http://newswatch.nationalgeographic...-different-islands-produces-similar-outcomes/
For years, evolutionary biologists have debated the predictability of evolution. Stephen Jay Gould famously said that if the tape of life could be rewound to the same starting point, it would replay with a very different outcome. On the other hand, many evolutionary biologists have pointed to the ubiquity of adaptive convergent evolution–when species facing similar environmental pressures evolve in highly similar ways–as evidence that evolution is deterministic.
A particularly interesting example of repeated convergent evolution occurs when two groups evolving in different places diversify to produce similar sets of descendant species. The existence of such “replicated adaptive radiations” would seem to be strong evidence for evolutionary determinism. For example, the cichlid fishes of the African Rift lakes have become an iconic textbook example, illustrated by diagrams matching up pairs of species from two lakes that are morphologically convergent (see figure on right). The problem is that there are hundreds of fish species in each lake—the example illustrates a number of cases of convergent evolution between the lakes, but does not demonstrate that the lake radiations themselves are overall more similar than one might expect; another possibility is that there are some cases of convergence embedded in a larger pool of non-convergent evolution.
For years, evolutionary biologists have debated the predictability of evolution. Stephen Jay Gould famously said that if the tape of life could be rewound to the same starting point, it would replay with a very different outcome. On the other hand, many evolutionary biologists have pointed to the ubiquity of adaptive convergent evolution–when species facing similar environmental pressures evolve in highly similar ways–as evidence that evolution is deterministic.
A particularly interesting example of repeated convergent evolution occurs when two groups evolving in different places diversify to produce similar sets of descendant species. The existence of such “replicated adaptive radiations” would seem to be strong evidence for evolutionary determinism. For example, the cichlid fishes of the African Rift lakes have become an iconic textbook example, illustrated by diagrams matching up pairs of species from two lakes that are morphologically convergent (see figure on right). The problem is that there are hundreds of fish species in each lake—the example illustrates a number of cases of convergent evolution between the lakes, but does not demonstrate that the lake radiations themselves are overall more similar than one might expect; another possibility is that there are some cases of convergence embedded in a larger pool of non-convergent evolution.