cancel2 2022
Canceled
Looks more and more like SloJo will preside over the mother of all recessions and an introduction to the world of stagflation.
Along with a working vaccine, Joe Biden inherited a V-shaped economic recovery, but he is now planting the seeds of its destruction. Inflation, federal deficits, high taxes, incentives for workers to stay home, and incentives to avoid investment – they’re all coming back. Together, these elements create the perfect brew for a Lyndon Johnson-style stagflation. If Biden and the Democrats so quickly wreck the good economic path they were given, it will be one of the worst examples of government malpractice in U.S. economic history.
In the first, dark days of the COVID-19 national economic shutdown last spring, there was a clear need for major stimulus. Both parties united to pass an effective and much-needed response.
The U.S. gross domestic product saw a 33.4% surge in the July-September third quarter of 2020, after plunging 31.4% in the April-June second quarter. The economy continued to grow at a 4% rate in the fourth quarter, and the stock market (despite COVID) ended 2020 with the S&P 500 index up 16% for the year as a whole.
Biden and the Democrats have since passed or proposed $6 trillion in additional stimulus spending – the $1.9 trillion “American Rescue Plan,” the $2.3 trillion “American Jobs Plan,” and the $1.8 trillion “American Families Plan.” As partial payment, corporate taxes are set to rise by one-third (from 21% to 28%). The top capital gains tax rates on investment are set to approximately double (from about 20% to about 40%). There is no relief for state and local tax expenses, which are also rising.
The extra stimulus is already beginning to show up in the form of inflation – too much money chasing too few goods. “We are seeing substantial inflation,” Warren Buffett declared at his annual shareholders meeting. “We are raising prices. People are raising prices to us, and it’s being accepted.”
Other CEOs are reporting the same facts. According to Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian, the number of mentions of “inflation” in shareholder earnings calls has tripled year over year, the biggest jump since 2004. “Inflation is arguably the biggest topic during this earnings season, with a broad array of sectors (consumer/industrials/materials, etc.) citing inflation,” Subramanian has said. Such mentions generally lead the consumer price index by a quarter or two.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/05/07/joe_biden_economy_killer_145718.html#!
Along with a working vaccine, Joe Biden inherited a V-shaped economic recovery, but he is now planting the seeds of its destruction. Inflation, federal deficits, high taxes, incentives for workers to stay home, and incentives to avoid investment – they’re all coming back. Together, these elements create the perfect brew for a Lyndon Johnson-style stagflation. If Biden and the Democrats so quickly wreck the good economic path they were given, it will be one of the worst examples of government malpractice in U.S. economic history.
In the first, dark days of the COVID-19 national economic shutdown last spring, there was a clear need for major stimulus. Both parties united to pass an effective and much-needed response.
The U.S. gross domestic product saw a 33.4% surge in the July-September third quarter of 2020, after plunging 31.4% in the April-June second quarter. The economy continued to grow at a 4% rate in the fourth quarter, and the stock market (despite COVID) ended 2020 with the S&P 500 index up 16% for the year as a whole.
Biden and the Democrats have since passed or proposed $6 trillion in additional stimulus spending – the $1.9 trillion “American Rescue Plan,” the $2.3 trillion “American Jobs Plan,” and the $1.8 trillion “American Families Plan.” As partial payment, corporate taxes are set to rise by one-third (from 21% to 28%). The top capital gains tax rates on investment are set to approximately double (from about 20% to about 40%). There is no relief for state and local tax expenses, which are also rising.
The extra stimulus is already beginning to show up in the form of inflation – too much money chasing too few goods. “We are seeing substantial inflation,” Warren Buffett declared at his annual shareholders meeting. “We are raising prices. People are raising prices to us, and it’s being accepted.”
Other CEOs are reporting the same facts. According to Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian, the number of mentions of “inflation” in shareholder earnings calls has tripled year over year, the biggest jump since 2004. “Inflation is arguably the biggest topic during this earnings season, with a broad array of sectors (consumer/industrials/materials, etc.) citing inflation,” Subramanian has said. Such mentions generally lead the consumer price index by a quarter or two.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/05/07/joe_biden_economy_killer_145718.html#!