Iran War Watch

One advantage the Iranians have is that their entire elite seems to consist of 130 IQ polymath combat veterans with PhDs who stormed across minefields with fixed bayonets surrounded by poison gas back in the day and then spent 30 years studying philosophy, game theory, engineering and military science. Average decision-maker quality appears to be dramatically higher than elsewhere, especially qualified for shit-hits-the-fan situations

View: https://x.com/RWApodcast/status/2036460363181428834
 





Bill Madden

@maddenifico



Retired U.S. Marine Corps four-star general and former Secretary of Defense, James Mattis, just ripped LUNATIC Trump a new asshole over his blithering idiocy by going to war against Iran — calling his demands "delusional.""What we’re seeing is a situation where targetry never makes up for a lack of strategy. And by that I mean 15,000 targets have been hit. There have been significant military successes, but they are not matched by strategic outcomes. Now, some of the strategic outcomes early on, unconditional surrender, regime change, we’re going to dictate who the next supreme leader is — those were clearly nonsense. Those were delusional and you don’t hear those bandied about anymore."
 





Pepe Escobar

@RealPepeEscobar


Forget the fake numbers coming from the Pentagon.This war is not about body counts. Or 'decapitation strikes'.That’s how the US and Israel fight.Iran thinks differently — strategically, long-term, systemically.Their key objective is simple: remove all US military bases from West Asia.Everything else follows from that.As in the petroyuan. Unlike BRICS, which talks, talks, talks, Iran with ONE move established an alternative payment system in the Strait of Hormuz.
 
Daniel Davis Deep Dive

@DanielLDavis1


This is the bitter fruit of thinking you can lie to people about diplomacy while preparing for military operations. We’ve done it to them twice, and we have walked away from an agreement an earlier US administration negotiated w Iran in good faith.Now there is no basis for the US to find a negotiated settlement to end this war. And this is exactly why it is so bitter: now the United States desperately *needs* to be believed, and they seriously need a negotiated end. We simply cannot continue expending all of these missiles, suffering casualties, and struggle with high oil prices because the Strait remains closed.If Iran remains staunch in its position and they don’t agree to negotiate an end on Trump‘s terms, the cost of this war for America could be very serious indeed.But the worst thing the US could do now, is to escalate the conflict by expanding it into ground operations in an attempt to force submission by Iran to Trump‘s terms. This could dramatically increase the cost to America, especially if Iran is able to defend against such an attempt. The perverse aspect of this, however, is that even a successful tactical operation to seize some piece of terrain, would likely have no operational or strategic impact, and it would only move the end of the war further down the calendar, thereby raising the cost for America even further.
 
Back
Top