178,000 New Jobs in March

Grokmaster

Grokmaster

Well-known member
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As of April 2026, the U.S. labor market showed surprising strength with 178,000 new nonfarm payroll jobs added in March, surpassing expectations and rebounding from a weak February. The national unemployment rate ticked down to 4.3%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Key March 2026 Employment Data (from BLS):
  • Nonfarm Payrolls: +178,000
  • Unemployment Rate: 4.3%
  • Average Hourly Earnings: +$0.09
  • Job Gains: Primarily in healthcare (+76,000), construction, and transportation/warehousing



Not bad at all.
 
Grokmaster said:
Nonfarm Payrolls: +178,000... Not bad at all.
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Neutral is historically considered 150k, so that is just 28k above neutral. There is population growth, so even to stand still, we need to have more jobs.

35k of that is strikers returning to work. They are counted as new jobs, but they are just people returning to jobs they already have. Without that the number is 143k, or below the 150k.

trump's economy continues to tread water. Now we will see how it reacts to an oil crisis.
 
Walt said:
Neutral is historically considered 150k, so that is just 28k above neutral. There is population growth, so even to stand still, we need to have more jobs.

35k of that is strikers returning to work. They are counted as new jobs, but they are just people returning to jobs they already have. Without that the number is 143k, or below the 150k.

trump's economy continues to tread water. Now we will see how it reacts to an oil crisis.
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It is not bloated with a lot of government jobs.
 
Walt said:
Neutral is historically considered 150k, so that is just 28k above neutral. There is population growth, so even to stand still, we need to have more jobs.

35k of that is strikers returning to work. They are counted as new jobs, but they are just people returning to jobs they already have. Without that the number is 143k, or below the 150k.

trump's economy continues to tread water. Now we will see how it reacts to an oil crisis.
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1777637002945.png
 
Lionfish said:
Well wally, as I said before, I will choose to do the opposite of what you advise, so I will pass on that one.
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OK, I have call options on BNO with strikes price centered around $48 expiring on 7/17, and call options on GUSH with strike prices centered around $37 expiring on 9/18. You can get puts on both(the exact opposite of what I am doing) for about BNO at $2.23 and GUSH at $4.60. Honestly, those prices seem high to me, and you cannot get the 20 times returns I thought you could. You would get returns of 5 to 10 times if that investment works out. Good luck with that.
 
Walt said:
OK, I have call options on BNO with strikes price centered around $48 expiring on 7/17, and call options on GUSH with strike prices centered around $37 expiring on 9/18. You can get puts on both(the exact opposite of what I am doing) for about BNO at $2.23 and GUSH at $4.60. Honestly, those prices seem high to me, and you cannot get the 20 times returns I thought you could. You would get returns of 5 to 10 times if that investment works out. Good luck with that.
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wally,
NOBODY CARES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Inflation at 3.5%. Fuel sky high. People need those second jobs just to get by.

February's job numbers were revised down to a 133,000 loss
 
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