Democrats Now Favored to Win Senate

[martin]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

 

[Monad Portal]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

probably not.

 

[Stone]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

 

[ThatOwlWoman]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

I got that email from them this morning too. The follow graphic from your link will make the MAGAtards weep. No more Red blowout. Tsk.

Despite Biden's poor approval rating, the fact that the (D)s are poised to keep the House and clinch the Senate should tell the Cult something. We are sick of #TRE45ON. We are sick of fascism. We are sick of Xtian beliefs being shoved down our throats and codified into our laws (i.e. abortion bans, praying at public schools). We are sick of racism, division, hate, and bigotry. We are sick of climate change denialism. We are sick of gun worship and mass shootings. We are sick of attacks on education, science, freedom.

 

[ThatOwlWoman]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

I hope you don't mind if I correct this. I believe what he is saying is that the (D)s' odds of winning the Senate (having a majority) are 56%, not that they will have 56 seats.

 

[Walt]

probably not.

That is the forecast based on what is currently happening. There is a lot of time for trump to make it worse.

 

[Monad Portal]

That is the forecast based on what is currently happening. There is a lot of time for trump to make it worse.

doubtful.

 

[Jarod]

Still too early, but with Pennsylvania and GA looking likely to go Democratic, its much more possible.

Trump fucked up the slam dunk for the r's.

 

[cawacko]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

I thought Silver fell out of favor with liberals a couple of years ago. He back in the good graces?

Democrats going from 50 Senate seats to 56 in an off year election when they hold power and the President is unpopular would probably be history making. For the history buffs anyone recall something like that happening before?

 

[Walt]

doubtful.

2022 is an uphill battle for Republicans. 21 out of 35 seats are currently Republican, so they need to win over 60% of the elections, just to win the Senate.

But it gets worse. trump is going to be trying to make this all about him. Many voters are voting against something, rather than for something, so trump is actively destroying the whole Republican strategy.

Republicans will still have stories about how there were some mild problems earlier in the year, but that will just remind everyone that things are getting better.

 

[Walt]

doubtful.

2022 is an uphill battle for Republicans. 21 out of 35 seats are currently Republican, so they need to win over 60% of the elections, just to win the Senate.

But it gets worse. trump is going to be trying to make this all about him. Many voters are voting against something, rather than for something, so trump is actively destroying the whole Republican strategy.

Republicans will still have stories about how there were some mild problems earlier in the year, but that will just remind everyone that things are getting better.

 

[Jarod]

I thought Silver fell out of favor with liberals a couple of years ago. He back in the good graces?

Democrats going from 50 Senate seats to 56 in an off year election when they hold power and the President is unpopular would probably be history making. For the history buffs anyone recall something like that happening before?

I do not recall it happening, but Silver's data does not factor in if its history making or not. Ive always considered him a good data analysist. He is wrong sometimes, but that goes with his job.

 

[Monad Portal]

2022 is an uphill battle for Republicans. 21 out of 35 seats are currently Republican, so they need to win over 60% of the elections, just to win the Senate.

But it gets worse. trump is going to be trying to make this all about him. Many voters are voting against something, rather than for something, so trump is actively destroying the whole Republican strategy.

Republicans will still have stories about how there were some mild problems earlier in the year, but that will just remind everyone that things are getting better.

right. most are voting against dems and their stated goal to destroy americans on the the altar of mythical "climate change".

 

[Cypress]

I'll believe it when I see it but outlawing a woman's right to reproductive choice can't be helping.

 

[BartenderElite]

This board is gonna be fun if the midterms turn out to be a dud for the GOP.

 

[archives]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

Fifty six Democrat Senators seems a reaxh, but maintaining the majority would be big, that way the Hawleys and Cruzs won’t be able to impeach Biden, which you know will be the top priority of the little Jimmy Jordan House

 

[Poor Richard Saunders]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/

Silver's site predicts Democrats will hold 56 seats to Republicans 44 after the November elections. This represents a stunning shift in the polls from the recent longstanding tilt toward the GOP. Silver, by the way, has been one of the most accurate pollsters in the business, perhaps the most accurate, the only national pollster who correctly called the Obama/Romney election in all 50 states.

That is 56 out 100 times the Dems will have the majority, not 56 seats. So the Senate is basically a toss up at this point.

They use an algorithm that has a random input along with the known information. Then they report how many times each side wins out of the 100 times.

 

[floridafan]

That is 56 out 100 times the Dems will have the majority, not 56 seats. So the Senate is basically a toss up at this point.

They use an algorithm that has a random input along with the known information. Then they report how many times each side wins out of the 100 times.

And you were just boasting not so long ago about Republican dominance in the mid terms. My how circumstances change.

 

[archives]

I thought Silver fell out of favor with liberals a couple of years ago. He back in the good graces?

Democrats going from 50 Senate seats to 56 in an off year election when they hold power and the President is unpopular would probably be history making. For the history buffs anyone recall something like that happening before?

I am going to venture Truman, who at the time didn’t enjoy great public ratings but the Democrats won back and controlled a majority in the Senate. But that was a different time, Americans weren’t as heavily partisan and cross ticket voting was common, the good ole days

 

[Jarod]

This board is gonna be fun if the midterms turn out to be a dud for the GOP.

THey will say it was fraud.