National Election - Trump 56.3% - Kamala 43.3% - Trump Surges To Betting Lead in Michigan and Wisconsin

Do you even check these things before posting them?
Good question, and the answer is seldom

Always comical to find they post something they think supports or strengthens your point and upon examining it does the complete opposite. Or, when the use what they present as an authoritative view only to discover it comes from some whacked out blog or individual.
 
Using prediction market prices in this manner has yielded impressively accurate predictions for a wide array of outcomes, such as the winners of elections or sporting events, typically exceeding the accuracy of “just asking” methods such as opinion polls or expert forecasts (see Reference Wolfers and ZitzewitzWolfers & Zitzewitz, 2004; Reference RayRay, 2006, for reviews).
And once again, the market prices are set by those wagering, if some MaraLago lemming lays down millions on his Messiah it will alter the line, you are implying those participants are equated to voters
 
Ah, his follow-up response answered my question where upon I added an additional comment, try to keep up
That you had no idea of this Nate Silver predictive market shows you are, as usual, the ignorant one in the room.

Once again playing catch-up.
 
Talk about someone who's swirling the drain.
Yep,.........the old Ho sure is. Right down the shitter with the other turds , exactly where she belongs. Furthermore, you will have those that think like ME to thank for putting her there.

:evilnod:
 
Exactly, you trust them more because Trump is far ahead, as with everything, if Trump were losing you’d quickly dismiss them as biased and conspiratorial

MAGA just parrots Trump.

When he's up in the polls, he talks about them all the time. When he's down in the polls, they're fake.

It's comical how transparent & predictable it all is.
 
MAGA just parrots Trump.

When he's up in the polls, he talks about them all the time. When he's down in the polls, they're fake.

It's comical how transparent & predictable it all is.
tic tic tic.......... I still haven't decided if you are going to one of the forced hard labor camps or just the re education camp yet. Mind your P's and Q's son. ;) :)
 
We have already decided to send Evince to one of the labor camps to be used as a form of punishment. When someone is sent to the hole it means being forced to be locked down in an 8x12 room with Evince for 72 continuous hours. Talk about hell on Earth!
 
A gambling website. :ROFLMAO: Btw volsie, in PA it's still Harris 48 - trump 47.

Whatever Polymarket Is, It’s Not the Future of News​

A betting market is gambling that financial incentives can be the ultimate arbiters of truth.

"If you’re a degenerate gambler then you probably already know that Polymarket is “predicting” that Trump will win the U.S. election. If you’re not a degenerate gambler, then you may not even know what Polymarket is.

The fast and simple version is that it’s a gambling website where users place bets on various events using crypto. The complicated answer is that it’s a website with VC funding, a newsletter, a comments section, an AI content generation deal, and a plan to pitch itself as the future of news. All of that is built around betting on stuff with crypto."

How Polymarket Works​

Users can purchase either a yes or no “share” as a way of placing a bet on an answer. Buying a share of “Trump will win the presidency” costs 49.8¢ right now. If he wins, the user gets the difference, up to a dollar, back. So a Trump win would earn you 50.2¢ if a user locked in at 49.8."

They aren't in the business of losing money.
 
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