"I believe Ukraine can win this war"

The west never cared about Ukraine.

Nothing is going to change their other than Ukraine's assaults against the Russians living in their eastern territories and keeping Ukraine out of NATO.

The country will go back to normal soon enough.

The country is largely destroyed, and the Russians are not done taking the Russian speaking areas in order to protect them from the Ukrainian NAZI's. The Russians are as I type on the move...they will spend the rest of the summer taking territory.
 
Pretty good. They get to watch the Russians go home in body bags. LOL

Russia has to order ammo from Third World Shitholes.

Why do you always side with Russia against the West, Tink? What about America to do you hate so much?

I don't care who wins, I am just observing it.

I have a degree in history so I studied lots of wars so I have a bit of an interest in it.
 

A FRAUGHT MEETING IN VILNIUS

Despite Biden’s best efforts to put a happy face on it, Vilnius will be remembered as the NATO Summit where tensions boiled over. Zelensky denounced the Alliance’s admission policy as “absurd” and disrespectful. UK Secretary of Defense Ben Wallace chastised Zelensky for ingratitude. Lindsey Graham attacked the Biden administration for weakness. Ben Hodges criticized Jake Sullivan for lack of “strategic bravery.” Even NAFO mascot Adam Kinzinger no longer appears to be a “fella.” The optics were even harsher than the words, with the NATO elites turning their backs on a frustrated Zelensky. Biden’s assurance that Zelensky is “stuck” with the U.S. may come as cold comfort to both nations now that the Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed to meet expectations, huge amounts of expensive Western armor lay in ruins smoldering on the battlefield, Ukrainian casualties are horrific, and the U.S. has run out of 155mm artillery shells to give, forcing America to debase itself by sending cluster bombs. The war effort is increasingly a shambles and the War Party is starting to turn on each other.
 
I don't care who wins, I am just observing it.

I have a degree in history so I studied lots of wars so I have a bit of an interest in it.

More bullshit, lassie. You've been rootin' for Putin since day one.

Why are you avoiding the question about hating the US? You side with Russia against the US daily. What gives?

The country is largely destroyed, and the Russians are not done taking the Russian speaking areas in order to protect them from the Ukrainian NAZI's. The Russians are as I type on the move...they will spend the rest of the summer taking territory.
I agree.

QED
 
I don't care who wins, I am just observing it.

I have a degree in history so I studied lots of wars so I have a bit of an interest in it.

Hopefully you know enough history that you understand that there is near certainty that the Chinese will win this war.
 
...and they got their asses kicked. Funniest thing I've heard about war in years. LOL

The Trumpers whine about Biden botching the US exit from Afghanistan, but that's nothing compared to Putin's fucked up invasion of Ukraine.

Seems to be going fine to me.

They are gaining territory and holding it.

That appears to have been their goal.

Right now Ukraine is simply fighting their screening forces, they haven't engaged the main lines yet and it's doubtful they ever will.

Ukraine has already called everyone up from ages 18 to 60 and they are losing them quickly.

They are running out of troops unless a western nation sends some in and that isn't going to happen.

Whenever new equipment is delivered to Ukraine and deployed it's destroyed within hours while Ukraine is only blowing up post WW2 Russian equipment.
 
Seems to be going fine to me.

They are gaining territory and holding it.

That appears to have been their goal.

Right now Ukraine is simply fighting their screening forces, they haven't engaged the main lines yet and it's doubtful they ever will.

Ukraine has already called everyone up from ages 18 to 60 and they are losing them quickly.

They are running out of troops unless a western nation sends some in and that isn't going to happen.

Whenever new equipment is delivered to Ukraine and deployed it's destroyed within hours while Ukraine is only blowing up post WW2 Russian equipment.

We demanded that this be a war between China and their friends and the West....and we are losing......badly.
 
Hopefully you know enough history that you understand that there is near certainty that the Chinese will win this war.

I am sure they have brokered a deal with Russia after the war is over.

They have held lots of meetings as of late.

Lots of money to made in Ukraine.
 
We demanded that this be a war between China and their friends and the West....and we are losing......badly.

That's what happens when you have a crappy president.

Biden thinks sending some billions there is enough.

He only cares about saying he did something, he has no interest in Ukraine outside of the bribes they offer him.
 
That's what happens when you have a crappy president.

Biden thinks sending some billions there is enough.

He only cares about saying he did something, he has no interest in Ukraine outside of the bribes they offer him.

Biden is mostly dead and never was any good.....he does not choose much more than his ice cream....he does as he is told by the Revolutions leadership.
 
Putin wasn't trying to win outright.

You can tell that by the small force he sent in.

Less than a 10th of his military.

He still hasn't committed more than that.

His plan is to drain Ukraine of resources and force them to capitulate.
I understand it was major disappoinment to you that Putin didn't win this war in the first two weeks.

Putin thought part of the Ukranian army would defect to him, and the remainder would not put up an effective resistance. Because his Intel was telling him that, and the last time Putin fought the Ukranians was 2014 when their armed forces actually were poorly trained and ineffective at that time.


Putin himself defined Russian victory as the replacement of the government in Kyiv, and the demilitarization of Ukraine.

Putin was expecting parades in Kyiv and the decapitation of Ukraine's sovereign government.


Putin utterly failed in his objectives, and now his goals will never be achieved.

Never.

Ukraine is too well armed to be defeated and they have long term security guarantees from NATO.


The only thing to be decided is whether Putin will be able to continue to occupy a thin sliver of along the shores of the Sea of Azov
 

THE AMMO SHORTAGE

@MarcBodnick
asks a good question: “Can’t we make more ammunition? Is this really a crisis?”

According to the AP, it will take the U.S. 5 years to ramp production of 155mm artillery ammo to 85k shells per month. This is up from 14k shells/month pre-war and 20k shells/month at current production levels.

Why the long ramp time? Obviously artillery shells are more complicated to make than bullets. The Pentagon has to bid vendors who have to scale up production lines and in some cases set up new factories. Presumably one has to proceed with care when a mistake could blow up the entire operation.

The problem is that even 85k shells/month would comprise less than half of Ukraine’s current usage level, which is 6,000-8,000 shells/day. Even at that pace, it is being significantly outgunned by Russia, which is reportedly expending 20k shells per day and as many as 50k on peak days. Zaluzhny confirmed this last week when he told the WashPost that at times the artillery gap is 10-to-1.

The balance of artillery being so heavily in Russia’s favor was one of the key data points cited by Mearsheimer in explaining why he believes that Russia is winning the war. But rather than facing facts, pro-Ukraine partisans simply smear any dissent from their rosy scenarios as “Putin talking points.”

Now Biden himself has acknowledged the ammo shortage, which is why he is giving Ukraine cluster bombs. Because remarkably, cluster bombs are the only type of 155mm ammo that the US has left available to give.

And just to anticipate some of the replies: no, I’m not an Expert™️ on artillery, but I do have the capacity to read and do math, which is all it takes.

From the AP:

“The Army is spending about $1.5 billion to ramp up production of 155 mm rounds from 14,000 a month before Russia invaded Ukraine to over 85,000 a month by 2028, U.S. Army Undersecretary Gabe Camarillo told a symposium last month.

“Already, the U.S. military has given Ukraine more than 1.5 million rounds of 155 mm ammunition, according to Army figures.

“But even with higher near-term production rates, the U.S. cannot replenish its stockpile or catch up to the usage pace in Ukraine, where officials estimate that the Ukrainian military is firing 6,000 to 8,000 shells per day. In other words, two days’ worth of shells fired by Ukraine equates to the United States’ monthly pre-war production figure.”

----------------------------------------------------

America no longer functions. The Russians and the Chinese dont have that problem.

Buckle Up.
 
I understand it was major disappoinment to you that Putin didn't win this war in the first two weeks.

Putin thought part of the Ukranian army would defect to him, and the remainder would not put up an effective resistance. Because his Intel was telling him that, and the last time Putin fought the Ukranians was 2014 when their armed forces actually were poorly trained and ineffective at that time.


Putin himself defined Russian victory as the replacement of the government in Kyiv, and the demilitarization of Ukraine.

Putin was expecting parades in Kyiv and the decapitation of Ukraine's sovereign government.


Putin utterly failed in his objectives, and now his goals will never be achieved.

Never.

Ukraine is too well armed to be defeated and they have long term security guarantees from NATO.


The only thing to be decided is whether Putin will be able to continue to occupy a thin sliver of along the shores of the Sea of y.

When Putin starts sending me checks in the mail I will begin caring about his progress.

As of right now I am only an observer.

The fact is that nobody knows what his actual goals are or if he has met them yet.

There is a strong possibility that he is taking is slow to give his troops training for future conflicts.

Probably a combination of things.

Believe me though, if Russia wanted to they could storm Ukraine with their entire military and this thing would be over in a couple of weeks.
 
Believe me though, if Russia wanted to they could storm Ukraine with their entire military and this thing would be over in a couple of weeks.

Instead they've chosen to draft cannon-fodder, equip them with North Korean ammo and send them to Ukraine with a body bag in their knapsacks. Putin is a genius!!! LOL
 
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