Iran War Watch

According to an interview with Andrew Napolitano for TASS, Tucker Carlson met with Trump on Feb. 23rd in an attempt to dissuade him from striking Iran.Napolitano describes it as a "last-ditch effort" on Carlson's part, to prevent the U.S. from being pulled into another "sensless war."He adds that, despite Carlson's pleas, it's almost certain Trump will go forward with strikes — the only question is how large-scale the military campaign will be."The question is not IF, but WHEN"

View: https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2026160961590006033
 
Shanaka Anslem Perera

@shanaka86



The deadline just compressed from 10 days to 48 hours. And Iran just told you it will not comply.On February 19, Trump said 10 to 15 days. Five days later, the administration gave Iran a 48-hour window for a new nuclear proposal. That is not negotiation. That is a countdown being accelerated by someone who has already made the math work and is compressing the timeline to match the logistics.Iran International confirmed Sunday that Tehran has ruled out an interim deal and is keeping its military on full alert during diplomacy. Foreign Minister Araghchi says he sees "encouraging signals" while simultaneously reaffirming Iran will never accept zero enrichment, the only condition Washington says it will accept. Those two positions do not overlap. There is no Venn diagram. There is an unbridgeable impasse, the exact words Israeli officials used when briefing the Times of Israel.Now hold four things that happened in the same 48-hour window and ask yourself if they are coincidence.First. KAN, Israel's public broadcaster, reports a US-Israeli understanding has been finalized: Washington leads the initial strikes. If Iran retaliates against Israel, Jerusalem has immediate authorization to respond without waiting for American approval. You do not pre-delegate strike authority between two sovereign militaries for a bluff. That is a command-and-control architecture for a multi-front war with pre-authorized escalation ladders.Second. Trump told reporters any action would be "easily won" and promised Iran a "very bad day for Iran and its people" if no deal is reached. He then denied his own team is opposing strikes. When a president publicly denies internal opposition, the opposition is real and he has overruled it. Graham already confirmed the advisers are pleading. Trump is telling you he has heard them and chosen differently.Third. Iran conducted naval drills closing sections of the Strait of Hormuz. Not a statement. Not a threat. Physical vessels conducting physical operations in the 21-mile corridor through which 20 percent of the world's seaborne crude transits daily. Iran is not threatening to close the strait. Iran is practicing closing the strait.Fourth. The US Embassy in Beirut began evacuating personnel. Beirut. Not Baghdad. Not Doha. Beirut. Where Hezbollah, Iran's most capable proxy, sits with an estimated 150,000 rockets pointed at Israel. You evacuate Beirut when you expect the retaliatory chain to activate Lebanon, which means you expect the initial action to be significant enough to trigger the full proxy architecture.Gold hit $5,000. Not because of inflation. Not because of Fed policy. Because the smart money that moves bullion is pricing something the equity market has not yet processed.Bloomberg has modeled $108 oil if the Strait is disrupted. The Atlantic Council just published ten predictions for US strikes, not ten predictions for talks. NBC reports a new attack risks "large-scale retaliation." CSIS is mapping oil disruption scenarios. The Crisis Group, one of the most dovish institutions in international relations, titled their latest analysis "The US and Iran Can Still Avoid a War." Still. That word is doing all the work. Even the doves are framing the baseline as war.The market priced Brent at $71.76 on Friday. That price contains roughly $10 of Iran premium. Ten dollars. For a scenario where the deadline expires before the talks resume, the target has publicly rejected the only acceptable terms, the shooter has pre-delegated retaliatory authority to a nuclear-armed ally, the target's most capable proxy is being evacuated against, and the chokepoint controlling a fifth of global crude supply is being rehearsed for closure.Everyone is watching Geneva on Wednesday. The deadline runs out Tuesday. Iran has already said no. The military architecture is complete. The proxy contingency is activated. The embassy is emptying. The gold is screaming.The stage is not being set. The stage is set. The lights are on. The actors are in position. And the curtain does not wait for the audience to find their seats.
 
Nah, it would be Trump War I, The Great Peacemaker... They'll bill it like WWI "The War to End All Wars"...
And don't you just laugh at the ignorance of Hawkeye who claims that America is the Imperialist Empire? Look, Trump has steadily said he's against outright war, and has in fact brought peace to some eight ongoing wars. If and when Trump decides to take out the leadership in Iran, it will result in favor of the Iranian people as they're getting slaughtered by their own dictatorship by the thousands. His doing so won't result in war, rather it will result similar to what we see going on in Venezuela after Trump took out Maduro.
 
And don't you just laugh at the ignorance of Hawkeye who claims that America is the Imperialist Empire? Look, Trump has steadily said he's against outright war, and has in fact brought peace to some eight ongoing wars. If and when Trump decides to take out the leadership in Iran, it will result in favor of the Iranian people as they're getting slaughtered by their own dictatorship by the thousands. His doing so won't result in war, rather it will result similar to what we see going on in Venezuela after Trump took out Maduro.
We care about the Iranian people even less than we care about Ukrainians, who are nothing but meat for the meat grinders to the Empire.

The goal is to collapse the society, in the service of Greater Israel.
 
We care about the Iranian people even less than we care about Ukrainians, who are nothing but meat for the meat grinders to the Empire.

The goal is to collapse the society, in the service of Greater Israel.
I partially agree with you. The goal is to collapse the leadership of the Iranian people, but not to collapse the society of Iran in total. Just like in Venezuela we took out their evil leadership so that the people of Venezuela can get back to living normal lives. I visited Caracas in 1992 when it was a wonderful and beautiful city, before Chavez came in and brought that country to a failing standstill in I believe it was 1998. I have nothing against the thousands of Iranian protestors who seeking an end to their dictatorship.
 
There are other options, for instance the Zionist Bastards who run American media generally are trying to get the Iranians to lower their guard.

Or Trump is being set up by the Swamp to fail, in the mission to oust Trump and crush MAGA

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There is a flurry of reports over the past 72 hrs from the US media (NYT, WSJ, WaPo, Axios, CBS, etc) raising questions on US readiness for major war with Iran. Theres too much for it to be coincidence. Either the WH is trying to signal to its allies that they're taking a deal or the Pentagon is trying to tie Trump's hands or make sure they're not blamed for the result of war.

View: https://x.com/AliR_Ahmadi/status/2026254626039767144
 
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