"HOUSTON (Dow Jones)--Rough seas and winds continue to disrupt spill responders' efforts to contain the oil gushing from BP PLC's (BP, BP.LN) well in the Gulf of Mexico two days after Hurricane Alex made landfall hundreds of miles away from the spill site, the U.S. Coast Guard said Friday.
More bad weather is expected to slow the work over the weekend, the Coast Guard said.
Alex, which ranked as a Category One, or the weakest possible hurricane, has delayed by about six days the hookup of a third oil containment vessel. If all goes well the Helix Producer, which is already at the well site, should be on line July 7 and should be able to produce about 20,0000 to 25,0000 barrels of oil a day, Retired Adm. Thad Allen, the federal response commander, said during a news conference.
The delay means that between 120,000 to 150,000 barrels of oil could go uncollected, Allen said. Alex hit northern Mexico about 100 miles south of Brownsville, Texas.
The foul weather is also the likely the cause of the reduction in the capacity of the containment ship, the Q4000, Allen said. The ship can normally flare off 10,000 barrels of oil a day but has been achieving about 25% less than its average rates during the storm.
BP and the government response team are working on plans to strengthen their collection system in order to make it more hurricane-ready, however, most of those plans have hinged on a storm arriving in the height of the Gulf Coast's hurricane season, which normally falls between mid-August and mid-September. Alex's early arrival and the threat of more storms to follow underscores the fragility of the operations.
On Thursday, BP recovered a total of 25,150 barrels of oil. About 16,915 of those barrels were collected by the Discoverer Enterprise, the main containment vessel. The Q4000 flared off about 8,235 barrels of oil. About 57 million cubic feet of natural gas was flared as well. Government and independent scientists estimate that about 35,000 to 60,000 barrels of oil a day are flowing from the well. The gusher started in late April when the Deepwater Horizon rig exploded and sank, killing 11 people.
The remnants of Alex also continue to halt near-shore skimming operations, Allen said.
Coast Guard Admiral Paul Zukunft in New Orleans said that the bad weather has prevented about 20,000 barrels of oil a day from either being skimmed or in situ burned for the last two days. Protective booming has also been dislodged.
Some of the skimming and hoarding of oil for flaming could continue to be delayed for the next 96 hours because of thunderstorms that are forecasted to move into the area, Zukunft said. He added that if lightning strikes within five miles of the well site, the containment vessels could be shut down.
However, there is good news for the operations, Allen said.
BP is still ahead of schedule in the drilling of a relief well that could kill the leak but Allen said he didn't want to move up the expected finish date from the previously announced second week of August. The spill response team is still debating on when to replace the well's cap with a stronger one, which could increase the system's capacity to collect oil to up to 80,000 barrels a day. However, there is some risk associated with switching caps.
"It's a very complex situation, as you might imagine," Allen said. "We are closing in on a decision point but the exact time that will happen hasn't been established yet."
Meanwhile, Allen said he and other responders are closely watching what the National Hurricane Center calls a weak low pressure area off the coast of Florida.
"There is a low chance, 10%, of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours," the NHC said in a statement Friday.
Alex has not changed BP's or the government's response plan in the event of a hurricane, Allen said Friday. Operations at the well will begin shutting down 5 days in advance of gale force winds hitting near the well site. However, he said he understands that due to the unpredictable nature of storms responders may not get that much advanced notice.
"We know we may or may not get that 120 hours of the classic tropical depression moving through the Caribbean into Gulf of Mexico, that's the reason we are watching the low pressure that's sitting off the Panhandle of Florida very, very closely right now. In a perfect world we want a 120 hours [but] you don't know whether you're going to get it, because Mother Nature has a vote in these things."
-By Susan Daker, Dow Jones Newswires; 713-547-9208;
susan.daker@dowjones.com
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