Why the Fed won't be able to avoid a recession or bring inflation down to 2%

It’s historical FACT




Republicans always lie and say they will reduce the deficit


Then the explode it with tax cuts for the wealthy



Democrats have done it
 
Primavera said:
.
Don't say you weren't warned!

The Fed may not be able to avoid a recession – and may not be able to bring inflation down to its 2% target either, according to BlackRock.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening," analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

The bank's analysts think a recession could come in early 2023, likely before inflation is down to 2%.

Markets are expecting the Fed to stick to aggressive rate hikes after Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole last month.

But higher rates won't solve the biggest problem, namely low production capacity, analysts said, meaning low supply relative to demand. Without addressing supply, the Fed would have to lower demand by 2% via rate hikes to get inflation down quickly.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening, in our view," analysts said in a note on Tuesday. "When the Fed sees this pain, we think it will stop raising rates. It will be too late to avoid a contraction in economic activity by then, we think, but the decrease won't be deep enough to bring PCE inflation down to the Fed's target of 2%. Instead, we expect inflation to persist close to 3%."

https://markets.businessinsider.com...lation-target-economy-growth-blackrock-2022-9
Click to expand...




https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/BlackRock


This is who black rock is


Why are you trusting a corporation that is so closely tied to China?



They have reason to lie to you idiots
 
Primavera said:
.
Don't say you weren't warned!

The Fed may not be able to avoid a recession – and may not be able to bring inflation down to its 2% target either, according to BlackRock.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening," analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

The bank's analysts think a recession could come in early 2023, likely before inflation is down to 2%.

Markets are expecting the Fed to stick to aggressive rate hikes after Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole last month.

But higher rates won't solve the biggest problem, namely low production capacity, analysts said, meaning low supply relative to demand. Without addressing supply, the Fed would have to lower demand by 2% via rate hikes to get inflation down quickly.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening, in our view," analysts said in a note on Tuesday. "When the Fed sees this pain, we think it will stop raising rates. It will be too late to avoid a contraction in economic activity by then, we think, but the decrease won't be deep enough to bring PCE inflation down to the Fed's target of 2%. Instead, we expect inflation to persist close to 3%."

https://markets.businessinsider.com...lation-target-economy-growth-blackrock-2022-9
Click to expand...

Ummm...Powell just said like last month that the Fed was going to cause a recession because workers have too much leverage in the job market.
 
cawacko said:
Republicans never controlled the House during Reagan's 8 years. Republicans controlled the House and Senate during Trump's first two years. He didn't try to cut spending at all really. On one hand I get it, you don't elected taking things away from people. But at the same time he spent just as much, if not more, than any career politician. So to me, complaining about spending and saying we need Trump back to deal with it are contradictory statements.
Click to expand...

This mindset that government spending is somehow inherently bad or wasteful is precisely the reason why so many of those programs have operational failures today.

So you scream that there should be a cut in government spending, then those cuts harm a program's effectiveness, which you then use as an excuse to defund the program further or eliminate it entirely.

That is fiscal terrorism.

You obviously oppose government programs, but your position isn't shared by a majority on anything, so you can't legislate the programs away because they're too popular...so instead of accepting that, you try to make the programs less popular through cuts.
 
Every time funding for eduction came us they would scream “throwing money at the problem doesn’t work”


Funny how they thought throwing money at corporations always worked
 
Lionfish said:
Fuck you. Trump is over and you have been given many legitimate reasons for Brandon's ineptness pushing us into a recession.
Click to expand...

Hey idiot

Trump will be done pretty soon


Biden’s economic numbers show his ideas are working

Fuck you very much
 
See


The assholes want to cut taxes on the wealthy again


Their only idea other than deregulating everything



Both never work as advertised though


But then again they know it won’t work
 
evince said:
Clinton PROVED what lowers deficits


Not one fucking Republican voted for the 1993 budget reduction act that actually worked


Then they spent YEARS lying and saying it didnt work

Then tried to claim the results
Click to expand...







https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Omnibus_Budget_Reconciliation_Act_of_1993



The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (or OBRA-93) was a federal law that was enacted by the 103rd United States Congress and signed into law by President Bill Clinton. It has also been unofficially referred to as the Deficit Reduction Act of 1993. Part XIII of the law is also called the Revenue Reconciliation Act of 1993.
 
Primavera said:
.
Don't say you weren't warned!

The Fed may not be able to avoid a recession – and may not be able to bring inflation down to its 2% target either, according to BlackRock.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening," analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

The bank's analysts think a recession could come in early 2023, likely before inflation is down to 2%.

Markets are expecting the Fed to stick to aggressive rate hikes after Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole last month.

But higher rates won't solve the biggest problem, namely low production capacity, analysts said, meaning low supply relative to demand. Without addressing supply, the Fed would have to lower demand by 2% via rate hikes to get inflation down quickly.

"The Fed will be surprised by the growth damage caused by its tightening, in our view," analysts said in a note on Tuesday. "When the Fed sees this pain, we think it will stop raising rates. It will be too late to avoid a contraction in economic activity by then, we think, but the decrease won't be deep enough to bring PCE inflation down to the Fed's target of 2%. Instead, we expect inflation to persist close to 3%."

https://markets.businessinsider.com...lation-target-economy-growth-blackrock-2022-9
Click to expand...

The US is running out of oil right now. Thanks, Obama! (this is really Obama's 3rd and illegal term)
 
evince said:
Clinton PROVED what lowers deficits


Not one fucking Republican voted for the 1993 budget reduction act that actually worked


Then they spent YEARS lying and saying it didnt work

Then tried to claim the results
Click to expand...

Clinton started Fanny Mae/Freddy MAC , the student loan bubble, sold our missile tech to China, and signed NAFTA, which fucked all American workers. How was he a good president again? Hmm? What good did Clinton do for Americans?
This country is still reeling from bad Clinton policies to this very day! STFU you ignorant partisan cunt!
 
LV426 said:
Ummm...Powell just said like last month that the Fed was going to cause a recession because workers have too much leverage in the job market.
Click to expand...

and you think I should go and demand a raise from my boss ROFL!!!!!!!!!!!!!

again, tell me you know shit about economics without telling me you know shit about economics
 
LV426 said:
This mindset that government spending is somehow inherently bad or wasteful is precisely the reason why so many of those programs have operational failures today.

So you scream that there should be a cut in government spending, then those cuts harm a program's effectiveness, which you then use as an excuse to defund the program further or eliminate it entirely.

That is fiscal terrorism.

You obviously oppose government programs, but your position isn't shared by a majority on anything, so you can't legislate the programs away because they're too popular...so instead of accepting that, you try to make the programs less popular through cuts.
Click to expand...

real quick lesson on government spending and why it fucks us

pandemic stimulus, BILLIONS went to big business for spending and keeping employees, you got 1200 dollars.................of those BILLIONS sent to big business, how much stayed in shareholders pockets and capital spending accounts??????
 
SmarterthanYou said:
and you think I should go and demand a raise from my boss ROFL
Click to expand...

Uhhh, yeah you should before they trigger a recession and you lose all leverage you currently have.


again, tell me you know shit about economics without telling me you know shit about economics
Click to expand...

We can't help it that you lack ambition and are too afraid to ask for a raise.

You're afraid of your boss.
 
SmarterthanYou said:
real quick lesson on government spending and why it fucks us
Click to expand...

Ok...


pandemic stimulus, BILLIONS went to big business for spending and keeping employees, you got 1200 dollars.
Click to expand...

I mean, we were calling for monthly checks, it was the moderates and centrists who cut that back.

So don't look to me about this stuff, it's not what we were calling for and we weren't in charge, Trump and the GOP were.

We tried to argue that people should be getting monthly checks for the duration of the pandemic, but you opposed that very publicly here.

So you are complaining about a problem that you caused and/or that you are standing in the way of solving.


of those BILLIONS sent to big business, how much stayed in shareholders pockets and capital spending accounts?
Click to expand...

These were questions the Democrats were asking.
 
Matt Dillon said:
The US is running out of oil right now. Thanks, Obama! (this is really Obama's 3rd and illegal term)
Click to expand...

All oil is bought and sold on the global market, and the only oil "we" own is what is in the strategic reserve.

Everything else belongs to private, multinational oil companies who sell it to the highest bidder.
 
LV426 said:
Ok...




I mean, we were calling for monthly checks, it was the moderates and centrists who cut that back.

So don't look to me about this stuff, it's not what we were calling for and we weren't in charge, Trump and the GOP were.

We tried to argue that people should be getting monthly checks for the duration of the pandemic, but you opposed that very publicly here.

So you are complaining about a problem that you caused and/or that you are standing in the way of solving.




These were questions the Democrats were asking.
Click to expand...

wow, you really are fucking stupid
 
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