Dems Panicking Over Brandon's Dismal Polls

ThatOwlWoman said:
Minty really has a hate-on for non-white non-Xtian folks who don't agree with her. She's all snuggly-coochie though with Lesion, Toxic, and the other haters here. So much for that "I'm the sanest one here" and "Hate is so bad for you so I don't do that" schtick. lol
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Thankfully her kind is literally dying off :)
 
guno said:
Poor Shiksa, and I do mean it in the literal sense for you: abomination", "impure," or "object of loathing"
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You're not Jewish, you're common gutter trash. Unworthy of licking shit off the shoes of a real Jew. Real Jews would recoil at your repulsive hatred and antics. Crawl on your belly like the reptile you are. :smile:
 
Life is Golden said:
You're not Jewish, you're common gutter trash. Unworthy of licking shit off the shoes of a real Jew. Real Jews would recoil at your repulsive hatred and antics. Crawl on your belly like the reptile you are. :smile:
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Aw just look at little Merry Sunshine IDon'tBotherWithHateI'mTheSanestPersonOnThisForum!

The only purpose you serve on this forum is to speak for the racists, bigots and for Toxic who hates even harder than you do, but is too chickenshit to say it out loud anymore. I'm so glad you found each other. Thank the gods you're both too shriveled to reproduce.

<runs to take a shower to wash the skank off>
 
guno said:
Thankfully her kind is literally dying off :)
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Especially the old ones too stupid to get a vaccine because #TRE45ON and/or DeSatan said it's all a hoax. But yeah sure, this graphic is "fake news." :rolleyes:

mDl5YIL.jpg
 
ThatOwlWoman said:
Aw just look at little Merry Sunshine IDon'tBotherWithHateI'mTheSanestPersonOnThisForum!

The only purpose you serve on this forum is to speak for the racists, bigots and for Toxic who hates even harder than you do, but is too chickenshit to say it out loud anymore. I'm so glad you found each other. Thank the gods you're both too shriveled to reproduce.

<runs to take a shower to wash the skank off>
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Madwitch has taken Guano under her wing, why?
 
ThatOwlWoman said:
Aw just look at little Merry Sunshine IDon'tBotherWithHateI'mTheSanestPersonOnThisForum!

The only purpose you serve on this forum is to speak for the racists, bigots and for Toxic who hates even harder than you do, but is too chickenshit to say it out loud anymore. I'm so glad you found each other. Thank the gods you're both too shriveled to reproduce.

<runs to take a shower to wash the skank off>
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What were you saying about living every day as if it were your last?
 
Life is Golden said:
[FONT=&]Democrats are growing increasingly worried about President Biden’s standing in the polls seven months out from the midterm elections. [/FONT]
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Biden hasn’t seen a boost in his approval ratings amid Russia’s war in Ukraine despite support among Americans for the steps that he has taken. [/FONT]
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While the economy continues to gain jobs and the unemployment rate is low, something Biden touted on Friday, inflation is at a 40-year high and gas prices are through the roof, exacerbated by the Russian invasion.

Democrats for months have feared they will lose the House majority this fall, and they are worried about losing the Senate, too, with polls showing Biden performing poorly in key states such as Arizona.
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[FONT=&]“It’s bad,” said one Democratic strategist. “You have an energy crisis that’s paralyzing and inflation is at a 40-year high and we’re heading into a recession. The problem is simple. The American people have lost confidence in him.”

https://thehill.com/news/administration/3256844-democratic-anxiety-grows-over-bidens-dismal-polls/[/FONT]
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This is where pollsters get it so wrong. Inflation during a presidential election cycle doesn’t correlate strongly, as a metric, in regards to being re-elected, short term economics, as defined by the Feds not declaring a recession during an election year, and long term economics, defined as the average growth in nation GDP during an incumbents term is greater than the average national GDP growth during the previous two terms, are metrics that do correlate strongly.

If the election were to be tomorrow Biden would easily win both of those economic metrics and in spite of inflation.

Right now both short term and long term growth during Biden’s first year has been booming as measured by GDP growth and is no where close to a recession. Employment levels are also below prepandemic levels.

So beating the drums on inflation when the economy is growing as strongly as it currently is, is a losing strategy. It only becomes meaningful if GDP growth falls below average levels and we enter a recession.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
This is where pollsters get it so wrong. Inflation during a presidential election cycle doesn’t correlate strongly, as a metric, in regards to being re-elected, short term economics, as defined by the Feds not declaring a recession during an election year, and long term economics, defined as the average growth in nation GDP during an incumbents term is greater than the average national GDP growth during the previous two terms, are metrics that do correlate strongly.

If the election were to be tomorrow Biden would easily win both of those economic metrics and in spite of inflation.

Right now both short term and long term growth during Biden’s first year has been booming as measured by GDP growth and is no where close to a recession. Employment levels are also below prepandemic levels.

So beating the drums on inflation when the economy is growing as strongly as it currently is, is a losing strategy. It only becomes meaningful if GDP growth falls below average levels and we enter a recession.
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Inflation is at 30-year highs. Here's how it's hurt past presidents
https://www.npr.org/2021/11/19/1056...year-highs-heres-how-its-hurt-past-presidents
 
anatta said:
Inflation is at 30-year highs. Here's how it's hurt past presidents
https://www.npr.org/2021/11/19/1056...year-highs-heres-how-its-hurt-past-presidents
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Well no kidding inflation can harm a sitting Presidents odds for re-election but it is only strongly correlated if the economy is in a recession. When the economy is not in a recession it has a poor correlation. We are not in a recession. The economy is growing. So by the metrics I stated, both long term and short term, currently the economic metric favors the current administration. If The election were to happen now and Trump was Biden’s opponent Biden would win again.

There’s a lot of time before the next election and at that time if the long and short term economic metrics has the average growth in GDP for Biden’s is lower than the average GDP growth of the previous two terms and the Fed at anytime declares a recession in 2024 the Biden will lose those two economic metrics.

If the opposite happens Biden will win those two predictive metrics. What I’m saying is that inflation alone is not as good a predictor as economic growth and/or decline is. Though those are just two of the metrics I’m using.
 
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