Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update
- Thread starter volsrocks
- Start date
I thought you said Silver was a hack?
Althea
Althea told me...
LOL. He averages all credible polling, which lately is done mostly by Right Wing orgs desperate to show trump ahead for future election lies.
Even so, trump to win by 3% excites you? As with every other poll, it's well within the margin of error.
And that was before trump lost more than 1 million Latino/Latina votes.
ZenMode
Well-known member
I believe Hillary had a 65 to 70% chance of winning.
Trump is slipping. Currently 51%-49%
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And tomorrow there will be another poll, Friday another, Saturday again, etc, etc, wait long enough and one can nearly find any poll to support whatever it is they want to believe
Only conclusion I think one can draw from the polling is that it is too close to predict, which I’d say is the pollsters admitting they don’t know
Only conclusion I think one can draw from the polling is that it is too close to predict, which I’d say is the pollsters admitting they don’t know
evince
Truthmatters
And then Trump got lots of Russian help from Putin
evince
Truthmatters
If we were not factoring all the right wing tilted right polling
It wouldn’t look tied
They use them to discredit polling
Then use that bad result to claim election fraud
So that is basically an even draw, with both having more or less even chances of winning.