Just heard on news some exit poll figures

Chapdog said:
Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody areas show Brown leading by 14, 17, and 15% points.
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Not being familiar with those areas... are they traditionally heavier in Independents/Republicans relative to other areas? What kind of population do they have relative to the state?
 
That in itself is hardly surprising. It's no secret that Coakley has to get a huge turnout in Boston & Amherst.

The national media is already reporting as though she lost though, which might say something...
 
Superfreak said:
Not being familiar with those areas... are they traditionally heavier in Independents/Republicans relative to other areas? What kind of population do they have relative to the state?
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Gardner - Western
Fitchburg - North of worcester but city with high poor population.
Peabody - Northshore area more money.
 
Onceler said:
That in itself is hardly surprising. It's no secret that Coakley has to get a huge turnout in Boston & Amherst.

The national media is already reporting as though she lost though, which might say something...
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And this is where I wish they'd (national media) would just keep their mouths shut until it's over.
 
I was under the impression that there wasn't going to be exit polling in MA? It was considered to be a Democratic blowout until last week, and there wasn't time to organize it.
 
i dont know what to tell you. apparently they are doing exit polling unofficial. I suppose it could be bullshit. Ill search around
 
Chapdog said:
i dont know what to tell you. apparently they are doing exit polling unofficial. I suppose it could be bullshit. Ill search around
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At best there is some exit interviewing being done by right-wingers but there is no exit poll being conducted as that term is traditionally used.
 
well i found the source for the info i heard on the radio.

http://www.charlotteconservative.com/index.php/2010/01/brown-coakley-exit-polls/

The polls have opened at 7AM in the vote for Senate Election in Massachusetts. Polls will be open until 8 PM this evening. Results from exit polls will show early indications of who is leading the race for Senate. More solid early exit polling results are expected by shortly after noon time in Massachusetts.

Early exit polls in the Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody areas show Brown leading by 14, 17, and 15% points. While too early to call a lock similar continued results by 2 – 3pm should confirm the loss by Martha Coakley.

All three early predictors have Scott Brown gaining over 50% of the states voters in a sweeping come from behind victory.

The Candidate are voting early at their respective hometown polling booths at the 7 AM opening of polls. Scott Brown votes in Wrentham while Matha Coakley heads to the polls this morning in Medford.

Candidates are making early morning phone calls thanking supporters for their support while trying to energize their base to mobilize supporters to get out and vote. Projections are for a Scott Brown victory in the heavily Democratic State of Massachusetts.
 
SmarterThanYou said:
there is now. supposedy (operative keyword) rasmussen is stepping in. not sure of the authenticity of that claim though.
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That's the kind of thing that could easily be verified. If Rasmussen were stepping in to do exit polling everyone and their mother would know about it and Rasmussen would be screaming it from the hilltops. Rasmussen has nothing about it on its website.

There are no exit polls.
 
Chap, that report is ridiculous! (not blaming you). How can they call over 50% statewide for Brown, based on 3 EARLY exit polls from mostly rural areas?

There's an agenda going on there; the conclusions are absurd...
 
cawacko said:
There's going to be some serious egg on people's faces if she pulls this race out.
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If the Republicans can initiate an unheard of 20 point swing by campaigning on the healthcare bill Democrats are going to lose everything in 2010. It doesn't matter whether or not Coakley wins if this pattern can be repeated.

I'm hoping that this is just because of personality. We won NY-27 while HC negotiations were still going on, so maybe I'm just being pessimistic.
 
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