Is the Romney bounce fading?
- Thread starter Jarod
- Start date
canceled.2021.1
#AMERICAISDEAD
I guess one would have to believe one debate performance changed the entire election. Do you believe that?
It appears that way to me, the same polls using the same methodology showed a huge bounce for Willard, that now seems to be fading.
Didn't Bush 1 lose a debate and thus the election by looking at his watch ONE time ?.....
Maybe thats not the 100% reason he lost but it sure a hell went a long way to lessen his chances.....that a
reneging on his promise to not raise taxes...that ONE promise....
How many promises did Obama make in from 2006 to 2009 in his bid for the presidency that were not kept.....
.....having 99% of the media, all media, on your side is about all the advantage anyone could possibly want or need......
Its been 4 years and its obvious Obama has no skills other than an out going manner and rather friendly personally.....
hes on TV and using AF1 just about EVERY OTHER DAY since he was elected......
you're branded a racist by this friendly media if you speak out against him in any way......
he has the Hollywood entertainment liberals in his back pocket and all his exposure on network tv will be positive from Saturday kiddy shows to sitcoms to talk shows like the View or Ellen or Leno and Letterman.....
it was only until his first debate that was so glaringly dismal that some negative remards were made by media so they could at least some save some of their credibility
and that may very well be wiped out in he doesn't screw up tomorrow....
The left wing media certainly has not abandoned him.
Maybe thats not the 100% reason he lost but it sure a hell went a long way to lessen his chances.....that a
reneging on his promise to not raise taxes...that ONE promise....
How many promises did Obama make in from 2006 to 2009 in his bid for the presidency that were not kept.....
.....having 99% of the media, all media, on your side is about all the advantage anyone could possibly want or need......
Its been 4 years and its obvious Obama has no skills other than an out going manner and rather friendly personally.....
hes on TV and using AF1 just about EVERY OTHER DAY since he was elected......
you're branded a racist by this friendly media if you speak out against him in any way......
he has the Hollywood entertainment liberals in his back pocket and all his exposure on network tv will be positive from Saturday kiddy shows to sitcoms to talk shows like the View or Ellen or Leno and Letterman.....
it was only until his first debate that was so glaringly dismal that some negative remards were made by media so they could at least some save some of their credibility
and that may very well be wiped out in he doesn't screw up tomorrow....
The left wing media certainly has not abandoned him.
Mott the Hoople
Sweet Jane
It did? Where? RCP showed a small bounce that put some more states into "swing state" status. I'd hardly call that "A Huge Bounce.". It was a small but significant bounce. Nor have I seen any recent data showing Romney has lost those gains. The data indicates some momentum was gained by the Romney campaign but that momentum has certainly faided because Romney is not continuing to gain. He's about right where he was last week. Tomorow night will be a good opportunity for Romney to consolidate his gains and to further the momentum from the first debate which has faded. Conversely, he could lose ground and momentum to Obama after the next debate which would hurt. The third alternative is no net change after Tuesday nights debate. Personally, I don't see the debates having a significant net affect on the outcome of this election.
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
RCP National Average: Obama- 46.0 Romney- 47.3 Romney +1.3
This doesn't look like momentum has shifted. Looks like it's still within the margin of error but Romney leads... before the debate, Obama led, in fact it was just about reversed from this. So are you presuming that Romney's bounce is "falling" because it's not gaining anymore?
This doesn't look like momentum has shifted. Looks like it's still within the margin of error but Romney leads... before the debate, Obama led, in fact it was just about reversed from this. So are you presuming that Romney's bounce is "falling" because it's not gaining anymore?
realclearpolitics.com has Romney up .1, down form last week. Are you lying? Go to the web cite, upper right corner.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
Dear Jarod... try actually comparing polls to their previous versions. What we are seeing now is more of the 'undecideds' deciding. Gallup went from a tie to Romney up 2, yet Obama maintained 47% in both polls. The change occurred over the past two weeks.
Another side note Jarod... you like to think yourself clever for trying to 'call' fades or surges etc... in reality, you are just posting nonsense. These polls are going to continue fluctuating right up until the election. Wasn't it just a couple weeks ago you were proclaiming the swing states were all 'coming on board'... blah blah blah...
Another side note Jarod... you like to think yourself clever for trying to 'call' fades or surges etc... in reality, you are just posting nonsense. These polls are going to continue fluctuating right up until the election. Wasn't it just a couple weeks ago you were proclaiming the swing states were all 'coming on board'... blah blah blah...
cawacko
Well-known member
He fancies himself the board's Chuck Todd (I believe that's the MSNBC pollster).
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
I copied and pasted from their website, (which you didn't actually link, btw.) So if I am lying, they are lying too. Looking again, I see they have two different numbers posted as the RCP National Avg., not sure if they have missed an update or what... but still... the numbers are all within the margin of error, Jughead. You see, what that means is, the poll is not entirely accurate and could be off by a certain amount either way. For instance, let's say 10% of those who claim to be voting for Obama, are less motivated to go cast their votes on election day, while 10% more people who maybe weren't calculated by the pollsters, but turn out to vote for Romney anyway.. this could render the poll meaningless.
What's fascinating is that 45-47% of the country still believes Obama should be president.
pre debate even North Carolina was trending Obama. I agree we are seeing undecideds deciding. The debate caused some decisions, but that effect is fading and some are changing what they decided.
Rationalist
Hail Voltaire
Polls will fluctuate slightly until election day, when Romney mops the floor. I recommend you check into a mental health facility in advance.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
Again Jarod, show us which polls are showing 'an effect is fading' and some are 'changing what they decided'. You are simply posting more nonsense.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
For Jarod...
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...eral_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html#polls
Now take a look at each of the polls included in your average Jarod. EVERY SINGLE ONE fails to show any sort of 'fading' for Romeny. EVERY SINGLE ONE shows more undecideds making up their minds, but NONE show that they are 'changing what they decide as you stupidly proclaimed'.
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/
Go to the link above and look to the right side of the page. The average I posted came from there. As I said, I don't know why it is different in another place, maybe they forgot to update this? Either way, BOTH numbers are well within the margin of error. You DO understand, we don't elect a president based on the RCP National Average, right?
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
It has now been updated. The wonder of the Internet!
REGARDLESS.... Whichever number... STILL WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR!
Romney didn't get a bump...the polls are being used this election to influence the outcome. Rove is playing his games because 'he believes in democracy'.... he's another winger criminal but no matter...their peeps will vote for anyone as long as they aren't black, brown or liberul.