cawacko
Well-known member
It was pay-as-you-go until a decline in the birth rate and many additional benefits added over the years created a future problem. So, in the 1980s, SS taxes were increased to build a surplus to handle the shortfall (one of the few times government has done something in advance of a problem) caused by the retirement of the baby boomers 2010-2030.
The SS law requires any surplus to be put in special treasury securities. So, that money is now in about $2.5 trillion of securities which are currently being used or will be used soon (not sure). The securities must be redeemed to pay the shortfall between revenue and benefits.
The older generations got much more back than they paid in while younger generations will be breaking about even (I have a chart if interested). That means it was much more of a subsidy program than it is becoming. Medicare is even a larger subsidy program in that we usually pay in much less than is spent on our benefits.
It depends on what other factors change if they remove the cap. If they remove the cap but don't increase benefits then it becomes more of a welfare program and loses a lot of the political popularity of the SS program. If they do raise benefits then you haven't really gained anything. I have not seen anything showing removing the cap would cover the shortfall even though some of our posters claim it would.
That money is not competing for other spending since infrastructure, climate change, etc. come from the general fund (or state funds on issues such as teacher's pay). SS spending only comes from the SS trust fund paid by the 6.2% payroll tax from workers matched by employers.
There are many benefits that were not part of the original SS program added over the years that could be cut without hurting needy people. Early retirement at 62 could be eliminated (about 70% of recipients retire early). Workers who reach full retirement age (66) can now collect full benefits with no penalty which means those probably making their highest career salary are collecting full SS.
Another suggestion is reducing benefits on a sliding scale based on the person's income.
SS is not in trouble because "Congress spent the money on...." as we often hear.
Appreciate the response.
I understand that the money received from removing the cap goes strictly to S.S. What I meant by opportunity cost is eliminating that cap is a massive tax increase. So once you do that the chances of another large tax increase probably aren't good. Therefore we are basically deciding that all this new revenue should be earmarked only for S.S. when we have many competing interests out there. That's the challenge.