T. A. Gardner
Serial Thread Killer
Hmm, I don't know. This from a link within your source article: https://morningconsult.com/2021/11/18/phil-scott-approval-vermont-polling-senate-race/
No one saw Jimmy Carter coming.
No one thought Slick Willy could get a 2nd term, much less Obama.
We'll see.
Jimmy Carter was the obvious result of the Nixon Watergate scandal. Nobody expected Ford to do anything but warm the chair until the next election when a Democrat would win.
Clinton was a savvy enough politician to see what side his bread was buttered on. He tacked hard Left initially, and that resulted in a massive loss in Congress flipping it Republican for the first time in decades. It was a body blow to the Democrats. Clinton shifted to being a left-of-center centrist and worked with Republicans. That got him reelected.
Obama came in with super-majorities in both houses of Congress only to see them lost and the Republicans take control in the mid-terms. He survived reelection on two primary grounds:
He could get near 100% of the Black vote giving him about a 2 point advantage overall
His opponent in the reelection was Romney, a spineless RINO who was little more than a weasel and people knew it. But Obama lost congress, and not by small margins because people wanted split government.
With the Orange Man and the Hildabeast, it was a choice between awful and evil. People chose awful over evil.
Now we have a Leftist running things and a very much split Congress. People are going to choose split government and Congress will end up Republican, and not by a small margin. The question is will the Republicans fuck that up or will they ram a popular agenda down Biden's throat to the detriment of the Democrats.