An no Terry i am not myopic.
What i admit:
- I do not know if battery tech will get he advancements they are chasing. They may not. BUt history has taught to not bet against it as new tech goes into mass production, huge breakthru's typically follow.
Battery technology--all battery technology--relies on chemistry. The charge a cell delivers is the difference in potential between the cathode and anode materials.
Next, the two materials / elements / molecules used have to have the correct chemistry to be able to be recharged. All batteries are not rechargeable, and rechargeable ones have lives. There's a limit to how many times you can recharge one.
Then there's the physics of charging and discharging them electrically along with the chemistry.
All of this is pretty much fixed and known. There isn't much that can be discovered about batteries except possibly better cell design or using higher purity chemicals in making one. Sure, you can change the electrolyte in some way, or the anode and cathode design, but it really doesn't change the battery significantly.
That's why fuel cells are the next big thing, not batteries. Fuel cells are in essence, a never-ending battery that continually charges itself with new fuel.
With EV's what you have is the Left, and it is the political Left, wanting zero-emissions. They won't wait for a fuel cell to become completely practical so they settled on batteries. They ignore the chemistry and physics, along with the economics, and simply charge forward like a bulldozer demanding full adoption as if their wishes would all be granted.
What's very likely, almost certainly, to happen is a fuel cell vehicle will become fully and economically viable in the near future. EV's, forced on people, will be an unwanted solution and people will move to fuel cells instead. The Left will resist this because it isn't what they want, until it's obvious they can't stop the change. Then they'll jump onboard and act as if they never had anything to do with EV's.
- I do not know if any other tech, including fuel cells might obsolete it. That is possible and i have never said otherwise.
- this is an emerging area, just on the front edge of its development curve and we know less now than we will learn
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Fuel cells are the obvious choice. Anhydrous ammonia has the advantage of ease of storage and it can be mass produced cheaply from methane with carbon (not CO2) as a byproduct. That makes it a good choice to run a zero emission fuel cell on. Hydrogen has issues with storage. The best hydrogen storage tanks look like a fine mesh screen door to hydrogen atoms. If a storage method can be found that prevents most of that leakage, it's the winner.
If you contrast my views with yours where you are certain on which tech will win, how the future will EXACTLY play out, and you are willing to call people an idiot who disagree, you understand the difference between us.
I do not think you are an idiot for you what you believe and would bet on. that is fine. You might end up correct.
BUt for you to say all the VC money, all the Universities and researchers who are pursuing tech paths you do not think will pay off are all idiots as you, Terry, have figured this all out and can speak definitively to the future, just isolates you along with Marjorie Greene. True idiots with zero hubris who feel the need to speak of everything as settled fact based solely on you 'believing it to be true'. You need nothing more than that. You believe it thus everyone who disagrees just does not have a different opinion... nope... they must be wrong in your myopic view.
This is a real failing you have Terry. A real flaw and many have it. They speak, as you do from ignorance, and cannot see it.
If you discuss this stuff with the Leftists in various organizations and such, which I have done, you come away with the distinct impression they don't know any of the particulars of this. They simply
know because people that think like they do told them that X is the solution to a problem and they should get onboard with it. This isn't about MTG, she is an idiot, just like AOC is, only a polar opposite.
The problem is that the Left, right now, has majority control of the media and is the primary influencer of the general population. Most people don't bother to learn technical, engineering, science, and related stuff and rely heavily on what media puts out. If the media is putting out garbage... In the case of EV's the media is putting out a lot of garbage.
