looked like Democrats would gain a seat in the Senate. Now it looks like they will they will just keep the majority. Though it is still possible they will gain a seat, or even lose a seat.
Or at least that is the world I live in. In the world you live in, I am sure, the Republicans will gain 10 seats in the Senate.
Hawkeye's such a boob. twump was touting his poll numbers all the time before 2016. He called them, "ratings".
Hawkeye complains that the liberals got us into the Iraq War, because he cannot accept that Bush did it.
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
you may keep Arizona but there is still nearly 40% of the vote uncounted and a lot of those votes are expected to be conservatives.....
you will lose WI and NV.....
that leaves the runoff in GA......Warnock will need to pull a majority of the Libertarian votes to win.......not likely to happen......
Dutch thinks Democrats are responsible for 1/6. <shrug> I didn't argue with him, when someone says something that ridiculous, you have to move on.
Well how did that work out? Certainly no red wave last night. Dems may even retain control of the House.
evince
Truthmatters
The red wave was a right wing money boys concocted lie
The DOJ has agents watching right up close election locations that had threats going down
Some Rs who got elected will likely be indicted for crimes involved in J/6
This is not the final result folks
People like Ron Johnson are very likely to be indicted soon
The DOJ has agents watching right up close election locations that had threats going down
Some Rs who got elected will likely be indicted for crimes involved in J/6
This is not the final result folks
People like Ron Johnson are very likely to be indicted soon
The House is so narrow right now, it's practically a jump ball, but I'd rather be the D's than the R's in the current moment given what's left to count.
This election was more 2002 than it was 2010.
Republicans have less chance of keeping Nevada than Democrats have of keeping Arizona. That is just a fact.
As for Georgia, we heard the same claims from Republicans last time, and they failed last time.
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
really?....
current count.....
polls since September 1
\
what makes you think the demmycrats EVER had a chance.....
Republicans have a 2.7% lead in Arizona with 79% of the expected votes counted. Democrats have a 4.6% lead in Nevada with 75% of the expected votes counted.
Let's play with the math a little, and see where that leads.
Democrats would need the remaining 21% of the Arizona votes to favor them by 10% to win the election. Republicans would need the remaining 25% of Nevada votes to favor them by 14% to win the election. It is possible the uncounted votes are very different from the counted votes, but you are claiming a 19 point difference is very possible, but a 13 point difference is completely impossible.
Just looking at the numbers, it is clear I was correct.
But there is more. It appears the uncounted votes are in cities, rather than the rural areas that split over 90% Republican. The reason Republican officials have delayed counting these votes is because they believe they are Democratic votes.