US Q2 Economic Report per the Bureau of Economic Analysis

Grokmaster

Grokmaster

Well-known member
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Not bad at all, regardless of leftist caterwauling...



US Q2 2025 Economic Report Overview

  • Real GDP saw a rebound, increasing at an annual rate of 3.0% after a 0.5% decrease in the first quarter.
  • Driving Factors: This rebound was largely attributed to a significant decrease in imports and a rise in consumer spending, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • Underlying Trends: However, some analysts suggest that while the headline GDP number was strong, the underlying domestic demand was weaker, growing at a muted average rate of 1.2% in the first half of the year.
  • Consumer Spending: Increased by 1.4% in the second quarter, better than the 0.5% in the prior period.
  • Inflation: Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an upward trend, reaching 2.7% in June, partly due to base effects from 2024. However, core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained relatively stable and was slightly above the Federal Reserve's target rate, according to the U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov).
  • Employment: The labor market remained healthy in Q2, with monthly job growth picking up and the unemployment rate holding low (averaging 4.2% in the second quarter).

  • Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve, amidst mixed macroeconomic signals, maintained the federal funds rate at a target range of 4.25% to 4.50% at its May and July meetings.
In summary, Q2 2025 saw a rebound in economic growth driven by trade dynamics and consumer spending, though some underlying weaknesses in domestic demand were present. The labor market remained healthy while inflation showed some signs of moderation. The Federal Reserve Board (.gov) maintained a cautious approach on interest rates, awaiting further clarity on economic trends.
 
Over all the numbers are flat as Americans standard of living continues its long decline is my read of the situation.
 
Grokmaster said:
Not bad at all, regardless of leftist caterwauling...



US Q2 2025 Economic Report Overview

  • Real GDP saw a rebound, increasing at an annual rate of 3.0% after a 0.5% decrease in the first quarter.
  • Driving Factors: This rebound was largely attributed to a significant decrease in imports and a rise in consumer spending, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • Underlying Trends: However, some analysts suggest that while the headline GDP number was strong, the underlying domestic demand was weaker, growing at a muted average rate of 1.2% in the first half of the year.
  • Consumer Spending: Increased by 1.4% in the second quarter, better than the 0.5% in the prior period.
  • Inflation: Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an upward trend, reaching 2.7% in June, partly due to base effects from 2024. However, core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained relatively stable and was slightly above the Federal Reserve's target rate, according to the U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov).
  • Employment: The labor market remained healthy in Q2, with monthly job growth picking up and the unemployment rate holding low (averaging 4.2% in the second quarter).

  • Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve, amidst mixed macroeconomic signals, maintained the federal funds rate at a target range of 4.25% to 4.50% at its May and July meetings.
In summary, Q2 2025 saw a rebound in economic growth driven by trade dynamics and consumer spending, though some underlying weaknesses in domestic demand were present. The labor market remained healthy while inflation showed some signs of moderation. The Federal Reserve Board (.gov) maintained a cautious approach on interest rates, awaiting further clarity on economic trends.
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Just so you know. This is the preliminary report. It will be subject to revisions.

Next release: August 28, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. EDT
Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate),
Corporate Profits (Preliminary Estimate),
2nd Quarter 2025
 
Grokmaster said:
Need glasses? GROWth IS NOT FLAT.

Of course; you are fatally pessimistic...always.
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Gordon Johnson

@GordonJohnson19



1/8 A number of the labor market indicators
@GLJ_Research
tracks are rolling over… ALL AT THE SAME TIME.Wage Growth Job Switches/Stayers: stayers are now making more than switches, which is typically indicative of recession.Challenger US Job Cut Announcements: Recent spike in 2025 is inline with past three recessions.BLS Job Growth: At +0.97% YoY for Jul., we are back at similar levels to late 2007 before GFC.ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: At 43.4, we are at the lowest level in 10 years, excl pandemic.ISM Services Employment Index: At 46.4, we are at 3rd lowest level in 10 years, excl pandemic.Indeed Job Openings Index: At 110.34, down 40.5% from peak and nearly back to pre-pandemic level.Conference Board Jobs Hard to Get: At highs not seen since early 2021/late 2020.Conclusion? The job market has caught a bad case of the cold, and may have the flu.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
Gordon Johnson
@GordonJohnson19



1/8 A number of the labor market indicators
@GLJ_Research
tracks are rolling over… ALL AT THE SAME TIME.Wage Growth Job Switches/Stayers: stayers are now making more than switches, which is typically indicative of recession.Challenger US Job Cut Announcements: Recent spike in 2025 is inline with past three recessions.BLS Job Growth: At +0.97% YoY for Jul., we are back at similar levels to late 2007 before GFC.ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: At 43.4, we are at the lowest level in 10 years, excl pandemic.ISM Services Employment Index: At 46.4, we are at 3rd lowest level in 10 years, excl pandemic.Indeed Job Openings Index: At 110.34, down 40.5% from peak and nearly back to pre-pandemic level.Conference Board Jobs Hard to Get: At highs not seen since early 2021/late 2020.Conclusion? The job market has caught a bad case of the cold, and may have the flu.
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Fuck Gordon Johnson, and his personal opinion, which is all that bullshit is. ^^^^^^^^^^^
. See ? That was easy.
 

Michelle Makori

@MichelleMakori


“This isn’t a black swan. It’s a white swan. Visible. Predictable. Inevitable.”
@DowdEdward
is calling for a housing collapse, a 50% equity market drawdown, and a recession that’s already underway. In our interview, he also breaks down:Why a monetary reset is inevitable & why gold must be part of the new system.The reason he believes Fort Knox hasn’t been audited and what they’re hiding.Whether stablecoins are a Trojan horse for a CBDC
 
Hawkeye10 said:
Michelle Makori
@MichelleMakori


“This isn’t a black swan. It’s a white swan. Visible. Predictable. Inevitable.”
@DowdEdward
is calling for a housing collapse, a 50% equity market drawdown, and a recession that’s already underway. In our interview, he also breaks down:Why a monetary reset is inevitable & why gold must be part of the new system.The reason he believes Fort Knox hasn’t been audited and what they’re hiding.Whether stablecoins are a Trojan horse for a CBDC
Click to expand...
So? Like the rest of the so-called "experts" , she is far from infallible, and most likely completely full of shit.
 
Grokmaster said:
Not bad at all, regardless of leftist caterwauling...



US Q2 2025 Economic Report Overview

  • Real GDP saw a rebound, increasing at an annual rate of 3.0% after a 0.5% decrease in the first quarter.
  • Driving Factors: This rebound was largely attributed to a significant decrease in imports and a rise in consumer spending, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • Underlying Trends: However, some analysts suggest that while the headline GDP number was strong, the underlying domestic demand was weaker, growing at a muted average rate of 1.2% in the first half of the year.
  • Consumer Spending: Increased by 1.4% in the second quarter, better than the 0.5% in the prior period.
  • Inflation: Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an upward trend, reaching 2.7% in June, partly due to base effects from 2024. However, core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained relatively stable and was slightly above the Federal Reserve's target rate, according to the U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov).
  • Employment: The labor market remained healthy in Q2, with monthly job growth picking up and the unemployment rate holding low (averaging 4.2% in the second quarter).

  • Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve, amidst mixed macroeconomic signals, maintained the federal funds rate at a target range of 4.25% to 4.50% at its May and July meetings.
In summary, Q2 2025 saw a rebound in economic growth driven by trade dynamics and consumer spending, though some underlying weaknesses in domestic demand were present. The labor market remained healthy while inflation showed some signs of moderation. The Federal Reserve Board (.gov) maintained a cautious approach on interest rates, awaiting further clarity on economic trends.
Click to expand...
Caterwauling, one of my favourite words and in this case very apposite.
 
Grokmaster said:
Not bad at all, regardless of leftist caterwauling...



US Q2 2025 Economic Report Overview

  • Real GDP saw a rebound, increasing at an annual rate of 3.0% after a 0.5% decrease in the first quarter.
  • Driving Factors: This rebound was largely attributed to a significant decrease in imports and a rise in consumer spending, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • Underlying Trends: However, some analysts suggest that while the headline GDP number was strong, the underlying domestic demand was weaker, growing at a muted average rate of 1.2% in the first half of the year.
  • Consumer Spending: Increased by 1.4% in the second quarter, better than the 0.5% in the prior period.
  • Inflation: Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an upward trend, reaching 2.7% in June, partly due to base effects from 2024. However, core inflation (excluding food and energy) remained relatively stable and was slightly above the Federal Reserve's target rate, according to the U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov).
  • Employment: The labor market remained healthy in Q2, with monthly job growth picking up and the unemployment rate holding low (averaging 4.2% in the second quarter).

  • Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve, amidst mixed macroeconomic signals, maintained the federal funds rate at a target range of 4.25% to 4.50% at its May and July meetings.
In summary, Q2 2025 saw a rebound in economic growth driven by trade dynamics and consumer spending, though some underlying weaknesses in domestic demand were present. The labor market remained healthy while inflation showed some signs of moderation. The Federal Reserve Board (.gov) maintained a cautious approach on interest rates, awaiting further clarity on economic trends.
Click to expand...
Did you have any trouble digging up this bullshit on your own or did you have help?
 
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