Darth Omar
Russian asset
The actual number of coronavirus infections in the U.S. reached nearly 53 million at the end of September and could be approaching 100 million now, according to a model developed by government researchers.
The model, created by scientists at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, calculated that the true number of infections is about eight times the reported number, which includes only the cases confirmed by a laboratory test.
https://www.npr.org/sections/corona...vid-19-cases-could-be-approaching-100-million
__________
So, roughly a third of the population may be immune to COVID. No wonder Fauci wants to bump the Herd Immunity number up.
I’d rate that claim as ‘likely’. You don’t need a computer model for this: If the number of infections is based only on confirmed tests that number is certainly too low because of the high rate of asymptomatic cases. The only question is by how much?
The only way to know if you’re asymptomatic but positive for COVID is to be tested when you don’t have symptoms. How many people do that?
And even that gets into the sketchy PCR tests that yield sketchy data but that’s another issue.
In a more perfect world, this would be crying out for further research because the policy implications would be huge. Where is the outcry for mass seroprevalence testing? Can we lay off the sketchy PCR tests and get everyone rushing out the door to see if they are immune to COVID?
If they are already immune they don’t need a vaccine and it’s debatable if they even need to mask or social distance. Coupled with the vaccines we could be wide open by Spring.
But for some reason I get the idea they will find some reason to drag this dystopia out. With Trump out of the picture it’s a near certainty.
The model, created by scientists at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, calculated that the true number of infections is about eight times the reported number, which includes only the cases confirmed by a laboratory test.
https://www.npr.org/sections/corona...vid-19-cases-could-be-approaching-100-million
__________
So, roughly a third of the population may be immune to COVID. No wonder Fauci wants to bump the Herd Immunity number up.
I’d rate that claim as ‘likely’. You don’t need a computer model for this: If the number of infections is based only on confirmed tests that number is certainly too low because of the high rate of asymptomatic cases. The only question is by how much?
The only way to know if you’re asymptomatic but positive for COVID is to be tested when you don’t have symptoms. How many people do that?
And even that gets into the sketchy PCR tests that yield sketchy data but that’s another issue.
In a more perfect world, this would be crying out for further research because the policy implications would be huge. Where is the outcry for mass seroprevalence testing? Can we lay off the sketchy PCR tests and get everyone rushing out the door to see if they are immune to COVID?
If they are already immune they don’t need a vaccine and it’s debatable if they even need to mask or social distance. Coupled with the vaccines we could be wide open by Spring.
But for some reason I get the idea they will find some reason to drag this dystopia out. With Trump out of the picture it’s a near certainty.
