Fact-checking the second volume of the U.S. National Climate Assessment

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cancel2 2022

Canceled
It's about time somebody of Roger Andrew's calibre took that ludicrous politically inspired NCA4 report apart! The MSM are mostly a bunch of craven arselickers that act as propaganda disseminators for the climate alarmists. Naturally the usual suspects are banned, especially Desh, Dog Snatcher and One Brain Cell.


This recently-issued study (the “Assessment”) was seized on by the media as proof of the massive damage the US will suffer if nothing is done about climate change. The Assessment’s conclusions are based largely on speculative model projections that aren’t amenable to checking, but it also claims that the US is already experiencing some of the impacts of man-made climate change, and these claims can be checked. This post accordingly evaluates them claim-by-claim and finds that they are rarely backed up by any hard data, that in some cases they are contradicted by disclaimers buried in the text, and that in no case is there any hard evidence that conclusively relates the impacts to man-made climate change. The credibility of the Assessment’s predictions can be judged accordingly.


The Assessment is 1,600 pages long and I doubt that anyone has read it from cover to cover – I certainly haven’t. I have obtained my information from the Summary Findings, Overview, Report Chapters and Downloads sections in the boxes that clicking on this link leads to. These sections themselves contain several hundred pages of text, much of it repetitive, but there is always the possibility that I’ve missed some critical graphic or piece of text. On the other hand, if I’ve missed it the media, who will have read the introductory sections only, will have too.

And how did the media report the Assessment’s results? Here are some excerpts:
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Read more: http://euanmearns.com/fact-checking-the-second-volume-of-the-u-s-national-climate-assessment/
 
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It's far too long to post but here is his conclusion, which is right in the money.

Conclusion:

In this post I have fact-checked eleven separate climate change impacts which according to the Assessment’s summary sections are already doing damage in the US. In six of these cases (heavy precipitation, heat waves, wildfires, winter storms, sea level rise/coastal flooding and glacier retreat) there is observational evidence – most of which I have had to dig up myself – for impacts that might be related to man-made climate change, but in all of them this evidence is equivocal (e.g. wildfires) or the impacts are insignificant (e.g. nuisance tidal floods).

in the other five cases (droughts, floods, Atlantic hurricanes, tornadoes, and injuries, illnesses and deaths) the observational evidence either contradicts the Assessment’s claims or the Assessment admits later in the text that the claim isn’t valid (droughts and floods).

Clearly the Assessment was conducted with little regard for the facts. A disregard for the facts, however, is necessary if one wishes to get the climate change catastrophe message across.

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NCA4 is almost wholly political and indeed self-contradictory. There are elements of truth in it but they are buried towards the end, where you can be sure that lazy media hacks will never go searching.
 
Here is a graph that demonstrates vividly how poorly CMIP-5 models have performed compared to real world observation.

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Observations from satellite and weather balloons for global lower tropospheric temperatures, compared to the average or 102 IPCC CMIP-5 Climate Models. (Sources: John Christy US, KNMI, The Netherlands)
 
guno said:
You pasty faced limey goyim have nothing to do with America
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Ignorant, repetitive and racist, yes that Guano. He likes to swoop in low like a bat, take a dump and then fly off again. Of course there the analogy ends, as batshit is useful whereas he is a total waste of space.
 
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