Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

[Cypress]

Moody's has been right EVERY ELECTION SINCE 1980....the ONLY "MISS" THEY HAD , LIKE EVERY OTHER PUNDIT, WAS TRUMP, 2016.


They KNOW BETTER NOW....ENJOY!!




Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that



President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.

He’s going to absolutely adore this one.

According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.

In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.

“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:

Moody’s uses three models to come up with its forecast. In each case, Trump gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.

The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351 electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report said.

The stock-market model gives him the slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile investing landscape. Then there’s the unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/50180bc8-1303-3cb6-99e9-2cfa7642bb28/trump-in-a-landslide?-this.html

Trump is also predicting Republicans will take back the house, and he has a shot at winning New York state.

 

[Stretch]

If you desire to live in a country with a wannabe dictator, by all means, go to the countries which have the ones who Trump admires the most (N. Korea, Russia, The Philippines, Saudi, etc.) Because this is the USA and we are ridding ourselves of the abomination that is Donald Trump. Bye Bye!!

Dictator? HAAAAA!!! Just the opposite. All Trump does is try to get states to take on more responsibility for themselves.

 

[Grokmaster]

did the historically accurate model factor in impeachment?

check mate

IMPEACHMENT HURT THE TREASON-O-CRATS...NOT TRUMP.

 

[volsrock]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

odd technicalities

Yup that evil Constitution of United States of America u hate got in her way

 

[Micawber]

Cockmaster a super -loser. Everyone at JPP thinks just that.

 

[leaningright]

Let’s just say that I’m praying for Mr. Trump this year. Democrats can take heart though. The last time I prayed for a presidential candidate God said no.

 

[Nordberg]

I wonder if Grok actually believes the Trump shit he posts?

 

[Micawber]

Grabsjunk says models are fake news.

 

[Micawber]

Let’s just say that I’m praying for Mr. Trump this year.

Then you are fucking nutso. Damn nice fish. You can't be all bad if you fish.

 

[gfm7175]

Trump is also predicting Republicans will take back the house,

They have a legit shot at it... Do I think it will happen? Idk... House races are quite fickle, and plenty of people split their ballots... We'll see...

and he has a shot at winning New York state.

He says this in jest... He doesn't actually think that he is going to win New York... He SHOULD be winning it, as he SHOULD be winning every State in the Nation, but Demokkkrats are fucking stupid and vote for stupid...

 

[leaningright]

They have a legit shot at it... Do I think it will happen? Idk... House races are quite fickle, and plenty of people split their ballots... We'll see...

The one Democratic Representative from Oklahoma looks like she may lose.

He says this in jest... He doesn't actually think that he is going to win New York... He SHOULD be winning it, as he SHOULD be winning every State in the Nation, but Demokkkrats are @#&&%#$@ stupid and vote for stupid...

A candidate can never joke. Especially if he’s a Conservative. Liberals say “no sense of humor allowed.”

 

[Grokmaster]

I wonder if Grok actually believes the Trump shit he posts?

I WONDER IF YOU'LL EVER ACTUALLY READ THE DATA I PROVIDE YOU??


THE HISTORICALLY ACCURATE MODEL I CITED IS NO MY OWN STUPIDFUCK.


I NOTICE YOU FAILED TO REBUT THAT, PER USUAL.

 

[Nordberg]

I WONDER IF YOU'LL EVER ACTUALLY READ THE DATA I PROVIDE YOU??


THE HISTORICALLY ACCURATE MODEL I CITED IS NO MY OWN STUPIDFUCK.


I NOTICE YOU FAILED TO REBUT THAT, PER USUAL.

Moody says they rely on economic leanings. I do not see Trump's trashed economy as a winner. It also stressed that data as more important than the mishandling of the virus., especially since they do not see it as important. I see that as backward. Moody is a financial organization and a ratings company. I understand why they would think that way. That does not make it right.
I read the whole thing, pandemic not mentioned. Pandemic is the first thing people are voting on and it is getting much worse.

 

[gemini104104]

Moody's has been right EVERY ELECTION SINCE 1980....the ONLY "MISS" THEY HAD , LIKE EVERY OTHER PUNDIT, WAS TRUMP, 2016.


They KNOW BETTER NOW....ENJOY!!




Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that



President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.

He’s going to absolutely adore this one.

According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.

In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.

“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:

Moody’s uses three models to come up with its forecast. In each case, Trump gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.

The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351 electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report said.

The stock-market model gives him the slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile investing landscape. Then there’s the unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/50180bc8-1303-3cb6-99e9-2cfa7642bb28/trump-in-a-landslide?-this.html

Actually tRump and his fellow un American ass kissers have apparently created their own landslide all the way to hell for their souls to attempt to do their thing there after being a deplorable atrocity on Earth.

 

[Walt]

I just looked at the date of this thread, and realized that it is pre-Covid-19, and pre-worldwide depression. It counts on a strong economy to help trump, and there is no strong economy. I reassure you that these models currently show trump losing badly.

Moody's has been right EVERY ELECTION SINCE 1980....the ONLY "MISS" THEY HAD , LIKE EVERY OTHER PUNDIT, WAS TRUMP, 2016.

You realize you just contradicted yourself in the same sentence? Are you really that delusional that you can keep two contradicting facts in one sentence? If they are right on every election, they could not have had a miss.

trump was elected even though we had a strong economy, which should have been impossible. The old models did not work in that election, and there is a lot of evidence they will not work in this election. trump was losing even before Covid-19, which given the continued strength of the economy should not have been happening.

Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

If trump wins in a landslide, everyone will know it is cheating. trump might be able to bring off a skin-of-the-teeth win, but a landslide is not possible except with a level of cheating that would be unimaginable. That level of cheating would cause many to consider open rebellion, or should I say counter rebellion. That level of cheating would be a coup in and of itself.

If trump steals the election, he would want to make it believable. If he claims 99.9% of the vote, it is not believable.

 

[BRUTALITOPS]

trump is going to lose, it's sad, but the deep state and neoliberal propaganda is ungodly powerful. I've made my peace with it. We got 3 SC judges in 4 years vs. obama's 2 in 8. We fucked the liberals up the ass. It felt good. Trumps policies were very popular, a majority of americans say they are better off now than 4 years ago. Minority support is up for conservatives, not down. Much of this election is coming down to the salty pussyhatters going on a revenge tour. Trump conservationism is a winning platform. We'll be back. MAGA

 

[Cypress]

Let’s just say that I’m praying for Mr. Trump this year. Democrats can take heart though. The last time I prayed for a presidential candidate God said no.

Is it common for rightwing Christian ministers to pray to God for the electoral victory of a morally corrupt atheist like Trump?

I know quite a few bishops and priests of the Eastern Orthodox church, and I have never heard them proclaim the power of prayer to assist the political campaign and electoral fortunes of a politician.

 

[Granule]

If you desire to live in a country with a wannabe dictator, by all means, go to the countries which have the ones who Trump admires the most (N. Korea, Russia, The Philippines, Saudi, etc.) Because this is the USA and we are ridding ourselves of the abomination that is Donald Trump. Bye Bye!!

I love it when you perverts scream and stamp your feet. It's such a laugh-fest lol

 

[Concart]

 

[Earl]

Is it common for rightwing Christian ministers to pray to God for the electoral victory of a morally corrupt atheist like Trump?

I know quite a few bishops and priests of the Eastern Orthodox church, and I have never heard them proclaim the power of prayer to assist the political campaign and electoral fortunes of a politician.

Post a link proving that your your president is an atheist.

I’ll wait, Snowflake.