Donald Trump and his advisers do not understand economics/trade

Timshel

New member
Maybe, Hillary could learn a few things and counter this. She does not seem to want to do that and politically I get it, but the stupidity Trump/Sanders has spread on trade needs to be answered.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timwors...mply-wrong-about-vat-and-mexico/#4fbcfd4638ef

Just one point about last night’s debate (no, sorry, my stomach is not strong enough to wage through more of that much politics). Donald Trump made a claim about Mexico and taxes. He claimed that the VAT there acts like a 16% barrier to American exports to Mexico. And that given the US doesn’t have a VAT then Mexican exports to the US did not face the same problem.

Apologies but this is simply flat out wrong. It’s nonsense, arglebargle if you want to use the technical term. Here’s Trump:

Let me give you the example of Mexico. They have a VAT tax. We’re on a different system. When we sell into Mexico, there’s a tax. When they sell in — automatic, 16 percent, approximately. When they sell into us, there’s no tax. It’s a defective agreement. It’s been defective for a long time, many years, but the politicians haven’t done anything about it.

Just rubbish, as Paul Krugman points out:

Gah. A VAT is basically a sales tax. It is levied on both domestic and imported goods, so that it doesn’t protect against imports — which is why it’s allowed under international trade rules, and not considered a protectionist trade policy. I get that Trump is not an economist — hoo boy, is he not an economist — but this is one of his signature issues, so you might have expected him to learn a few facts.

And as I pointed out yesterday:

Then we come to the interaction with trade. Under the US sales tax system an American corporation does not pay sales tax on the things it buys–it only applies to those final sales to the final consumer. So, American production pays no sales tax/VAT. But production elsewhere pays that VAT in those stages. And VAT is not payable on goods exported. Which is where that rebate comes in. If I, as a UK company, make something for sale in the UK then I collect VAT from the buyer, and I’ve paid out VAT to my suppliers. But if I export what I’ve made then I do not, and cannot, collect VAT from the buyer. And yet I’ve still paid out VAT to my suppliers. The system then says, well, OK, you can reclaim the VAT you paid out even though you didn’t collect any.


Note what this does–this puts me in exactly the same situation as a US company. When I make goods for export I have paid no sales tax/VAT on my supplies. Just like the American company.

The same is true of imports by that American producer. To the consumer it all looks the same. They have to pay the full VAT whether something is an import or domestically produced. And the producer has to turn over to the government 100% of the VAT collected minus any VAT that has been paid out. The American, imported, goods are treated exactly the same as the domestically produced ones.

There simply is no subsidy or trade barrier here at all. They’re flat out wrong.


Still, at least we know where the idea comes from now, Peter Navarro. Which is worse actually, because he actually is an economist and we should expect him to know this. Worse, he’s actually a rather good economist in certain areas of the subject. But he does seem to have some very odd ideas on trade and that’s probably where we should ignore him therefore. If only Donald Trump was doing that too….
 
How can this be? They certainly know how to "invest", apparently.

Of the 13 men — and they are all men — that Trump touted as economic advisers for their “unparalleled experience and success,” five are major donors whose families combined to give Trump’s campaign and his joint fundraising account with the Republican Party millions.

Among those Trump tapped for his economic advisory council is Steven Mnuchin, who, as Trump’s national finance director, is the point man for soliciting campaign cash across the nation. Mnuchin gave Trump $425,000.

Others on Trump’s economic advisory team include:

— Stephen Feinberg, co-founder and CEO of Cerberus Capital Management, who contributed $339,400 to Trump Victory, the Republican’s nominee joint fundraising account with the national and state Republican parties. Feinberg's wife gave another $339,400.

— Andy Beal, a billionaire investor and poker player contributed $449,400, the largest legal sum that Trump Victory can receive from an individual. Beal also gave $100,000 last summer to a pro-Trump super PAC, the Make America Great Again PAC, which has since ceased its activities. Beal has also been publicly linked with another Trump super PAC, the Great America PAC.

— Tom Barrack, a longtime Trump friend, who gave more than $399,000 to Trump Victory. Barrack, who spoke at the Republican National Convention last month, spent more than $15,000 on in-kind contributions when he hosted Trump’s first big fundraiser in Southern California — including $4,872 on beverages.

— Howard Lorber, president and CEO of Vector Group, who contributed $100,000 to Trump Victory.

— John Paulson of Paulson & Co. was spotted entering a Trump fundraising dinner in Manhattan at which seats cost $50,000 per person.

Trump’s economic team leans heavily on Wall Street investors and hedge-fund managers, despite Trump's railing against them during his presidential campaign.

“The hedge fund guys didn't build this country. These are guys that shift paper around. And they get lucky," Trump said last year on CBS’ "Face the Nation." "Look, they're energetic. They're very smart. But a lot of them, it's, like, they're paper pushers. They make a fortune. They pay no tax. It's ridiculous, OK?"

Paulson, a hedge fund manager, is famous for his 2007 bet against the mortgage market.

Beal is an investor who bought distressed assets after the recent recession.

Mnuchin runs a hedge fund.




http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/trumps-economic-advisers-are-also-his-biggest-donors-226758#ixzz4LTLTXbTR
 
How can this be? They certainly know how to "invest", apparently.

Of the 13 men — and they are all men — that Trump touted as economic advisers for their “unparalleled experience and success,” five are major donors whose families combined to give Trump’s campaign and his joint fundraising account with the Republican Party millions.

Among those Trump tapped for his economic advisory council is Steven Mnuchin, who, as Trump’s national finance director, is the point man for soliciting campaign cash across the nation. Mnuchin gave Trump $425,000.

Others on Trump’s economic advisory team include:

— Stephen Feinberg, co-founder and CEO of Cerberus Capital Management, who contributed $339,400 to Trump Victory, the Republican’s nominee joint fundraising account with the national and state Republican parties. Feinberg's wife gave another $339,400.

— Andy Beal, a billionaire investor and poker player contributed $449,400, the largest legal sum that Trump Victory can receive from an individual. Beal also gave $100,000 last summer to a pro-Trump super PAC, the Make America Great Again PAC, which has since ceased its activities. Beal has also been publicly linked with another Trump super PAC, the Great America PAC.

— Tom Barrack, a longtime Trump friend, who gave more than $399,000 to Trump Victory. Barrack, who spoke at the Republican National Convention last month, spent more than $15,000 on in-kind contributions when he hosted Trump’s first big fundraiser in Southern California — including $4,872 on beverages.

— Howard Lorber, president and CEO of Vector Group, who contributed $100,000 to Trump Victory.

— John Paulson of Paulson & Co. was spotted entering a Trump fundraising dinner in Manhattan at which seats cost $50,000 per person.

Trump’s economic team leans heavily on Wall Street investors and hedge-fund managers, despite Trump's railing against them during his presidential campaign.

“The hedge fund guys didn't build this country. These are guys that shift paper around. And they get lucky," Trump said last year on CBS’ "Face the Nation." "Look, they're energetic. They're very smart. But a lot of them, it's, like, they're paper pushers. They make a fortune. They pay no tax. It's ridiculous, OK?"

Paulson, a hedge fund manager, is famous for his 2007 bet against the mortgage market.

Beal is an investor who bought distressed assets after the recent recession.

Mnuchin runs a hedge fund.




http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/trumps-economic-advisers-are-also-his-biggest-donors-226758#ixzz4LTLTXbTR

Screw that populist bullshit. I don't care about their background. The point is that they do not understand trade/economics and the ignorant nonsense they are peddling is a huge threat to our economy.
 
Screw that populist bullshit. I don't care about their background. The point is that they do not understand trade/economics and the ignorant nonsense they are peddling is a huge threat to our economy.

They clearly understand that trading large campaign donations for favors from a president boosts their economies.

He will do as his donors dictate once elected. If they want free trade, he will want free trade.
 
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