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Covid-19 is likely to fade away in 2022

As covid settles into its fate as an endemic disease, like flu or the common cold, life in most of the world is likely to return to normal.

https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/covid-19-is-likely-to-fade-away-in-2022

iu
 
Qatar had a first wave of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from March through June 2020, after which approximately 40% of the population had detectable antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. The country subsequently had two back-to-back waves from January through May 2021, triggered by the introduction of the B.1.1.7 (or alpha) and B.1.351 (or beta) variants. This created an epidemiologic opportunity to assess reinfections.

Using national, federated databases that have captured all SARS-CoV-2–related data since the onset of the pandemic (Section S1 in the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this letter at NEJM.org), we investigated the risk of severe disease (leading to acute care hospitalization), critical disease (leading to hospitalization in an intensive care unit [ICU]), and fatal disease caused by reinfections as compared with primary infections in the national cohort of 353,326 persons with polymerase-chain-reaction (PCR)–confirmed infection between February 28, 2020, and April 28, 2021, after exclusion of 87,547 persons with a vaccination record. Primary infection was defined as the first PCR-positive swab.

Reinfection was defined as the first PCR-positive swab obtained at least 90 days after the primary infection. Persons with reinfection were matched to those with primary infection in a 1:5 ratio according to sex, 5-year age group, nationality, and calendar week of the PCR test date (Fig. S1 and Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix).

Classification of severe, critical, and fatal Covid-19 followed World Health Organization guidelines, and assessments were made by trained medical personnel through individual chart reviews.

Accordingly, for a person who has already had a primary infection, the risk of having a severe reinfection is only approximately 1% of the risk of a previously uninfected person having a severe primary infection.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2108120
 
iu


Fauci says changing definition of fully vaccinated to include boosters is 'on the table'

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/582962-fauci-says-changing-definition-of-fully-vaccinated-to-include-boosters-is
 
Looks like the juju juice is a failure

WHO says fully vaccinated should wear masks and physically distance

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/24/who-tells-fully-vaccinated-to-wear-masks-physically-distance-as-infections-surge.html
 
Protective immunity after recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection

Several studies have found that people who recovered from COVID-19 and tested seropositive for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies have low rates of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection.

We reviewed studies published in PubMed from inception to Sept 28, 2021, and found well conducted biological studies showing protective immunity after infection (panel).

Furthermore, multiple epidemiological and clinical studies, including studies during the recent period of predominantly delta (B.1.617.2) variant transmission, found that the risk of repeat SARS-CoV-2 infection decreased by 80·5–100% among those who had had COVID-19 previously.

The reported studies were large and conducted throughout the world.

Another laboratory-based study that analysed the test results of 9119 people with previous COVID-19 from Dec 1, 2019, to Nov 13, 2020, found that only 0·7% became reinfected.

In a study conducted at the Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, OH, USA, those who had not previously been infected had a COVID-19 incidence rate of 4·3 per 100 people, whereas those who had previously been infected had a COVID-19 incidence rate of 0 per 100 people.

Furthermore, a study conducted in Austria found that the frequency of hospitalization due to a repeated infection was five per 14 840 (0·03%) people and the frequency of death due to a repeated infection was one per 14 840 (0·01%) people.

Due to the strong association and biological basis for protection, clinicians should consider counselling recovered patients on their risk for reinfection and document previous infection status in medical records.


https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(21)00676-9/fulltext
 
U.S. has already seen more COVID deaths in 2021 than 2020 before vaccines were available

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-has-already-seen-more-covid-deaths-in-2021-than-2020-before-vaccines-were-available-as-experts-again-warn-pandemic-is-not-over-11637769586
 
Biden may not recall what he said during a 2020 campaign debate last fall, but Americans should: “Anyone who is responsible for that many deaths should not remain as President of the United States of America.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-covid-death-milestone-biden-administration-trump-11637708781
 
The Pandemic Is Ending With a Whimper

The decision to move on to the recovery phase needs to be made.

Perhaps you’ve figured this out already: The pandemic will not have a discrete end. The coronavirus will not raise a white flag. There will be no peace treaty, no parade, no announcement from the CDC that the United States is done worrying about COVID. You will not get closure.

The death rate has been declining since late September. But America remains in limbo for another reason: The Biden administration has yet to come out and say that the emergency is ending.

Biden and his party pledged to “follow the science” in dealing with the coronavirus. Yet the question of when a crisis is over isn’t an objective matter that Anthony Fauci or any other scientific expert can decide. What is an acceptable trade-off between preventing infections and promoting the resumption of pre-pandemic routines? Should employers and school districts base their policies on the expectations of the most risk-averse people or those who have a higher tolerance?

Meanwhile, the perception that the emergency has not ended, and perhaps will never end, has consequences.

Americans who are acting cautiously—for instance, by routinely masking outdoors, even after being vaccinated—seem more worried than they should be. We must focus urgently on our recovery.

The enormous challenges of America’s pandemic recovery—lost learning and lost staffing in schools, the great exodus from the workforce, and a profound disruption of office life—have no scientific solutions. We must own the political nature of this recovery, and it’s not anti-science to recognize that not all decisions are matters of science.

Elected officials do science no favors by putting fundamentally political decisions in the hands of technical experts. Biden himself was pushing for boosters. Two top FDA vaccine regulators resigned in protest over what Politico called “Biden’s top-down booster plan.”

The muddle was avoidable. Elected officials must make political decisions without hiding behind scientific advisers’ white coats. Doing so forthrightly will, in the end, protect the integrity of science.

The United States has entered a phase that I have previously described as an adaptive recovery, a long period in which the virus persists but Americans figure out how best to manage it. (Note for Fuck Face Fowl: I am citing the article written in the first person by Juliette Kayyem, a former assistant secretary for homeland security under Obama, who is the faculty chair of the homeland-security program at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government.)

The choice now facing the U.S. is whether to acknowledge the progress we’ve made—and the subjective, political, nonscientific nature of the value judgments that face us.






https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/11/americans-need-moving-next-phase-pandemic/620793/
 
THE CORON-A-CRATS ARE DESPERATELY TRYING TO KEEP THEIR BELOVED PANDEMIC GOING, PRIMARILY THROUGH FEAR-MONGERING AND LIES ABOUT VACCINE EFFICACY...SO THEY'LL HAVE AN EXCUSE TO VIOLATE THE CONSTITUTION IN THE NEXT ELECTION, TOO...
 
THE CORON-A-CRATS ARE DESPERATELY TRYING TO KEEP THEIR BELOVED PANDEMIC GOING, PRIMARILY THROUGH FEAR-MONGERING AND LIES ABOUT VACCINE EFFICACY...SO THEY'LL HAVE AN EXCUSE TO VIOLATE THE CONSTITUTION IN THE NEXT ELECTION, TOO...

I suspect that you're correct.
 
Covid-19 is likely to fade away in 2022

As covid settles into its fate as an endemic disease, like flu or the common cold, life in most of the world is likely to return to normal.

https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/covid-19-is-likely-to-fade-away-in-2022

iu

When are the midterms? Never mind.
 
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