Are you ready to win?

Diogenes

Diogenes

Nemo me impune lacessit
The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former President Trump.

Surveys from pollsters that lean toward one party are a regular occurrence in presidential contests along with independent polling.

In recent weeks, however, GOP-leaning polls have flooded the zone, fueling speculation that they could be skewing perceptions of the race. But experts note their average models have methodologies in place to prepare for this.

“When you look across all the averages, the net effect is less than a point, if you take out the Republican polls, or the partisan ones, so to speak,” said Scott Tranter, the director of data science for Decision Desk HQ. “So I don’t necessarily think it’s a huge thing there.”

Polling in general has been picking up as Election Day approaches — and in particular surveys from Republican-affiliated firms. Various averages include several polls from Republican-leaning pollsters or with Republican-leaning sponsors while not as many from Democratic-leaning pollsters.

Harris has a 2.1% lead based on 268 polls.​


 
I think that she has a good chance to win, but I'm afraid about Harris not getting a congress.

Republican government is a disaster.
Mixed government is a clusterfuck.
Our founders worshipped the clusterfuck, obviously.
And for some reason, people revere them for it.
 
They know they cannot win.

The Trump team has yet to sign two agreements with the federal government to receive transition funding and planning assistance and to share information — a break with modern precedent.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ transition team has reached agreements with the federal government to receive assistance both pre- and post-election — including office space and funding for its current transition planning — but the Trump team has blown through both deadlines to engage with the federal government.

A Trump spokesperson said that they are exploring a “spectrum” of legal options for working with the current administration, including signing and not signing the GSA agreements, and the potential implications.

In a statement, Trump representatives Howard McMahon and Linda Lutnick said conversations with the federal government are ongoing, and they continue to devise policy initiatives.


 
The Harris Administration said:
The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former President Trump.

Surveys from pollsters that lean toward one party are a regular occurrence in presidential contests along with independent polling.

In recent weeks, however, GOP-leaning polls have flooded the zone, fueling speculation that they could be skewing perceptions of the race. But experts note their average models have methodologies in place to prepare for this.

“When you look across all the averages, the net effect is less than a point, if you take out the Republican polls, or the partisan ones, so to speak,” said Scott Tranter, the director of data science for Decision Desk HQ. “So I don’t necessarily think it’s a huge thing there.”

Polling in general has been picking up as Election Day approaches — and in particular surveys from Republican-affiliated firms. Various averages include several polls from Republican-leaning pollsters or with Republican-leaning sponsors while not as many from Democratic-leaning pollsters.

Harris has a 2.1% lead based on 268 polls.​


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I’d say she’s at 55% chance
 
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